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CCL - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 3.7

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 07:10 pm

Fundamental Rating: 3.7

Stock Code CCL Market Cap 14,028 Cr. Current Price 1,051 ₹ High / Low 1,074 ₹
Stock P/E 66.8 Book Value 94.7 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.48 % ROCE 10.1 %
ROE 8.02 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 1,004 ₹ DMA 200 916 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.49 % Chg in DII Hold -0.30 % PAT Qtr 36.2 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 112 Cr.
RSI 56.3 MACD 13.2 Volume 1,99,186 Avg Vol 1Wk 2,74,164
Low price 475 ₹ High price 1,074 ₹ PEG Ratio -6.59 Debt to equity 0.69
52w Index 96.2 % Qtr Profit Var 286 % EPS 15.7 ₹ Industry PE 19.2

📊 Financials

  • Revenue Growth: PAT dropped sharply from 112 Cr. to 36.2 Cr., showing volatility
  • Profit Margins: EPS at 15.7 ₹, modest relative to valuation
  • Debt Ratios: Debt-to-Equity 0.69, moderately high leverage
  • Cash Flows: Supported by coffee export operations, but cyclical
  • Return Metrics: ROE 8.02%, ROCE 10.1% — weak efficiency

💹 Valuation

  • P/E Ratio: 66.8 (very high vs Industry PE 19.2)
  • P/B Ratio: ~11.1 (premium, reflects market optimism)
  • PEG Ratio: -6.59 (negative, indicates poor growth outlook)
  • Intrinsic Value: Current price (1,051 ₹) above DMA 50 (1,004 ₹) & DMA 200 (916 ₹), showing technical strength despite weak fundamentals

🏢 Business Model & Competitive Advantage

  • Leading coffee exporter with global presence
  • Competitive advantage in scale and international distribution
  • Profitability metrics weak compared to valuation

📈 Entry Zone Recommendation

  • Entry Zone: 1,000–1,050 ₹ (near support levels, RSI at 56.3)
  • Long-Term Holding: Suitable for investors seeking commodity exposure, but caution due to earnings volatility and high valuation

✅ Positive

  • FII holding increased (+0.49%)
  • Stock trading above DMA 50 & 200, showing technical strength
  • Strong brand presence in coffee exports

⚠️ Limitation

  • High P/E ratio compared to industry
  • Negative PEG ratio (-6.59), poor growth outlook
  • Weak ROE (8.02%) and ROCE (10.1%)

📉 Company Negative News

  • DII holding decreased (-0.30%)
  • Quarterly PAT dropped significantly

📈 Company Positive News

  • FII holding increased (+0.49%)
  • Stock showing technical strength above DMA levels

🏭 Industry

  • Coffee export industry cyclical, influenced by global demand and commodity prices
  • Industry PE at 19.2, CCL trades at a steep premium

🔎 Conclusion

CCL Products is a leading coffee exporter with global reach, but profitability metrics remain weak and valuations are stretched with a P/E of 66.8. Despite technical strength, fundamentals show volatility with sharp PAT decline. Entry around 1,000–1,050 ₹ may be considered, but long-term investors should be cautious due to high valuation and cyclical risks.

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