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CGCL - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.6

Last Updated Time : 03 Feb 26, 05:01 pm

Technical Rating: 3.6

Stock Code CGCL Market Cap 16,299 Cr. Current Price 169 ₹ High / Low 232 ₹
Stock P/E 22.0 Book Value 65.3 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.12 % ROCE 11.4 %
ROE 11.0 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 181 ₹ DMA 200 184 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.33 % Chg in DII Hold -0.18 % PAT Qtr 221 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 212 Cr.
RSI 35.8 MACD -3.29 Volume 7,24,235 Avg Vol 1Wk 20,63,696
Low price 151 ₹ High price 232 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.60 Debt to equity 1.99
52w Index 23.3 % Qtr Profit Var 104 % EPS 7.97 ₹ Industry PE 19.0

📊 Technical Analysis

  • Chart Patterns: CGCL has been in a corrective phase from its 52-week high of 232 ₹, currently consolidating near 169 ₹.
  • Moving Averages: Price (169 ₹) is below both 50 DMA (181 ₹) and 200 DMA (184 ₹), signaling short-term and medium-term weakness.
  • RSI: At 35.8, near oversold territory, suggesting potential rebound.
  • MACD: Negative (-3.29), confirming bearish momentum.
  • Bollinger Bands: Price near lower band, indicating possible support zone.
  • Volume Trends: Current volume (7.24 lakh) well below 1-week average (20.63 lakh), showing weak participation.

📈 Momentum & Signals

  • Short-term Momentum: Weak due to negative MACD and low RSI.
  • Support Levels: 165 ₹ (near-term), 151 ₹ (major support).
  • Resistance Levels: 175 ₹ (short-term), 181–184 ₹ (DMA resistance).
  • Optimal Entry Zone: 160–165 ₹ (close to support).
  • Optimal Exit Zone: 175–185 ₹ (near resistance).
  • Trend Status: Consolidating with bearish bias.

✅ Positive

  • PEG ratio of 0.60 suggests attractive valuation relative to growth.
  • Quarterly PAT growth (221 Cr vs 212 Cr) shows improving profitability.
  • EPS of 7.97 ₹ supports earnings visibility.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Stock P/E (22.0) higher than industry PE (19.0), indicating premium valuation.
  • ROCE (11.4%) and ROE (11.0%) are modest compared to peers.
  • Weak trading volume suggests lack of strong buying momentum.

📉 Company Negative News

  • FII holdings decreased (-0.33%) and DII holdings decreased (-0.18%), showing reduced institutional confidence.
  • Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, signaling weakness.

📈 Company Positive News

  • Quarterly profit variation of 104% highlights strong growth momentum.
  • Improved PAT performance despite weak technical signals.

🏭 Industry

  • Financial services sector supported by credit demand and government initiatives.
  • Industry PE at 19.0 vs stock PE at 22.0 — stock trades at slight premium.

🔎 Conclusion

  • CGCL is consolidating with short-term bearish signals but improving fundamentals.
  • Best entry near 160–165 ₹, exit near 175–185 ₹ unless breakout above 184 ₹ occurs.
  • Medium-term outlook cautious due to weak technicals and reduced institutional confidence.

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