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BAJAJFINSV - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.8

Last Updated Time : 28 May 26, 06:46 pm

Technical Rating: 3.8

Stock Code BAJAJFINSV Market Cap 2,90,148 Cr. Current Price 1,812 ₹ High / Low 2,195 ₹
Stock P/E 203 Book Value 63.6 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.08 % ROCE 19.2 %
ROE 15.4 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 1,801 ₹ DMA 200 1,900 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.83 % Chg in DII Hold 1.02 % PAT Qtr 16.0 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 0.62 Cr.
RSI 55.6 MACD 0.11 Volume 3,56,217 Avg Vol 1Wk 5,14,197
Low price 1,597 ₹ High price 2,195 ₹ PEG Ratio 8.10 Debt to equity 0.00
52w Index 36.0 % Qtr Profit Var 111 % EPS 8.95 ₹ Industry PE 17.4

  • 📈 Chart Patterns: BAJAJFINSV is trading at 1,812 ₹, consolidating after testing highs of 2,195 ₹. Support lies around 1,780–1,800 ₹, resistance near 1,850–1,870 ₹. Trendlines suggest sideways consolidation with mild bullish bias.
  • 📊 Moving Averages: Price is above 50 DMA (1,801 ₹) but below 200 DMA (1,900 ₹), indicating short-term strength but capped by long-term resistance.
  • 📉 RSI: At 55.6, RSI is neutral, showing balanced momentum.
  • 📈 MACD: Slightly positive (0.11), signaling weak bullish divergence with limited conviction.
  • 📊 Bollinger Bands: Price is near the mid-band, suggesting consolidation with potential breakout if volumes improve.
  • 📊 Volume Trends: Current volume (3,56,217) is below weekly average (5,14,197), showing reduced participation and weak conviction.
  • 📌 Momentum Signals: Entry zone around 1,780–1,800 ₹; exit zone near 1,850–1,870 ₹.
  • 🔄 Trend Status: Consolidating with mild bullish bias.

Positive

- PAT surged to 16.0 Cr. from 0.62 Cr. (+111%), showing strong recovery.

- EPS of 8.95 ₹ provides earnings base.

- Price above 50 DMA supports short-term strength.

- DII holdings increased (+1.02%), showing domestic institutional support.

Limitation

- Price below 200 DMA signals long-term weakness.

- MACD weak, showing lack of strong bullish conviction.

- P/E of 203 vs industry average of 17.4 highlights steep overvaluation.

- Volume below average, reducing breakout potential.

Company Negative News

- FII holdings decreased (-0.83%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.

- Valuation stretched compared to peers.

Company Positive News

- PAT recovery highlights operational turnaround.

- DII inflows provide stability.

- Debt-free balance sheet adds financial resilience.

Industry

- Industry P/E at 17.4 highlights sector trading at far lower multiples.

- NBFC sector remains cyclical but resilient with strong demand for credit.

Conclusion

BAJAJFINSV is consolidating with mild bullish bias supported by PAT recovery and price above 50 DMA. Entry near 1,780–1,800 ₹ offers tactical positioning, with exit targets around 1,850–1,870 ₹. However, steep valuation and weak technical momentum warrant cautious trading with strict stop-loss discipline.

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