BAJFINANCE - Swing Trade Analysis
Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am
Back to Swing Trade List📊 Swing Trade Analysis for BAJFINANCE Ltd.
Swing Trade Rating: 3.9
⚙️ Technical Overview
Current Price ₹887 is below DMA 50 ₹921 but above DMA 200 ₹846 — suggests medium-term support is intact.
RSI (38.3): Near oversold zone — potential for rebound if buying activity resumes.
MACD (-3.44): Mildly negative, but not alarming — momentum is weak yet could reverse quickly.
Volume below weekly average — signals caution from market participants.
📉 Technical Conclusion: Setup is neutral-weak; wait for MACD crossover and volume uptick for confirmation.
📚 Fundamental Snapshot
P/E (31.6) vs. Industry PE (25.2) — trading at a premium.
PEG (0.95) — healthy growth-price balance, favorable for medium-term trades.
EPS ₹28.1 and Book Value ₹156 — reflects decent intrinsic strength.
Debt-to-Equity (3.74) — high leverage; manageable for NBFC but adds risk.
ROE (19.2%) & ROCE (11.4%) — satisfactory, though not stellar.
Dividend Yield (0.50%) — negligible for swing outlook.
PAT Qtr Growth: ₹4,480 Cr → ₹4,700 Cr (+20.1%) — strong earning momentum.
FII/DII Movement: Marginal — no clear institutional conviction.
📈 Fundamental Verdict: Solid growth momentum, but debt and valuation premium merit caution.
✅ Optimal Entry Zone
Entry Range: ₹865–₹875 — near dynamic support level; wait for MACD and RSI confirmation.
Stop-Loss: ₹850 — slightly below 200-DMA and psychological round figure.
🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)
Short-Term Target: ₹920–₹930 — near 50-DMA resistance.
Extended Target: ₹950+ — if volume surges and RSI crosses 55.
Trailing Stop: Move to ₹900 once ₹920 is breached to lock gains.
💡 Final Insight
BAJFINANCE has decent swing potential with improving quarterly profits and an oversold chart, but it's walking the tightrope of premium valuation and high leverage. Patience and timing are key — wait for technical confirmation before making your move.
If you’d like to compare with similar NBFCs showing stronger charts or lower debt, I can pull up contenders that might offer sharper swing setups.
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