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BAJAJFINSV - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

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Rating: 3.1

Last Updated Time : 05 Feb 26, 04:32 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.1

Stock Code BAJAJFINSV Market Cap 3,22,566 Cr. Current Price 2,019 ₹ High / Low 2,195 ₹
Stock P/E 227 Book Value 62.6 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.05 % ROCE 27.4 %
ROE 20.9 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 2,008 ₹ DMA 200 1,989 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.05 % Chg in DII Hold 0.25 % PAT Qtr 0.62 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 1,085 Cr.
RSI 55.3 MACD -15.7 Volume 11,99,148 Avg Vol 1Wk 11,86,326
Low price 1,727 ₹ High price 2,195 ₹ PEG Ratio 3.95 Debt to equity 0.00
52w Index 62.4 % Qtr Profit Var -94.2 % EPS 8.91 ₹ Industry PE 19.9

📊 Analysis: BAJAJFINSV shows weak-to-moderate intraday potential. Current price (₹2,019) is slightly above both 50 DMA (₹2,008) and 200 DMA (₹1,989), indicating mild support but no strong breakout. RSI at 55.3 suggests neutral momentum, while MACD (-15.7) reflects bearish divergence. Volume (11,99,148) is in line with average weekly volume (11,86,326), showing steady participation but not strong momentum. Fundamentals are under pressure due to sharp profit decline.

💹 Optimal Buy Price: ₹2,000 – ₹2,025 (near support zone).

🎯 Profit-Taking Levels: ₹2,060 – ₹2,090 (short-term resistance).

🛡️ Stop-Loss: ₹1,980 (below intraday support).

⏱️ Exit Strategy if Already Holding: Exit if price fails to sustain above ₹2,000 with weakening momentum or if RSI dips below 50 intraday. If volume strengthens with upward price action, partial profit booking near ₹2,080 is advisable.

Positive

  • Strong ROCE (27.4%) and ROE (20.9%) highlight efficient capital use.
  • Debt-free company ensures financial stability.
  • Trading above both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, showing technical support.

Limitation

  • Extremely high P/E (227) compared to industry average (19.9), making valuation unsustainable.
  • Dividend yield is very low (0.05%), limiting passive returns.
  • PEG ratio (3.95) indicates overvaluation relative to growth.
  • MACD negative, reflecting weak momentum.

Company Negative News

  • Quarterly PAT collapsed (₹0.62 Cr vs ₹1,085 Cr), down 94.2%, showing severe earnings pressure.
  • FII holdings declined (-0.05%), reflecting reduced foreign investor confidence.

Company Positive News

  • DII holdings increased (+0.25%), showing domestic institutional support.
  • Strong capital efficiency metrics (ROCE and ROE) despite profit decline.

Industry

  • Industry P/E at 19.9 indicates sector stability, though BAJAJFINSV trades at an extreme premium.
  • Financial services sector remains resilient, offering intraday volatility opportunities.

Conclusion

⚖️ BAJAJFINSV is a cautious candidate for intraday trading today. While technicals show mild support, weak momentum and sharp profit decline limit upside potential. Best strategy is defensive entry near ₹2,010 with tight stop-loss and quick profit booking around ₹2,080.

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