⚠ Disclaimer: This report is generated using AI tools and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Please consult a registered financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
TIMKEN - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.7
| Stock Code | TIMKEN | Market Cap | 26,895 Cr. | Current Price | 3,574 ₹ | High / Low | 3,775 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 67.5 | Book Value | 395 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 1.01 % | ROCE | 18.3 % |
| ROE | 13.7 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 3,516 ₹ | DMA 200 | 3,294 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.02 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.48 % | PAT Qtr | 155 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 49.8 Cr. |
| RSI | 51.1 | MACD | 10.2 | Volume | 28,690 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 61,895 |
| Low price | 2,800 ₹ | High price | 3,775 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 99.3 | Debt to equity | 0.00 |
| 52w Index | 79.4 % | Qtr Profit Var | -17.2 % | EPS | 53.0 ₹ | Industry PE | 62.2 |
📈 Optimal Entry Price: 3,520–3,550 ₹ (near 50 DMA support)
📉 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 3,700–3,750 ₹ (resistance zone) or cut losses if price falls below 3,500 ₹.
Positive
- 📊 EPS at 53.0 ₹ supports valuation strength.
- 📈 PAT improved significantly (49.8 Cr. → 155 Cr.), showing earnings recovery.
- 💰 Dividend yield of 1.01% provides shareholder returns.
- 📉 Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.00, reflecting strong financial stability.
- 📊 RSI at 51.1 indicates balanced momentum.
- 📈 MACD positive at 10.2, confirming bullish crossover.
- 📊 Institutional support with FII (+0.02%) and DII (+0.48%) holdings increased.
Limitation
- ⚠️ High P/E ratio (67.5) compared to industry PE (62.2), suggesting overvaluation.
- 📉 PEG ratio at 99.3 indicates expensive valuation relative to growth.
- 📊 ROCE (18.3%) and ROE (13.7%) are moderate relative to valuation premium.
- 📉 Trading volume (28,690) lower than weekly average (61,895), showing reduced liquidity.
- ⚠️ Quarterly profit variation at -17.2% highlights earnings volatility.
Company Negative News
- ❌ Valuation stretched compared to peers.
- ⚠️ Profit variation negative despite overall PAT improvement.
- 📉 Liquidity concerns with lower trading volume.
Company Positive News
- ✅ PAT recovery quarter-on-quarter shows operational strength.
- 📈 Institutional investors increasing stake, boosting confidence.
- 📊 Strong 52-week performance (+79.4%).
Industry
- 🌐 Industry PE at 62.2 is slightly lower than TIMKEN’s PE (67.5), suggesting premium valuation.
- 📊 Engineering and industrial products sector remains strong with steady demand.
Conclusion
⚖️ TIMKEN is a fair swing trade candidate with strong fundamentals and bullish technicals, but high valuation and earnings volatility warrant caution. Entry near 3,520–3,550 ₹ offers favorable risk-reward, with exit near 3,700–3,750 ₹. Stop-loss should be maintained around 3,500 ₹ to manage downside risk.
This analysis frames TIMKEN as a moderate swing candidate with valuation risks but strong fundamentals. Would you like me to extend this into a sector overlay comparison with peers like SKF India and Schaeffler India to benchmark its swing potential?