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BAJAJFINSV - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 3.7

Last Updated Time : 05 Feb 26, 02:12 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.7

Stock Code BAJAJFINSV Market Cap 3,22,566 Cr. Current Price 2,019 ₹ High / Low 2,195 ₹
Stock P/E 227 Book Value 62.6 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.05 % ROCE 27.4 %
ROE 20.9 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 2,008 ₹ DMA 200 1,989 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.05 % Chg in DII Hold 0.25 % PAT Qtr 0.62 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 1,085 Cr.
RSI 55.3 MACD -15.7 Volume 11,99,148 Avg Vol 1Wk 11,86,326
Low price 1,727 ₹ High price 2,195 ₹ PEG Ratio 3.95 Debt to equity 0.00
52w Index 62.4 % Qtr Profit Var -94.2 % EPS 8.91 ₹ Industry PE 19.9

📊 BAJAJFINSV (₹2,019) and BAJFINANCE (₹964) show contrasting swing trade setups. BAJAJFINSV trades close to its 50 DMA (₹2,008) and 200 DMA (₹1,989), with RSI at 55.3 but negative MACD (-15.7), indicating consolidation and mild weakness. Fundamentals are stretched with extremely high P/E (227 vs industry 19.9), very low EPS (₹8.91), and sharp PAT decline (₹0.62 Cr. vs ₹1,085 Cr.), making valuations risky. BAJFINANCE trades near its 50 DMA (₹970) and 200 DMA (₹946), with RSI at 52.9 and negative MACD (-13.0), showing neutral momentum. Fundamentals are stronger with P/E 37.3 vs industry 18.9, ROE 18.5%, and PAT stability (₹3,750 Cr. vs ₹4,251 Cr.), though leverage is high (debt-to-equity 3.18). BAJFINANCE is relatively better positioned for swing trading than BAJAJFINSV.

💡 Optimal Entry Price:

- BAJAJFINSV: ₹1,950–₹1,970 (near support).

- BAJFINANCE: ₹940–₹950 (near 200 DMA support).

💡 Exit Strategy:

- BAJAJFINSV: Exit near ₹2,080–₹2,100 if rebound occurs.

- BAJFINANCE: Exit near ₹1,020–₹1,050 unless momentum strengthens further.

✅ Positive

  • BAJAJFINSV: Strong ROCE (27.4%) and ROE (20.9%), debt-free balance sheet, DII holdings increased (+0.25%).
  • BAJFINANCE: Strong ROE (18.5%), PEG ratio 1.15 indicates fair growth valuation, high trading volume, DII holdings increased (+0.47%).

⚠️ Limitation

  • BAJAJFINSV: Extremely high P/E (227), sharp PAT decline (-94.2%), very low EPS (₹8.91), weak technicals.
  • BAJFINANCE: High P/E (37.3 vs industry 18.9), PAT decline, high debt-to-equity (3.18), FII holdings reduced (-0.48%).

📉 Company Negative News

  • BAJAJFINSV: Profit collapse in recent quarter raises caution.
  • BAJFINANCE: Valuation premium and leverage risk remain concerns.

📈 Company Positive News

  • BAJAJFINSV: Strong capital efficiency despite profit decline, debt-free structure.
  • BAJFINANCE: Stable earnings, EPS ₹27.2, resilient demand in financial services sector.

🏭 Industry

  • BAJAJFINSV: Industry PE ~19.9, company trades at extreme premium, making valuations risky.
  • BAJFINANCE: Industry PE ~18.9, company trades at premium but supported by growth expectations.

🔎 Conclusion

BAJFINANCE is

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