BAJAJFINSV - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 2.9
| Stock Code | BAJAJFINSV | Market Cap | 2,74,325 Cr. | Current Price | 1,715 ₹ | High / Low | 2,195 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 193 | Book Value | 62.6 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.06 % | ROCE | 27.4 % |
| ROE | 20.9 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 1,937 ₹ | DMA 200 | 1,974 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.05 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.25 % | PAT Qtr | 0.62 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 1,085 Cr. |
| RSI | 27.5 | MACD | -69.3 | Volume | 14,17,398 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 15,64,225 |
| Low price | 1,702 ₹ | High price | 2,195 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 3.36 | Debt to equity | 0.00 |
| 52w Index | 2.60 % | Qtr Profit Var | -94.2 % | EPS | 8.91 ₹ | Industry PE | 16.3 |
📊 The stock BAJAJFINSV shows weak potential for swing trading at present. Current price (₹1,715) is below both 50 DMA (₹1,937) and 200 DMA (₹1,974), indicating bearish momentum. RSI at 27.5 suggests the stock is oversold, which may trigger a rebound, but MACD is strongly negative (-69.3), confirming downward sentiment. Valuation is extremely stretched with P/E of 193 compared to industry average of 16.3, and PEG ratio of 3.36 highlights overvaluation relative to growth. Quarterly PAT collapsed from ₹1,085 Cr. to just ₹0.62 Cr., showing severe weakness in fundamentals. Volume is slightly below weekly average, limiting momentum strength.
💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around ₹1,700–1,710 if RSI remains oversold and price stabilizes.
📉 Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider exiting near ₹1,900–1,950 resistance zone unless strong reversal signals appear.
✅ Positive
- Strong ROCE (27.4%) and ROE (20.9%) indicate efficient capital use.
- Debt-free company (Debt-to-equity 0.00).
- DII holding increased (+0.25%), showing domestic institutional support.
⚠️ Limitation
- Extremely high P/E (193) compared to industry average (16.3).
- PEG ratio (3.36) suggests overvaluation relative to growth.
- Price trading below DMA levels shows weak technical momentum.
📉 Company Negative News
- Quarterly PAT collapsed from ₹1,085 Cr. to ₹0.62 Cr. (-94.2%).
- FII holding decreased (-0.05%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
📈 Company Positive News
- EPS of ₹8.91 reflects earnings despite sharp decline.
- Debt-free balance sheet provides financial stability.
🏭 Industry
- Industry P/E at 16.3 shows peers trade at much lower valuations.
- Financial services sector remains cyclical but supported by long-term demand outlook.
🔎 Conclusion
BAJAJFINSV is fundamentally strong in capital efficiency but currently overvalued and showing severe weakness in profitability. Entry near ₹1,700–1,710 may be considered cautiously for a rebound trade, but exit near ₹1,900–1,950 is advisable unless earnings and technical indicators improve significantly.