BAJAJFINSV - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:02 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.3

📊 Analysis: BAJAJFINSV is trading at ₹2,044, slightly below its 50 DMA (₹2,060) but above 200 DMA (₹1,986), showing mixed technical signals. RSI at 42.9 indicates weak momentum, while MACD (-8.14) suggests mild bearishness. Current volume (4,53,262) is lower than average weekly volume (5,24,764), reflecting reduced intraday participation. Fundamentals are strong with ROCE (27.4%) and ROE (20.9%), but valuation is stretched with a P/E of 228 compared to industry PE of 18.7.

💡 Optimal Buy Price: Around ₹2,030–₹2,050 (near support zone).

🎯 Profit-Taking Exit Levels: ₹2,070 (first resistance), ₹2,095 (next resistance).

🛡️ Stop-Loss / Loss Protection: ₹2,015 (below intraday support).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Consider partial exit near ₹2,070 if momentum slows. Full exit if price falls below ₹2,015 with weakening RSI or MACD divergence. Intraday trend remains cautious given weak momentum and premium valuation.

✅ Positive

• 📈 Strong ROCE (27.4%) and ROE (20.9%).
• 💹 Debt-free balance sheet (Debt-to-equity: 0.00).
• 📊 PAT growth from ₹330 Cr. to ₹1,085 Cr. (+19.6% QoQ).
• 📈 Trading above 200 DMA, showing medium-term strength.
• 📊 52-week performance shows +76.5% growth.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 RSI at 42.9 shows weak momentum.
• 📊 MACD negative (-8.14), indicating mild bearishness.
• 📉 Current volume below average weekly volume.
• 💸 Extremely high P/E (228) compared to industry PE (18.7).
• 📉 EPS very low (₹8.97), limiting valuation strength.

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 FII holding decreased (-0.29%).

🌟 Company Positive News

• 📈 DII holding increased (+0.40%).
• 📊 PAT growth strong at ₹1,085 Cr. vs ₹330 Cr. previous quarter.
• 📈 Debt-free structure adds investor confidence.

🏭 Industry

• 📊 Industry PE at 18.7, far lower than BAJAJFINSV’s 228, showing extreme premium valuation.
• 💳 Financial services sector outlook remains strong with rising demand for diversified products.

📌 Conclusion

BAJAJFINSV is a weak-to-moderate candidate for intraday trading today due to weak RSI, negative MACD, and stretched valuation. Optimal entry is near ₹2,030–₹2,050 with profit exits at ₹2,070–₹2,095 and stop-loss at ₹2,015. Intraday momentum remains fragile, favoring conservative strategies despite strong fundamentals.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay with other diversified financial service stocks (like Bajaj Finance, HDFC Ltd, ICICI Prudential) to highlight relative intraday strength?