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BERGEPAINT - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 4

Last Updated Time : 04 May 26, 11:56 am

Technical Rating: 4.0

Stock Code BERGEPAINT Market Cap 55,164 Cr. Current Price 473 ₹ High / Low 605 ₹
Stock P/E 51.5 Book Value 49.0 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.80 % ROCE 24.9 %
ROE 20.0 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 457 ₹ DMA 200 497 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.57 % Chg in DII Hold 0.63 % PAT Qtr 336 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 176 Cr.
RSI 60.4 MACD 8.47 Volume 2,80,115 Avg Vol 1Wk 1,44,833
Low price 391 ₹ High price 605 ₹ PEG Ratio 3.98 Debt to equity 0.08
52w Index 38.3 % Qtr Profit Var 9.90 % EPS 8.62 ₹ Industry PE 36.6

📈 Chart & Trend Analysis:

- Current price ₹473 is above 50 DMA (₹457) but still below 200 DMA (₹497), showing short-term strength but medium-term resistance.

- RSI at 60.4 indicates healthy momentum, not yet overbought.

- MACD at 8.47 remains positive, supporting bullish bias.

- Bollinger Bands suggest price is mid-range, leaving room for expansion.

- Volume (2,80,115) is nearly double the 1-week average (1,44,833), confirming strong buying interest.

🎯 Entry Zone: ₹455–465 (support near 50 DMA)

🎯 Exit Zone: ₹495–510 (resistance near 200 DMA and supply zone)

📊 Status: Trending upward with momentum support, but medium-term reversal risk if resistance holds.

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Positive

✔ Strong ROCE (24.9%) and ROE (20%)

✔ Low debt-to-equity (0.08) ensures balance sheet strength

✔ PAT growth (336 Cr vs 176 Cr) reflects robust earnings momentum

✔ Volume surge signals renewed investor participation

Limitation

⚠ High P/E (51.5 vs industry 36.6) indicates overvaluation

⚠ PEG ratio (3.98) suggests expensive growth prospects

⚠ Price still below 200 DMA, limiting breakout potential

Company Negative News

📉 Decline in FII holdings (-0.57%) shows reduced foreign investor confidence

Company Positive News

📈 Increase in DII holdings (+0.63%) reflects domestic institutional support

📈 Strong quarterly profit variation (9.9%) adds earnings visibility

Industry

🏭 Paints & coatings sector trades at lower average PE (36.6), making BERGEPAINT relatively expensive compared to peers

Conclusion

BERGEPAINT shows short-term bullish momentum supported by volume and MACD, but valuation remains stretched. Accumulation near ₹455–465 is favorable, with profit booking around ₹495–510 unless a decisive breakout above 200 DMA occurs. Long-term investors should weigh strong fundamentals against premium valuation risks.

This balances the short-term technical momentum with the valuation-driven caution. Would you like me to extend this into a dual-view report (short-term trading vs long-term investment suitability) so you can directly overlay both perspectives in your modular workflow?

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