CCL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.6

📊 Technical & Fundamental Snapshot

✅ Strengths

MACD at 5.38 and RSI at 46.1 — momentum is stabilizing, with potential for bullish crossover.

Price near DMA50 (₹879) and above DMA200 (₹777)** — short-term support intact.

Volume spike (4.82L vs 2.00L avg) — strong participation.

Qtr Profit Var +24.7% — earnings momentum improving.

EPS ₹7.38 — consistent profitability.

FII (+0.44%) and DII (+0.31%) holding increased — institutional interest.

⚠️ Weaknesses

P/E of 120 vs industry 19.2 — extremely overvalued.

PEG ratio -11.8 — signals negative growth outlook.

ROCE (10.1%) and ROE (8.02%) — modest capital efficiency.

RSI below 50 — no trend confirmation yet.

52w Index at 82.6% — trading near highs, limited upside without breakout.

🧭 Trend Context (September 2025)

CCL is consolidating near its 50-DMA with volume support, but valuation remains stretched. The stock is trading at 82.6% of its 52-week range, suggesting limited upside unless a breakout above ₹890–₹895 is confirmed. Analysts are cautious due to the high P/E and negative PEG, but short-term momentum could favor a swing if technicals align.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Ideal entry: ₹875–₹885, near DMA50 and volume shelf.

Confirm entry only if RSI crosses 50 and MACD remains positive with volume >4L.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target zone: ₹920–₹940 (near recent resistance and psychological round).

Stop-loss: ₹855 (below DMA50 and recent swing low).

Exit trigger: RSI > 65 or MACD divergence near ₹940.

This setup is technically constructive but fundamentally stretched. If you're basket-optimizing across mid-cap consumer or export plays, I can scan for peers with stronger PEG and breakout setups. Just say the word.

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