TIMKEN - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals
Back to ListIntraDay Trade Rating: 3.5
| Stock Code | TIMKEN | Market Cap | 25,791 Cr. | Current Price | 3,429 ₹ | High / Low | 3,680 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 59.9 | Book Value | 368 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 1.05 % | ROCE | 20.9 % |
| ROE | 17.0 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 3,366 ₹ | DMA 200 | 3,187 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.02 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.48 % | PAT Qtr | 49.8 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 89.5 Cr. |
| RSI | 49.2 | MACD | 48.5 | Volume | 70,595 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 38,411 |
| Low price | 2,431 ₹ | High price | 3,680 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 5.51 | Debt to equity | 0.01 |
| 52w Index | 79.9 % | Qtr Profit Var | -32.9 % | EPS | 57.2 ₹ | Industry PE | 46.6 |
📈 Optimal Buy Price: 3,410 – 3,430 ₹ (near 50 DMA support)
💰 Profit Exit Levels: 3,480 – 3,500 ₹ (short-term resistance), 3,560 ₹ (momentum breakout)
⚠️ Stop-Loss: 3,380 ₹ (below support zone)
⏳ Intraday Exit Guidance: If already holding, consider booking profits near 3,480–3,500 ₹ if RSI weakens or volume declines. Exit immediately if price slips under 3,410 ₹ with weakening momentum.
Positive
- Strong ROCE at 20.9% and ROE at 17.0% reflect solid operational efficiency.
- EPS of 57.2 ₹ supports valuation strength.
- Price above both 50 DMA (3,366 ₹) and 200 DMA (3,187 ₹), confirming technical support.
- MACD positive at 48.5, indicating bullish momentum.
- Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.01 shows negligible leverage risk.
- Institutional support: FII (+0.02%) and DII (+0.48%) holdings increased.
Limitation
- High P/E of 59.9 vs industry P/E of 46.6, suggesting overvaluation.
- PEG ratio at 5.51 indicates expensive growth relative to earnings.
- PAT dropped sharply (49.8 Cr. vs 89.5 Cr.), showing earnings volatility.
- RSI at 49.2 near neutral zone, limiting strong momentum signals.
Company Negative News
- Quarterly profit variation at -32.9% highlights declining profitability.
- Reduced earnings momentum may limit upside in the near term.
Company Positive News
- EPS remains strong despite profit decline, supporting valuation premium.
- Institutional investors increased holdings, showing confidence in long-term fundamentals.
Industry
- Industry P/E at 46.6 is lower than TIMKEN’s 59.9, highlighting valuation risk.
- Engineering and industrial sector remains cyclical, with demand tied to infrastructure and manufacturing growth.
Conclusion
⚖️ TIMKEN shows solid fundamentals but stretched valuations, making it a candidate for intraday trades only with disciplined stop-losses. Intraday bias is moderately bullish, supported by strong fundamentals, but high valuation and earnings volatility require strict risk management.
Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay comparing TIMKEN against SKF India and Schaeffler, so you can see clearer sector rotation signals?