AWL - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Analysis for Adani Wilmar Ltd. (AWL) 🌾

📊 Swing Trade Rating

Rating: 3.6

AWL presents a mix of solid fundamentals and tentative technical momentum. It’s not firing on all swing cylinders, but there’s a case for short-term positioning if volatility aligns in your favor.

✅ Strengths

ROCE of 20.9% and ROE of 13.9%: These are respectable return metrics, suggesting efficient capital use.

MACD at 2.26 and RSI at 46.3: Neutral to slightly bullish—no strong momentum, but a reversal is plausible if price breaks near resistance.

Debt-to-equity at 0.21: Financial risk remains low.

EPS ₹8.84 with P/E 30.0 aligns closely with industry P/E (30.2)—not overvalued by comparison.

FII Inflow (+0.30%): Mild foreign investor interest signals growing confidence.

❌ Weaknesses

DII Outflow (-0.28%): Indicates cautious domestic sentiment.

Volume Weakness: Current volume is far below 1-week average—signals lack of trading enthusiasm.

High PEG Ratio (1.97): Suggests price is elevated relative to growth potential.

No Dividend Yield: Zero income return for holding.

Recent Profit Decline: PAT fell from ₹236 Cr. to ₹190 Cr., which may pressure sentiment.

Trading Deep in Range: Only 19.3% of 52-week high—still recovering.

📥 Optimal Entry Price

Look for pullbacks to ₹250–₹260, ideally near recent support zones. Entry should be backed by volume improvement and RSI nearing 50 for confirmation.

💼 Exit Strategy (If Holding)

Initial Target: ₹280–₹290 (close to DMA 200 at ₹284)

Bullish Momentum Target: ₹300–₹310 if RSI moves past 55 and MACD accelerates

Stop Loss: ₹245 to manage risk below swing lows

🧠 Final View

AWL could offer a modest swing opportunity if volume returns and technical momentum strengthens. Fundamentals offer a base, but confirmation signals are essential. Already holding? Consider scaling near ₹284–₹290 and re-enter only after a strong setup.

Want to see how its price reacts to moving averages or compare volatility against FMCG peers? I can tee that up. 📈🧠

Edit in a page