CCL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.8

📈 CCL is a moderately strong swing trade candidate with improving earnings and technical support, though valuation and growth concerns suggest caution. Entry near ₹865 is optimal. If already held, consider exiting around ₹920–₹950.

📈 Positive

• 📊 ROCE of 10.1% and ROE of 8.02% reflect stable operational efficiency.
• 📈 MACD at 0.91 and RSI at 61.8 indicate mild bullish momentum.
• 📈 Trading above DMA 50 (₹862) and DMA 200 (₹799) confirms short-term strength.
• 📈 Quarterly PAT improved from ₹30.2 Cr. to ₹31.4 Cr. (↑4%), showing earnings consistency.
• 📈 DII holding increased by 0.64%, indicating growing domestic institutional interest.

⚠️ Limitation

• 💸 Stock P/E of 120 vs industry average of 24.4 suggests steep overvaluation.
• 📉 PEG ratio of -11.8 signals poor growth relative to valuation.
• 📉 FII holding declined by 0.12%, showing cautious foreign sentiment.
• 📉 Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.72 is relatively high for a mid-cap company.
• 📉 Volume only slightly above average (1.07L vs 90.9K), suggesting limited momentum.

📉 Company Negative News

• 📉 Analysts flagged concerns over high valuation and margin pressure due to rising input costs.

📈 Company Positive News

• 📈 CCL continues to expand its export footprint and diversify its product portfolio.
• 📈 Management expects demand recovery in key markets and improved operating leverage in H2.

☕ Industry

• ☕ The coffee and FMCG sector is seeing steady demand with rising global consumption trends.
• 📊 Industry P/E of 24.4 reflects moderate valuation across peers.

✅ Conclusion

• 📉 CCL is a moderate swing trade candidate with improving technicals and earnings but valuation concerns.
• 📉 Optimal entry price: ₹865–₹870 (near DMA 50 and support zone).
• 📈 Exit target: ₹920–₹950 (approaching resistance and psychological level).
• 📌 Watch for RSI crossing 65 and MACD widening for stronger confirmation before entry.

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