TIMKEN - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.7

📊 TIMKEN Swing Trade Analysis

TIMKEN offers a moderately favorable swing trade setup, supported by strong fundamentals but tempered by weak short-term momentum and valuation concerns.

✅ Strengths

Solid Fundamentals

ROCE: 20.9% / ROE: 17.0% — excellent capital efficiency.

EPS: ₹60.5 — strong earnings base.

Debt-to-Equity: 0.01 — virtually debt-free, financially sound.

Dividend Yield: 1.18% — modest income cushion.

Technical Positioning

Current Price: ₹3,051 is right at the 50 DMA and just below the 200 DMA — potential breakout zone.

RSI: 55.6 — neutral-to-bullish, not overbought.

Volume Surge — current volume is 65% above 1-week average, indicating rising interest.

⚠️ Weaknesses

MACD: -2.63 — bearish crossover, signaling short-term weakness.

Quarterly PAT Decline: ₹187 Cr. → ₹104 Cr. — 44% drop, dampening sentiment.

High PEG Ratio: 4.64 — suggests overvaluation relative to growth.

P/E: 50.4 — expensive, even though it matches industry average.

FII Sentiment Negative: FII holdings dropped by 1.24%.

🎯 Trade Strategy

Optimal Entry Price: ₹3,020–₹3,040

Enter near 50 DMA with tight risk control.

Exit Plan (If Holding)

Target Exit: ₹3,250–₹3,300

Conservative target near short-term resistance.

Stop Loss: ₹2,980

Below recent support and DMA 50.

TIMKEN is a decent swing candidate for traders who prioritize strong fundamentals and can manage short-term volatility. Let me know if you'd like to compare it with other industrial stocks or set up alerts.

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