BASF - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:02 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 2.6

📊 Analysis: BASF is trading at ₹3,898, below both 50 DMA (₹4,249) and 200 DMA (₹4,644), indicating technical weakness. RSI at 20.6 shows oversold conditions, while MACD (-137) confirms strong bearish momentum. Current volume (13,193) is nearly equal to average weekly volume (13,074), suggesting limited intraday participation. Fundamentals show decent ROCE (18.0%) and ROE (13.7%), but quarterly PAT has declined (-21.0%) and valuation is stretched with a P/E of 43.9 compared to industry PE of 26.6.

💡 Optimal Buy Price: Around ₹3,880–₹3,900 (near current support zone).

🎯 Profit-Taking Exit Levels: ₹3,940 (first resistance), ₹3,980 (next resistance).

🛡️ Stop-Loss / Loss Protection: ₹3,860 (below intraday support).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Consider partial exit near ₹3,940 if momentum fails to improve. Full exit if price breaks below ₹3,860 with continued weak RSI and MACD divergence. Intraday trend remains fragile given oversold conditions and declining profits.

✅ Positive

• 📈 Strong ROCE (18.0%) and ROE (13.7%).
• 💹 EPS of ₹92.2 supports valuation strength.
• 📊 Debt-to-equity ratio is very low (0.04), showing financial stability.
• 📈 Dividend yield of 0.52% provides minor shareholder returns.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 Trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, indicating technical weakness.
• 📊 RSI at 20.6 shows oversold momentum.
• 📉 MACD strongly negative (-137), confirming bearish trend.
• 📉 PEG ratio (-6.57) indicates poor growth valuation.
• 📉 52-week performance weak (+5.18%).

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 Quarterly PAT declined from ₹147 Cr. to ₹101 Cr. (-21.0%).
• 📉 FII holding decreased (-0.07%).

🌟 Company Positive News

• 📈 DII holding increased (+0.12%).
• 📊 Dividend yield maintained at 0.52%.

🏭 Industry

• 📊 Industry PE at 26.6, much lower than BASF’s 43.9, showing premium valuation.
• 🧪 Specialty chemicals sector outlook remains steady but competitive.

📌 Conclusion

BASF is a weak candidate for intraday trading today due to oversold RSI, strong bearish MACD, and trading below key moving averages. Cautious entries near ₹3,880–₹3,900 may be considered with tight stop-loss at ₹3,860 and profit exits at ₹3,940–₹3,980. Intraday momentum remains fragile, favoring conservative strategies.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay with other specialty chemical stocks (like Atul, Deepak Nitrite, SRF) to highlight relative intraday strength?