TITAGARH - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:02 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.3

📊 TITAGARH is currently trading at ₹785, below both its 50 DMA (₹833) and 200 DMA (₹891), reflecting weak technical momentum. RSI at 36.0 suggests the stock is near oversold territory, while MACD at -22.9 indicates bearish sentiment. The optimal entry price would be near ₹760–₹780, close to support levels. If already holding, consider exiting around ₹850–₹880, where resistance is expected.

✅ Positive

• 📈 Strong ROCE (17.5%) and ROE (12.8%), showing efficient capital utilization
• 💰 Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.25), ensuring manageable leverage
• 📊 EPS at ₹17.6, reflecting profitability
• 📈 DII holding increased by 1.10%, showing domestic institutional confidence
• 📊 High trading volume (11,88,885) compared to weekly average (7,31,437), indicating active participation

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 Current price below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, confirming weak technical trend
• 📊 High P/E ratio (43.4) compared to industry average (45.6), suggesting limited valuation advantage
• 📉 Dividend yield at 0.13%, offering minimal shareholder return
• 📉 52-week index at 19.2%, reflecting poor performance compared to peers

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 Quarterly profit variation at -42.5%, showing declining earnings momentum
• 📉 PAT fell from ₹44.9 Cr. to ₹51.8 Cr., indicating inconsistent profitability

🌟 Company Positive News

• 📈 EPS at ₹17.6, maintaining profitability despite earnings slowdown
• 📊 Slight increase in FII (+0.07%) and stronger DII (+1.10%) holdings, showing institutional support

🏭 Industry

• 📊 Industry P/E at 45.6 is slightly higher, suggesting TITAGARH trades near sector average
• 🌐 Rail and engineering sector benefits from infrastructure investments, though cyclical demand impacts valuations

📌 Conclusion

TITAGARH is a cautious swing trade candidate. While fundamentals show profitability and institutional support, technicals remain weak with bearish signals. Entry is best near ₹760–₹780, while exit should be considered around ₹850–₹880. Traders should monitor RSI and MACD trends closely before committing.

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