AWL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 2.7
| Stock Code | AWL | Market Cap | 28,173 Cr. | Current Price | 217 ₹ | High / Low | 291 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 31.7 | Book Value | 75.6 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.00 % | ROCE | 21.0 % |
| ROE | 13.8 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 230 ₹ | DMA 200 | 257 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 7.04 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.46 % | PAT Qtr | 278 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 229 Cr. |
| RSI | 44.8 | MACD | -6.18 | Volume | 22,72,453 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 23,80,952 |
| Low price | 204 ₹ | High price | 291 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 2.17 | Debt to equity | 0.09 |
| 52w Index | 14.7 % | Qtr Profit Var | -32.0 % | EPS | 6.70 ₹ | Industry PE | 23.6 |
📊 The stock AWL shows mixed signals for swing trading. While fundamentals such as ROCE (21%) and ROE (13.8%) are decent, technical indicators are weak. The stock is trading below both 50 DMA (230 ₹) and 200 DMA (257 ₹), with RSI at 44.8 (neutral to weak) and MACD negative (-6.18), suggesting bearish momentum. Despite strong FII inflows, earnings volatility and lack of dividend yield reduce attractiveness for swing trades.
💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around 210–215 ₹ (close to support zone near 204 ₹).
🚪 Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider exiting near 230–235 ₹ (50 DMA resistance) or if price falls below 204 ₹ (recent low support).
✅ Positive
- Strong ROCE (21%) and ROE (13.8%) indicate efficient capital use.
- Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.09), showing financial stability.
- FII holdings increased significantly (+7.04%), reflecting foreign investor confidence.
- Quarterly PAT improved sequentially (229 Cr. → 278 Cr.).
⚠️ Limitation
- Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, indicating weak technical strength.
- Dividend yield is 0.00%, offering no income support.
- PEG ratio (2.17) suggests valuation is expensive relative to growth.
- RSI (44.8) and MACD (-6.18) show weak momentum.
📉 Company Negative News
- Quarterly profit variation (-32%) highlights earnings volatility.
- Stock trading near lower end of 52-week range (14.7%), showing underperformance.
📈 Company Positive News
- Sequential PAT growth (229 Cr. → 278 Cr.) indicates operational improvement.
- DII holdings increased slightly (+0.46%), adding domestic support.
- Strong FII inflows (+7.04%) could provide medium-term stability.
🏭 Industry
- Industry PE is 23.6, lower than AWL’s 31.7, suggesting overvaluation compared to peers.
- Sector outlook remains stable, but company-specific earnings volatility is a concern.
🔎 Conclusion
AWL is fundamentally stable but technically weak, making it a cautious swing trade candidate. Entry near 210–215 ₹ is possible for short-term traders, but strict stop-loss below 204 ₹ is essential. For holders, exit near 230–235 ₹ resistance is advisable unless momentum improves significantly.