BERGEPAINT - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:02 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.2

📊 Analysis: BERGEPAINT is trading at ₹535, below both 50 DMA (₹551) and 200 DMA (₹544), showing technical weakness. RSI at 37.9 indicates weak momentum, while MACD (-5.50) confirms bearish bias. Current volume (91,946) is lower than average weekly volume (1,21,939), reflecting reduced intraday participation. Fundamentals remain strong with ROCE (24.9%) and ROE (20.0%), but quarterly PAT declined (-23.0%). Valuation is stretched with a P/E of 60.0 compared to industry PE of 38.7, limiting upside potential.

💡 Optimal Buy Price: Around ₹530–₹538 (near support zone).

🎯 Profit-Taking Exit Levels: ₹545 (first resistance), ₹552 (next resistance).

🛡️ Stop-Loss / Loss Protection: ₹525 (below intraday support).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Consider partial exit near ₹545 if momentum slows. Full exit if price falls below ₹525 with weakening RSI or MACD divergence. Intraday trend remains fragile given weak momentum and declining profits.

✅ Positive

• 📈 Strong ROCE (24.9%) and ROE (20.0%).
• 💹 EPS of ₹8.69 supports earnings visibility.
• 📊 Dividend yield of 0.72% provides shareholder returns.
• 📈 Debt-to-equity ratio low at 0.08, showing financial stability.
• 📊 DII holding increased (+0.26%).

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 Trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, indicating technical weakness.
• 📊 RSI at 37.9 shows weak momentum.
• 📉 MACD negative (-5.50), confirming bearish trend.
• 📉 Current volume below average weekly volume.
• 💸 High P/E (60.0) compared to industry PE (38.7).
• 📉 PEG ratio (4.64) indicates expensive valuation relative to growth.

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 Quarterly PAT declined from ₹321 Cr. to ₹176 Cr. (-23.0%).
• 📉 FII holding decreased (-0.24%).

🌟 Company Positive News

• 📈 DII holding increased (+0.26%).
• 📊 Dividend yield maintained at 0.72%.

🏭 Industry

• 📊 Industry PE at 38.7, lower than BERGEPAINT’s 60.0, showing premium valuation.
• 🎨 Paints and coatings sector outlook remains strong with demand from housing and infrastructure.

📌 Conclusion

BERGEPAINT is a weak-to-moderate candidate for intraday trading today due to weak RSI, negative MACD, and trading below key moving averages. Cautious entries near ₹530–₹538 may be considered with tight stop-loss at ₹525 and profit exits at ₹545–₹552. Intraday momentum remains fragile, favoring conservative strategies despite strong fundamentals.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay with other paint sector stocks (like Asian Paints, Kansai Nerolac, Akzo Nobel) to highlight relative intraday strength?