CCL - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation
Back to ListFundamental Rating: 4.0
| Stock Code | CCL | Market Cap | 14,210 Cr. | Current Price | 1,064 ₹ | High / Low | 1,218 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 49.5 | Book Value | 103 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.47 % | ROCE | 20.6 % |
| ROE | 22.4 % | Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 1,089 ₹ | DMA 200 | 981 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.23 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.10 % | PAT Qtr | 107 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 36.2 Cr. |
| RSI | 41.9 | MACD | -2.30 | Volume | 6,58,981 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 2,13,539 |
| Low price | 772 ₹ | High price | 1,218 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 2.77 | Debt to equity | 0.45 |
| 52w Index | 65.5 % | Qtr Profit Var | 256 % | EPS | 21.5 ₹ | Industry PE | 20.2 |
📊 Financial Overview: CCL Products (CCL) has a market cap of ₹14,210 Cr. Quarterly PAT rose sharply to ₹107 Cr from ₹36.2 Cr, reflecting strong earnings growth. Debt-to-equity ratio is 0.45, indicating moderate leverage. ROCE at 20.6% and ROE at 22.4% highlight solid efficiency. Cash flows remain supported by strong demand in coffee exports and domestic consumption.
💹 Valuation Indicators: Current P/E of 49.5 is significantly above the industry average of 20.2, suggesting overvaluation. P/B ratio is ~10.3 (1064 ÷ 103), which is elevated. PEG ratio of 2.77 indicates expensive growth. Intrinsic value appears lower than current price, making the stock richly valued despite strong fundamentals.
🏭 Business Model & Advantage: CCL operates in coffee manufacturing and exports, with competitive advantages in scale, global distribution, and product diversification. Its strong presence in instant coffee and B2B partnerships ensures recurring revenues. However, exposure to commodity price fluctuations and global demand cycles remain risks.
📈 Entry Zone: A favorable entry zone would be around ₹950–1,000, closer to its 200 DMA (₹981) and below current levels. Current price of ₹1,064 is slightly above fair value, so accumulation is better on dips.
⏳ Long-Term Holding Guidance: CCL is structurally strong with consistent demand, global reach, and efficient capital usage. Long-term investors may hold confidently, though fresh entry should be cautious given premium valuations.
Positive
- 🌟 Strong ROCE (20.6%) and ROE (22.4%).
- 🌟 Quarterly PAT growth of 256% YoY.
- 🌟 FII holdings increased by 0.23%.
Limitation
- ⚠️ High P/E (49.5) compared to industry average (20.2).
- ⚠️ Elevated P/B ratio (~10.3).
- ⚠️ PEG ratio of 2.77 indicates expensive growth.
Company Negative News
- 📉 DII holdings reduced by 0.10%.
- 📉 Technical weakness with RSI at 41.9 and MACD negative (-2.30).
Company Positive News
- 📈 Quarterly PAT surged from ₹36.2 Cr to ₹107 Cr.
- 📈 FII holdings increased by 0.23%.
- 📈 Strong demand outlook in coffee exports and domestic consumption.
Industry
- 🏭 Coffee manufacturing and exports industry is expanding with rising global demand.
- 🏭 Industry P/E at 20.2 shows moderate valuation compared to CCL’s premium.
- 🏭 Sector faces risks from commodity price fluctuations and global trade cycles.
Conclusion
✅ CCL Products is fundamentally strong with efficient capital usage, global reach, and strong earnings growth. However, valuations are stretched compared to industry peers. Suitable for long-term holding, with accumulation recommended around ₹950–1,000 levels.
For deeper insights, you could explore a peer comparison or a technical chart analysis to complement this fundamental view.