ATGL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 2.6
| Stock Code | ATGL | Market Cap | 60,374 Cr. | Current Price | 549 ₹ | High / Low | 798 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 95.8 | Book Value | 40.8 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.05 % | ROCE | 17.4 % |
| ROE | 16.7 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 563 ₹ | DMA 200 | 616 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.07 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.02 % | PAT Qtr | 157 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 162 Cr. |
| RSI | 50.8 | MACD | -10.8 | Volume | 8,69,290 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 8,12,582 |
| Low price | 507 ₹ | High price | 798 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 11.0 | Debt to equity | 0.45 |
| 52w Index | 14.4 % | Qtr Profit Var | 9.59 % | EPS | 5.73 ₹ | Industry PE | 19.0 |
📊 ATGL shows weak fundamentals for swing trading despite moderate profitability ratios (ROCE 17.4%, ROE 16.7%). The stock is trading below both 50 DMA (563 ₹) and 200 DMA (616 ₹), indicating bearish technical momentum. RSI at 50.8 is neutral, while MACD (-10.8) signals weakness. Valuation is highly stretched with a P/E of 95.8 compared to industry PE of 19.0, and PEG ratio (11.0) suggests expensive growth. Overall, it is a risky candidate for swing trading.
💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around 520–530 ₹ (near support zone above 507 ₹).
🚪 Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider exiting near 580–600 ₹ resistance levels or if price falls below 507 ₹ support.
✅ Positive
- ROCE (17.4%) and ROE (16.7%) indicate decent operational efficiency.
- Debt-to-equity ratio (0.45) is moderate, showing manageable leverage.
- Quarterly PAT stable (162 Cr. → 157 Cr.), showing resilience despite valuation concerns.
- Trading volume (8.69 lakh vs avg 8.12 lakh) indicates active participation.
⚠️ Limitation
- Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, showing weak technical strength.
- Extremely high P/E ratio (95.8) compared to industry PE (19.0).
- PEG ratio (11.0) highlights expensive valuation relative to growth.
- Dividend yield is negligible (0.05%), offering no income support.
📉 Company Negative News
- FII holdings decreased (-0.07%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
- Stock trading near lower end of 52-week index (14.4%), reflecting underperformance.
📈 Company Positive News
- DII holdings increased slightly (+0.02%), showing minor domestic support.
- Quarterly profit variation (+9.59%) indicates some improvement in earnings.
🏭 Industry
- Industry PE is 19.0, far lower than company’s 95.8, highlighting overvaluation.
- Sector outlook remains stable, but company-specific valuation risks are high.
🔎 Conclusion
ATGL is overvalued with weak technical momentum, making it a risky swing trade candidate. Entry near 520–530 ₹ is possible for short-term traders, but strict stop-loss below 507 ₹ is essential. For holders, exit near 580–600 ₹ resistance is advisable unless earnings growth accelerates to justify premium valuations.