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BAJFINANCE - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.7

Last Updated Time : 03 Feb 26, 05:01 pm

Technical Rating: 3.7

Stock Code BAJFINANCE Market Cap 5,62,730 Cr. Current Price 904 ₹ High / Low 1,102 ₹
Stock P/E 35.2 Book Value 150 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.50 % ROCE 11.5 %
ROE 18.5 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 974 ₹ DMA 200 946 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.48 % Chg in DII Hold 0.47 % PAT Qtr 4,251 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 4,133 Cr.
RSI 31.5 MACD -19.8 Volume 40,48,039 Avg Vol 1Wk 86,80,109
Low price 788 ₹ High price 1,102 ₹ PEG Ratio 1.09 Debt to equity 3.18
52w Index 37.0 % Qtr Profit Var 17.2 % EPS 25.8 ₹ Industry PE 19.0

📈 Technical Analysis

  • Chart Patterns: Price is below both 50 DMA (974 ₹) and 200 DMA (946 ₹), showing weakness.
  • Moving Averages: Current price (904 ₹) is under DMAs, indicating bearish bias.
  • RSI: At 31.5, oversold territory, suggesting potential rebound.
  • MACD: Negative (-19.8), confirming bearish momentum.
  • Bollinger Bands: Price is near lower band, showing oversold conditions.
  • Volume Trends: Current volume (40,48,039) is below 1-week average (86,80,109), indicating weak participation.

📊 Momentum & Trend

  • Short-term Momentum: Bearish with RSI oversold and MACD negative.
  • Support Zone: 890 ₹ – 905 ₹ (near current levels).
  • Resistance Zone: 950 ₹ – 970 ₹ (near 50 DMA).
  • Trend: Consolidating with bearish bias.
  • Optimal Entry: Around 890 ₹ – 905 ₹ if support holds.
  • Optimal Exit: Around 950 ₹ – 970 ₹ unless breakout occurs.

✅ Positive

  • Strong ROE (18.5%) and decent ROCE (11.5%).
  • Quarterly PAT growth (4,251 Cr vs 4,133 Cr), showing earnings momentum.
  • PEG ratio (1.09) indicates fair valuation relative to growth.

⚠️ Limitation

  • P/E (35.2) is much higher than industry average (19.0), suggesting overvaluation.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio (3.18) indicates high leverage.
  • Dividend yield is modest (0.50%), limiting investor returns.

📉 Company Negative News

  • FII holding decreased (-0.48%), showing weaker foreign investor sentiment.

📈 Company Positive News

  • DII holding increased (+0.47%), showing stronger domestic institutional support.
  • Quarterly profit growth of 17.2% indicates operational improvement.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry PE at 19.0, much lower than company PE, suggesting valuation premium.
  • Sector outlook remains steady, but company trades at higher multiples than peers.

🔎 Conclusion

  • Stock is consolidating with bearish signals but oversold conditions may trigger rebound.
  • Entry near support (890 ₹ – 905 ₹) could be favorable for short-term speculative trades.
  • Exit near resistance (950 ₹ – 970 ₹) unless breakout confirms reversal.
  • Long-term investors should be cautious due to high leverage and stretched valuations despite strong earnings growth.

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