BPCL - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 4.5

📈 Strong technical momentum, breakout setup, and institutional interest make BPCL a compelling intraday candidate.

💡 Optimal Buy Price: ₹370

🎯 Profit Target: ₹374 | Stop Loss: ₹364

⏱️ If already holding, consider exiting near ₹374 or if price dips below ₹364 with rising volume.

📈 Positive

• 📊 MACD at 8.28 confirms bullish momentum
• 📈 RSI at 75.6 suggests strong buying pressure and breakout potential
• 📍 Price is above both DMA 50 and DMA 200 (₹336 & ₹318)
• 📈 Trading at 52-week high (₹374) with strong price action
• 💰 ROCE of 19.6% and ROE of 18.7% reflect solid operational efficiency
• 📈 FII holding increased by 1.08%, showing foreign investor confidence

⚠️ Limitation

• 🔇 Volume (1.37 Cr.) is flat vs. 1-week average (1.37 Cr.)
• 📉 DII holding declined by 0.87%, indicating domestic caution
• 📉 PEG ratio of 0.57 suggests moderate growth relative to valuation

🚫 Company Negative News

• 📉 No major negative headlines, but DII reduction may reflect short-term caution

✅ Company Positive News

• 📈 PAT improved from ₹6,124 Cr. to ₹6,443 Cr. (+169%)
• 📊 EPS of ₹47.1 and dividend yield of 2.68% support long-term value

🛢️ Industry

• ⛽ Operates in the oil and gas refining and marketing sector
• 📊 Trades at a P/E of 7.46 vs. Industry PE of 20.3, indicating undervaluation

🧾 Conclusion

• BPCL is a strong intraday candidate with breakout potential and institutional support
• Best suited for momentum-based trades with disciplined stop-loss
• Watch for price action near ₹374 and RSI cooling below 70 for exit signals

I can also compare BPCL’s setup with other energy stocks like IOC or HPCL to sharpen your intraday strategy.