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CCL - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.7

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 08:56 pm

Technical Rating: 3.7

Stock Code CCL Market Cap 14,028 Cr. Current Price 1,051 ₹ High / Low 1,074 ₹
Stock P/E 66.8 Book Value 94.7 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.48 % ROCE 10.1 %
ROE 8.02 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 1,004 ₹ DMA 200 916 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.49 % Chg in DII Hold -0.30 % PAT Qtr 36.2 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 112 Cr.
RSI 56.3 MACD 13.2 Volume 1,99,186 Avg Vol 1Wk 2,74,164
Low price 475 ₹ High price 1,074 ₹ PEG Ratio -6.59 Debt to equity 0.69
52w Index 96.2 % Qtr Profit Var 286 % EPS 15.7 ₹ Industry PE 19.2

📊 Chart & Trend Analysis: CCL is trading at ₹1,051, slightly above its 50 DMA (₹1,004) and 200 DMA (₹916), indicating short-term strength but still near resistance. RSI at 56.3 suggests neutral-to-positive momentum, while MACD at 13.2 confirms mild bullish bias. Bollinger Bands show price moving toward the upper band, signaling potential upside continuation.

📈 Momentum Signals: Volume (1.99L) is lower than 1-week average (2.74L), reflecting reduced participation. RSI and MACD together highlight moderate bullish momentum, though volume weakness may limit breakout strength.

💹 Entry Zone: Strong support lies around ₹1,000–₹1,020 (near 50 DMA). Accumulation near this zone offers risk-managed entry.

💰 Exit Zone: Resistance levels are ₹1,074 (recent high). A breakout above ₹1,074 would confirm reversal and open upside toward ₹1,150–₹1,200.

🔎 Trend Status: The stock is trending upward with mild bullish bias. Sustained move above ₹1,074 backed by volume is required to confirm breakout momentum.


Positive

  • Strong ROCE (10.1%) and ROE (8.02%) show improving efficiency.
  • EPS at ₹15.7 provides earnings visibility.
  • FII holding increased (+0.49%), reflecting foreign investor confidence.
  • Quarterly profit variation (+286% YoY) highlights strong operational improvement.

Limitation

  • High P/E (66.8) compared to industry average (19.2), making valuation expensive.
  • PEG ratio (-6.59) suggests poor growth-to-valuation balance.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.69 highlights moderate leverage risk.

Company Negative News

  • DII holding decreased (-0.30%), showing reduced domestic institutional confidence.
  • Quarterly PAT declined sequentially (₹36.2 Cr vs ₹112 Cr), reflecting margin pressure.

Company Positive News

  • FII holding increased (+0.49%), showing foreign confidence.
  • Quarterly profit variation (+286% YoY) highlights strong turnaround momentum.

Industry

  • Coffee and beverage sector benefits from rising global demand and export opportunities.
  • Industry P/E at 19.2 indicates CCL trades at a steep premium (P/E 66.8).

Conclusion

⚖️ CCL is fundamentally improving with strong YoY profit growth and foreign investor support, but technically faces resistance near ₹1,074 and trades at expensive valuations. Entry near ₹1,000–₹1,020 offers favorable risk-reward, while breakout above ₹1,074 is needed for bullish confirmation. Long-term investors should accumulate cautiously, while traders should wait for volume-backed breakout signals.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay with Tata Coffee, Nestlé, and ITC so you can compare CCL’s momentum against the broader beverages & FMCG sector rotation?

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