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BASF - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.6

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 08:56 pm

Technical Rating: 3.6

Stock Code BASF Market Cap 14,853 Cr. Current Price 3,418 ₹ High / Low 5,424 ₹
Stock P/E 38.4 Book Value 881 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.58 % ROCE 18.0 %
ROE 13.7 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 3,637 ₹ DMA 200 4,187 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.01 % Chg in DII Hold -0.01 % PAT Qtr 105 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 101 Cr.
RSI 41.0 MACD -64.0 Volume 28,872 Avg Vol 1Wk 23,806
Low price 2,907 ₹ High price 5,424 ₹ PEG Ratio -5.76 Debt to equity 0.04
52w Index 20.3 % Qtr Profit Var 0.12 % EPS 92.5 ₹ Industry PE 25.7

📈 Chart & Trend Analysis: BASF is trading below both its 50 DMA (3,637 ₹) and 200 DMA (4,187 ₹), with the current price at 3,418 ₹. This indicates bearish bias and short-term weakness.

📊 Momentum Indicators: RSI at 41.0 shows weak momentum, leaning towards oversold territory. MACD at -64.0 confirms bearish crossover, signaling continued short-term weakness.

📉 Bollinger Bands & Volume: Price is near the lower band, suggesting potential support but also weakness. Current volume (28,872) is slightly above weekly average (23,806), showing mild participation but no strong buying interest.

🔑 Support & Resistance Zones:

- Support: 3,400 ₹ (near-term), 2,907 ₹ (major low)

- Resistance: 3,637 ₹ (50 DMA), 3,800–4,000 ₹ (trendline resistance), 4,187 ₹ (200 DMA)

Optimal Entry: 3,350–3,400 ₹ (near support)

Optimal Exit: 3,600–3,800 ₹ (resistance zone)

📌 Trend Status: The stock is consolidating with bearish bias, showing weak momentum and trading below key moving averages.


Positive

  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04 indicates strong financial stability.
  • ROCE (18.0%) and ROE (13.7%) show decent capital efficiency.
  • EPS of 92.5 ₹ supports valuation strength.

Limitation

  • Stock P/E (38.4) is higher than industry average (25.7), suggesting stretched valuation.
  • PEG ratio (-5.76) indicates poor earnings growth relative to valuation.
  • Weak RSI and negative MACD show lack of momentum.

Company Negative News

  • FII holding decreased (-0.01%) and DII holding decreased (-0.01%), showing reduced institutional confidence.
  • Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, reflecting short-term weakness.

Company Positive News

  • Quarterly PAT improved slightly (105 Cr. vs 101 Cr.), showing earnings stability.
  • Dividend yield of 0.58% provides minor shareholder returns.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 25.7 is lower than BASF’s PE (38.4), suggesting premium valuation compared to peers.
  • Chemicals sector outlook remains cyclical, with demand tied to industrial growth and global commodity trends.

Conclusion

⚖️ BASF is consolidating with bearish bias, trading below key moving averages with weak momentum signals. Fundamentals show financial stability and decent ROE/ROCE, but stretched valuation and poor growth metrics limit upside. Traders may consider entry near 3,350–3,400 ₹ with exits around 3,600–3,800 ₹, but momentum confirmation is needed before aggressive positioning.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay comparing BASF against other chemical sector stocks (valuation, ROE/ROCE, momentum) so you can see relative strength before deciding entry?

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