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CGCL - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 4

Last Updated Time : 04 May 26, 11:56 am

Technical Rating: 4.0

Stock Code CGCL Market Cap 17,913 Cr. Current Price 186 ₹ High / Low 214 ₹
Stock P/E 21.7 Book Value 70.0 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.11 % ROCE 11.7 %
ROE 15.4 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 177 ₹ DMA 200 179 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 1.12 % Chg in DII Hold -0.02 % PAT Qtr 243 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 221 Cr.
RSI 59.5 MACD 3.86 Volume 26,79,275 Avg Vol 1Wk 23,06,932
Low price 151 ₹ High price 214 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.27 Debt to equity 2.81
52w Index 56.2 % Qtr Profit Var 53.2 % EPS 8.57 ₹ Industry PE 18.2

📊 CGCL is trading at ₹186, above both its 50 DMA (₹177) and 200 DMA (₹179), showing strong technical support. RSI at 59.5 indicates neutral-to-bullish momentum, while MACD at 3.86 confirms a positive crossover. Bollinger Bands suggest price movement toward the upper band. Volume (26,79,275) is above the weekly average (23,06,932), signaling strong participation. Overall, the stock is trending upward with healthy momentum.

💡 Optimal Entry Zone: ₹180–186 (near DMA support).

📈 Exit Zone: ₹210–214 (major resistance and 52-week high).

🔎 Trend Status: Trending upward with bullish bias, supported by strong volume and MACD crossover.

✅ Positive

  • Quarterly PAT increased from ₹221 Cr. to ₹243 Cr., showing strong earnings growth.
  • EPS of ₹8.57 with quarterly profit variation of 53.2% highlights robust performance.
  • PEG ratio of 0.27 indicates undervaluation relative to growth.
  • FII holdings increased (+1.12%), reflecting strong institutional confidence.

⚠️ Limitation

  • PE of 21.7 is higher than industry average (18.2), suggesting premium valuation.
  • Dividend yield is very low at 0.11%.
  • ROCE at 11.7% is modest compared to stronger peers.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 2.81 indicates moderate leverage risk.

📉 Company Negative News

  • No major negative news reported, but valuation premium and leverage remain concerns.

📈 Company Positive News

  • Quarterly profit growth continues with PAT rising to ₹243 Cr.
  • Strong institutional support with FII holdings increasing significantly.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry PE is 18.2, lower than CGCL’s PE of 21.7, suggesting slight overvaluation.
  • Financial services sector remains supported by credit demand and economic expansion.

🔎 Conclusion

CGCL is a strong swing trade candidate with improving profits and bullish technical momentum. Entry near ₹180–186 offers a favorable risk-reward setup, while exit near ₹210–214 is prudent unless momentum drives a breakout. Long-term investors should monitor valuation premium and leverage levels.

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