AWL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.3

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Price vs DMA: Trading exactly at 50-DMA (₹260) and below 200-DMA (₹276), indicating a potential base but no breakout yet.

RSI (50.9): Neutral zone—no momentum confirmation.

MACD (0.17): Barely positive—momentum is flat and lacks strength.

Volume: Slightly above 1-week average, but not enough to confirm accumulation.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

Metric Value Interpretation

P/E 30.2 Fairly valued vs industry PE (29.3)

PEG Ratio 2.07 Overpriced relative to growth—valuation caution

ROCE / ROE 21.0% / 13.8% Solid efficiency—supports quality

Debt-to-Equity 0.20 Low leverage—financially stable

PAT Growth (QoQ) -30.6% Sharp decline—sentiment risk

FII/DII Change +0.30% / -0.28% Mixed institutional sentiment

🧠 Swing Trade Logic

Bias: Neutral-to-cautious setup with valuation support but weak technical triggers.

Catalyst: None visible—MACD and RSI are flat, and earnings momentum is declining.

Risk: Lack of breakout signals and weak quarter-on-quarter performance.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹255–₹260

(Near 50-DMA support with stop-loss below ₹248)

🚪 Exit Strategy

If Already Holding

Target Exit: ₹275–₹280 (Resistance near 200-DMA and prior swing zone)

Stop-Loss: ₹248 (Below recent support and MACD base)

Selva, this setup leans toward a valuation-backed mean reversion play. If you're refining your basket, I can help scan for FMCG or consumer sector peers with stronger confirmation overlays and better PEG alignment. Want to build that next layer?

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