TIMKEN - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:02 am
Back to Swing Trade ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.6
| Stock Code | TIMKEN | Market Cap | 22,847 Cr. | Current Price | 3,037 ₹ | High / Low | 3,576 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 50.3 | Book Value | 368 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 1.19 % | ROCE | 20.9 % |
| ROE | 17.0 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 3,064 ₹ | DMA 200 | 3,072 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -2.05 % | Chg in DII Hold | 2.04 % | PAT Qtr | 89.5 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 104 Cr. |
| RSI | 42.4 | MACD | -4.63 | Volume | 23,983 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 30,083 |
| Low price | 2,200 ₹ | High price | 3,576 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 4.62 | Debt to equity | 0.01 |
| 52w Index | 60.9 % | Qtr Profit Var | -0.53 % | EPS | 60.5 ₹ | Industry PE | 49.9 |
📊 TIMKEN is currently trading at ₹3,037, slightly below both its 50 DMA (₹3,064) and 200 DMA (₹3,072), indicating mild bearish momentum. RSI at 42.4 suggests the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, while MACD at -4.63 shows weak momentum. The optimal entry price would be near ₹2,950–₹3,000, close to support levels. If already holding, consider exiting around ₹3,400–₹3,500, near resistance zones.
✅ Positive
- 📈 Strong ROCE (20.9%) and ROE (17.0%), reflecting efficient capital utilization
- 💰 Dividend yield of 1.19%, providing shareholder return
- 📉 Very low debt-to-equity ratio (0.01), ensuring financial stability
- 📊 EPS at ₹60.5, supporting profitability
- 📈 DII holding increased by 2.04%, showing domestic institutional confidence
⚠️ Limitation
- 📉 Current price below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, confirming weak technical trend
- 📊 High P/E ratio (50.3) compared to industry average (49.9), suggesting overvaluation
- 📉 PEG ratio at 4.62, indicating expensive valuation relative to growth
- 📉 Quarterly profit variation at -0.53%, showing stagnation in earnings
🚨 Company Negative News
- 📉 PAT declined from ₹104 Cr. to ₹89.5 Cr. in the latest quarter
- 📉 FII holding decreased by -2.05%, reflecting reduced foreign investor confidence
- 📉 Trading volume (23,983) below weekly average (30,083), showing weaker participation
🌟 Company Positive News
- 📈 EPS at ₹60.5, maintaining profitability despite earnings slowdown
- 📊 DII inflows (+2.04%) provide stability against FII outflows
🏭 Industry
- 📊 Industry P/E at 49.9 is slightly lower, suggesting TIMKEN trades at a premium
- 🌐 Engineering and industrial sector remains resilient with demand from manufacturing and infrastructure projects
📌 Conclusion
TIMKEN is a moderate swing trade candidate. Strong fundamentals and low debt support stability, but weak technicals and high valuation limit upside. Entry is best near ₹2,950–₹3,000, while exit should be considered around ₹3,400–₹3,500. Traders should monitor RSI and MACD trends closely before committing.
Would you like me to also compare TIMKEN’s swing trade setup with another industrial stock like SKF India to see relative opportunities?
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