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BAJAJFINSV - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators
Back to ListTechnical Rating: 3.6
| Stock Code | BAJAJFINSV | Market Cap | 3,09,976 Cr. | Current Price | 1,940 ₹ | High / Low | 2,195 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 216 | Book Value | 62.6 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.05 % | ROCE | 27.4 % |
| ROE | 20.9 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 2,011 ₹ | DMA 200 | 1,989 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.05 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.25 % | PAT Qtr | 1,085 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 330 Cr. |
| RSI | 34.1 | MACD | -28.5 | Volume | 9,15,198 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 23,56,103 |
| Low price | 1,727 ₹ | High price | 2,195 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 3.77 | Debt to equity | 0.00 |
| 52w Index | 45.5 % | Qtr Profit Var | 19.6 % | EPS | 8.97 ₹ | Industry PE | 18.2 |
📈 Technical Analysis
- Chart Patterns: Price is below both 50 DMA (2,011 ₹) and 200 DMA (1,989 ₹), showing weakness.
- Moving Averages: Current price (1,940 ₹) is under DMAs, indicating bearish bias.
- RSI: At 34.1, nearing oversold territory, suggesting potential rebound.
- MACD: Negative (-28.5), confirming bearish momentum.
- Bollinger Bands: Price is near lower band, showing oversold conditions.
- Volume Trends: Current volume (9,15,198) is well below 1-week average (23,56,103), indicating weak participation.
📊 Momentum & Trend
- Short-term Momentum: Bearish with RSI weak and MACD negative.
- Support Zone: 1,920 ₹ – 1,940 ₹ (near current levels).
- Resistance Zone: 2,000 ₹ – 2,020 ₹ (near 50 DMA).
- Trend: Consolidating with bearish bias.
- Optimal Entry: Around 1,920 ₹ – 1,940 ₹ if support holds.
- Optimal Exit: Around 2,000 ₹ – 2,020 ₹ unless breakout occurs.
✅ Positive
- Strong ROCE (27.4%) and ROE (20.9%).
- Debt-free company (Debt-to-equity 0.00).
- Quarterly PAT growth (1,085 Cr vs 330 Cr), showing strong earnings momentum.
⚠️ Limitation
- Extremely high P/E (216) compared to industry average (18.2), suggesting severe overvaluation.
- PEG ratio (3.77) indicates valuation is stretched relative to growth.
- Dividend yield is very low (0.05%), limiting investor returns.
📉 Company Negative News
- FII holding decreased (-0.05%), showing weaker foreign investor sentiment.
📈 Company Positive News
- DII holding increased (+0.25%), showing stronger domestic institutional support.
- Quarterly profit growth of 19.6% indicates operational improvement.
🏭 Industry
- Industry PE at 18.2, far lower than company PE, suggesting valuation premium.
- Sector outlook remains steady, but company trades at much higher multiples than peers.
🔎 Conclusion
- Stock is consolidating with bearish signals but nearing oversold territory.
- Entry near support (1,920 ₹ – 1,940 ₹) could be favorable for short-term rebound trades.
- Exit near resistance (2,000 ₹ – 2,020 ₹) unless breakout confirms reversal.
- Long-term investors should be cautious due to extreme valuations despite strong profitability and debt-free balance sheet.