TITAGARH - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.6
| Stock Code | TITAGARH | Market Cap | 12,564 Cr. | Current Price | 933 ₹ | High / Low | 971 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 62.1 | Book Value | 184 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.11 % | ROCE | 11.7 % |
| ROE | 8.09 % | Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 803 ₹ | DMA 200 | 806 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.01 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.14 % | PAT Qtr | 63.1 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 61.0 Cr. |
| RSI | 70.8 | MACD | 32.8 | Volume | 35,64,362 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 20,02,723 |
| Low price | 569 ₹ | High price | 971 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 4.17 | Debt to equity | 0.25 |
| 52w Index | 90.5 % | Qtr Profit Var | -42.9 % | EPS | 11.2 ₹ | Industry PE | 71.9 |
📈 Optimal Entry Price: 910–930 ₹ (near support zone, close to DMA levels)
📉 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 960–970 ₹ (recent high resistance) or cut losses if price falls below 900 ₹.
Positive
- 📊 EPS at 11.2 ₹ provides earnings visibility.
- 📈 PAT improved slightly (61 Cr. → 63.1 Cr.), showing stability.
- 💰 Dividend yield of 0.11% offers minor shareholder returns.
- 📉 Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.25, manageable leverage.
- 📊 RSI at 70.8 indicates strong momentum.
- 📈 MACD positive at 32.8, confirming bullish trend.
- 📊 Strong liquidity with volume (35.6 lakh shares) above weekly average.
Limitation
- ⚠️ High P/E ratio (62.1) compared to industry PE (71.9), suggesting premium valuation.
- 📉 ROCE (11.7%) and ROE (8.09%) remain modest.
- 📊 PEG ratio at 4.17 indicates expensive valuation relative to growth.
- 📉 RSI above 70 signals overbought conditions, risk of correction.
- ⚠️ DII holdings decreased (-0.14%), showing reduced domestic support.
Company Negative News
- ❌ Quarterly profit variation at -42.9% highlights earnings volatility.
- ⚠️ Valuation stretched relative to fundamentals.
Company Positive News
- ✅ PAT stability quarter-on-quarter shows resilience.
- 📈 FII holdings increased slightly (+0.01%), reflecting foreign confidence.
- 📊 Strong 52-week performance (+90.5%).
Industry
- 🌐 Industry PE at 71.9 is higher than TITAGARH’s PE (62.1), suggesting relative undervaluation within sector peers.
- 📊 Rail and engineering sector supported by infrastructure demand and government projects.
Conclusion
⚖️ TITAGARH is a moderate swing trade candidate with strong momentum and sector support but faces valuation risks and earnings volatility. Entry near 910–930 ₹ offers favorable risk-reward, with exit near 960–970 ₹. Stop-loss should be maintained around 900 ₹ due to overbought RSI levels.
This analysis frames TITAGARH as a momentum-driven but valuation-sensitive swing candidate. Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay comparing it with Texmaco Rail and IRCON to evaluate relative strength in the railway engineering sector?