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BASF - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 3.9

Last Updated Time : 05 Feb 26, 02:12 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.9

Stock Code BASF Market Cap 16,255 Cr. Current Price 3,754 ₹ High / Low 5,424 ₹
Stock P/E 42.3 Book Value 881 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.53 % ROCE 18.0 %
ROE 13.7 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 3,865 ₹ DMA 200 4,398 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.01 % Chg in DII Hold -0.01 % PAT Qtr 101 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 147 Cr.
RSI 52.2 MACD -52.4 Volume 1,02,109 Avg Vol 1Wk 37,163
Low price 3,523 ₹ High price 5,424 ₹ PEG Ratio -6.33 Debt to equity 0.04
52w Index 12.2 % Qtr Profit Var -21.0 % EPS 92.2 ₹ Industry PE 27.4

📊 BASF (₹3,754) and AXISBANK (₹1,338) present contrasting swing trade opportunities. BASF trades below its 50 DMA (₹3,865) and 200 DMA (₹4,398), with RSI at 52.2 and negative MACD (-52.4), indicating weak momentum. Fundamentals show high P/E (42.3 vs industry 27.4) and declining quarterly PAT (₹101 Cr. vs ₹147 Cr.), though ROCE (18%) and ROE (13.7%) remain decent. AXISBANK trades above both DMAs with positive MACD (20.8) and RSI at 56.9, suggesting bullish momentum. Fundamentals are stronger with P/E 17.0 (close to industry 15.8), ROE 16%, and quarterly PAT growth (₹6,490 Cr. vs ₹5,090 Cr.). AXISBANK is technically and fundamentally better positioned for swing trading.

💡 Optimal Entry Price:

- BASF: ₹3,600–₹3,650 (near support).

- AXISBANK: ₹1,300–₹1,320 (near support zone).

💡 Exit Strategy:

- BASF: Exit near ₹3,950–₹4,000 if rebound occurs.

- AXISBANK: Exit near ₹1,390–₹1,410 unless momentum strengthens further.

✅ Positive

  • BASF: Strong ROCE (18%) and ROE (13.7%), low debt-to-equity (0.04), decent dividend yield (0.53%).
  • AXISBANK: Trading above DMAs, strong quarterly PAT growth, ROE 16%, FII holdings increased (+0.69%).

⚠️ Limitation

  • BASF: High P/E (42.3 vs industry 27.4), declining profits, weak technical momentum.
  • AXISBANK: Low ROCE (6.95%), high debt-to-equity (7.52, typical for banks), low dividend yield (0.07%).

📉 Company Negative News

  • BASF: Profit decline in recent quarter (-21% variation).
  • AXISBANK: No major negative news, but leverage risk remains.

📈 Company Positive News

  • BASF: Stable EPS (₹92.2), strong balance sheet with low debt.
  • AXISBANK: Strong quarterly profit growth, EPS ₹79.0, positive technical indicators.

🏭 Industry

  • BASF: Industry PE ~27.4, company trades at premium, reflecting higher valuation despite weaker earnings.
  • AXISBANK: Industry PE ~15.8, company trades slightly above, supported by growth expectations in banking sector.

🔎 Conclusion

AXISBANK is a stronger candidate for swing trading due to bullish technicals and improving profitability. Entry near ₹1,300–₹1,320 with exit around ₹1,390–₹1,410 is advisable

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