BAJAJFINSV - IntraDay Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

📉 Intraday Trade Assessment – BAJAJFINSV

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.4

BAJAJFINSV shows signs of underlying strength from its quarterly performance and institutional interest, but today's technical setup and volume dynamics suggest a cautious approach for intraday positioning. Short bursts might occur, but sustained momentum looks limited.

📊 Technical Snapshot

RSI (40.6): Near the lower bound; suggests weakness but not a clear reversal setup.

MACD (-4.00): Negative and diverging, still in bearish territory.

Current Price (₹1,973) is below the 50-DMA (₹2,009) — short-term pressure.

Above 200-DMA (₹1,889) — long-term trend remains supported.

🔍 Fundamental View

ROE (13.4%) & ROCE (11.0%): Fairly moderate for a financial holding company.

PEG (1.33): Reasonably valued based on growth trajectory.

Strong Qtr Profit Surge (↑30.5%) — bullish tilt.

Dividend Yield (0.05%): Minimal — not impactful for short-term sentiment.

Rising FII & DII positions: Institutional confidence picking up.

High Debt/Equity (4.92): Typical of holding structures — not a short-term concern, but worth noting.

⚙️ Intraday Strategy

✅ New Position Entry

Buy Zone: ₹1,965 – ₹1,970 (look for price stability with minor reversal candlesticks)

Profit Target: ₹1,995 – ₹2,005 (could test resistance near 50-DMA)

Stop Loss: ₹1,957 (below this level, selling pressure likely accelerates)

⏳ If Already Holding Today

Exit Indicators

RSI dips below 39 and MACD deepens its negative slope.

Price fails to retest ₹1,990–₹2,000 range even after 12:30 PM IST.

Volume stays below 8L post-lunch ⇒ weak market participation.

Suggested Exit Timing: 2:15–2:45 PM IST, particularly if momentum doesn’t improve before that.

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