ATGL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 2.7

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Price vs DMA: Trading below both 50-DMA (₹616) and 200-DMA (₹660), indicating a weak trend and lack of bullish momentum.

RSI (49.6): Neutral zone—no strength or oversold signal.

MACD (-3.24): Bearish crossover—momentum is fading.

Volume: Slightly above 1-week average, but not enough to confirm accumulation or breakout.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

Metric Value Interpretation

P/E 105 Extremely overvalued vs industry PE (20.2)

PEG Ratio 12.1 Severely overpriced relative to growth

ROCE / ROE 17.4% / 16.7% Decent efficiency—acceptable but not standout

Debt-to-Equity 0.44 Moderate leverage—financially stable

PAT Growth (QoQ) +8.7% Mild improvement—positive but not a breakout

FII/DII Change -0.20% / +0.08% Mixed sentiment—FII trimming offsets DII support

🧠 Swing Trade Logic

Bias: Neutral-to-bearish setup with valuation risk and weak technical triggers.

Catalyst: None visible—MACD and RSI are flat, and price is below key moving averages.

Risk: High valuation, weak momentum, and no breakout signals.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Avoid Fresh Entry: No confirmation signals. Wait for MACD reversal and RSI > 55 with volume > 5L.

🚪 Exit Strategy

If Already Holding

Target Exit: ₹630–₹645 (Resistance near 50-DMA and prior swing zone)

Stop-Loss: ₹585 (Below recent support and MACD base)

Selva, this setup doesn’t align with your margin-of-safety or confirmation logic. If you're refining your energy basket, I can scan for low-PEG, high-ROCE peers with stronger breakout overlays. Let’s build that next layer when you’re ready.

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