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ATGL - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 2.9

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 07:09 pm

Fundamental Rating: 2.9

Stock Code ATGL Market Cap 56,739 Cr. Current Price 516 ₹ High / Low 798 ₹
Stock P/E 90.0 Book Value 40.8 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.05 % ROCE 17.4 %
ROE 16.7 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 535 ₹ DMA 200 592 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.07 % Chg in DII Hold 0.02 % PAT Qtr 157 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 162 Cr.
RSI 47.9 MACD -0.24 Volume 32,08,679 Avg Vol 1Wk 2,47,35,094
Low price 454 ₹ High price 798 ₹ PEG Ratio 10.3 Debt to equity 0.45
52w Index 18.1 % Qtr Profit Var 9.59 % EPS 5.73 ₹ Industry PE 14.4

📊 Core Financials

  • Profitability: PAT declined from ₹162 Cr. to ₹157 Cr. (Qtr Profit Var: -9.59%)
  • Margins: ROE at 16.7% and ROCE at 17.4% indicate decent efficiency
  • Debt: Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.45 shows moderate leverage
  • Cash Flow: EPS at ₹5.73 is modest relative to market cap

💰 Valuation Indicators

  • P/E Ratio: 90.0 vs Industry PE of 14.4 → extremely overvalued
  • P/B Ratio: Current Price ₹516 vs Book Value ₹40.8 → ~12.6x book
  • PEG Ratio: 10.3 → growth priced at a steep premium
  • Intrinsic Value: Current valuation far exceeds fundamentals

🏢 Business Model & Health

  • Market Cap: ₹56,739 Cr. reflects strong presence in city gas distribution
  • Dividend Yield: 0.05% provides negligible shareholder return
  • Competitive Advantage: Strategic positioning in natural gas distribution
  • Overall Health: Efficiency metrics are decent, but profitability growth is weak and valuations stretched

🎯 Entry Zone & Long-Term Guidance

  • Entry Zone: Attractive only near ₹450–480 if fundamentals improve
  • Long-Term Holding: Risky at current valuations; suitable only if earnings scale up significantly

✅ Positive

  • ROE (16.7%) and ROCE (17.4%) show decent efficiency
  • Moderate debt-to-equity ratio (0.45)
  • DII holding increased slightly (+0.02%)

⚠️ Limitation

  • Extremely high P/E ratio (90.0)
  • P/B ratio ~12.6x indicates expensive valuation
  • PEG ratio (10.3) reflects steep premium pricing

📉 Company Negative News

  • Quarterly PAT declined (-9.59%)
  • FII holding decreased (-0.07%)
  • Stock trading below DMA levels (50DMA ₹535, 200DMA ₹592)

📈 Company Positive News

  • DII holding increased (+0.02%)
  • Strong positioning in city gas distribution sector

🏭 Industry

  • Industry PE: 14.4, far below ATGL’s PE
  • Gas distribution sector benefits from rising energy demand and government push for cleaner fuels

🔎 Conclusion

ATGL operates in a promising sector with decent efficiency metrics, but profitability growth is weak and valuations are extremely stretched compared to industry peers.

Institutional interest is mixed, with FII holdings declining.

The stock is risky for long-term holding unless earnings improve significantly, with entry recommended only near ₹450–480 to balance risk and reward.

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