BASF - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 2.9

📉 Technical & Fundamental Snapshot

⚠️ Weak Momentum & Structure

MACD at -20.1 — bearish momentum, no crossover signal.

RSI at 48.5 — neutral to weak, no strength confirmation.

Price below DMA50 (₹4,722) and DMA200 (₹4,920) — confirms downtrend.

52w Index at 12.5% — near bottom, but no reversal signs yet.

Volume flat (13.5K vs 12.6K avg) — no breakout interest.

🧮 Valuation & Earnings

P/E of 48.9 vs industry 33.9 — overvalued.

PEG ratio -7.32 — negative growth outlook.

Qtr Profit Var -30.1% — earnings contraction.

EPS ₹98.4 is decent, but not enough to justify valuation.

ROCE (18.0%) and ROE (13.7%) — solid, but not momentum-driving.

🏦 Institutional Sentiment

FII holding dipped (-0.08%), DII flat (+0.01%) — no conviction.

Debt-to-equity 0.04 — low leverage, good for downside cushion.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Wait for a pullback near ₹4,400–₹4,450, ideally with MACD flattening and RSI crossing 50.

Entry only if volume expands and price reclaims DMA50.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target zone: ₹4,750–₹4,800 (near DMA50 resistance).

Stop-loss: ₹4,500 (below recent support).

Exit trigger: RSI fails to hold above 50 or MACD diverges further.

This setup lacks momentum and institutional conviction. If you're basket-building, I can scan for chemical sector stocks with better PEG and MACD crossover setups. Want a filtered rotation set with volume breakout logic?

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