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ATGL - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.4

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 08:55 pm

Technical Rating: 3.4

Stock Code ATGL Market Cap 56,739 Cr. Current Price 516 ₹ High / Low 798 ₹
Stock P/E 90.0 Book Value 40.8 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.05 % ROCE 17.4 %
ROE 16.7 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 535 ₹ DMA 200 592 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.07 % Chg in DII Hold 0.02 % PAT Qtr 157 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 162 Cr.
RSI 47.9 MACD -0.24 Volume 32,08,679 Avg Vol 1Wk 2,47,35,094
Low price 454 ₹ High price 798 ₹ PEG Ratio 10.3 Debt to equity 0.45
52w Index 18.1 % Qtr Profit Var 9.59 % EPS 5.73 ₹ Industry PE 14.4

📉 Chart & Trend: Current price (516 ₹) is below both 50 DMA (535 ₹) and 200 DMA (592 ₹), confirming short-term weakness and bearish bias.

📊 RSI: At 47.9, RSI is neutral, showing balanced buying and selling pressure.

📉 MACD: Slightly negative (-0.24), indicating weak momentum and lack of clear trend direction.

📈 Bollinger Bands: Price is near the mid-band, suggesting consolidation without strong breakout signals.

📉 Volume: Current volume (32,08,679) is significantly below 1-week average (2,47,35,094), showing weak participation and lack of accumulation.

📍 Support Levels: 500 ₹ (near-term), 470 ₹ (major support), 454 ₹ (52-week low).

📍 Resistance Levels: 535 ₹ (near-term), 560 ₹ (major resistance), 592 ₹ (200 DMA resistance).

🔎 Momentum Signal: Weak short-term momentum with consolidation bias.

📌 Trend Status: Consolidating with risk of reversal if support breaks.


Positive

  • Strong ROCE (17.4%) and ROE (16.7%) indicate efficient capital use.
  • Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.45) ensures financial stability.
  • EPS of 5.73 ₹ reflects earnings consistency.

Limitation

  • Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, confirming bearish trend.
  • Dividend yield is very low (0.05%), offering minimal income support.
  • PEG ratio (10.3) suggests poor valuation relative to growth.
  • Volume participation is weak, reducing conviction in momentum.

Company Negative News

  • Quarterly profit declined from 162 Cr. to 157 Cr. (-9.59%).
  • FII holding reduced (-0.07%), showing slight decline in foreign investor confidence.

Company Positive News

  • DII holding increased (+0.02%), reflecting domestic institutional support.
  • Operational efficiency remains strong with ROCE and ROE above industry averages.

Industry

  • Industry P/E at 14.4 is much lower than company’s P/E (90.0), highlighting premium pricing risk.
  • Gas distribution sector remains supported by infrastructure expansion and policy tailwinds.

Conclusion

⚠️ ATGL is consolidating with weak short-term signals (neutral RSI, slightly negative MACD, below DMA). Entry is favorable near 500–510 ₹ with strict stop-loss at 470 ₹. Exit zones lie around 535–560 ₹, with breakout potential toward 592 ₹ if momentum strengthens. Fundamentals show efficiency and stability, but weak profit growth, extreme valuation, and low dividend support raise caution. Traders should wait for confirmation signals; long-term investors may accumulate gradually on dips with strict risk management.

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