SRF - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListHere’s the structured swing trade analysis for SRF based on the provided parameters
Swing Trade Rating: 3.9
| Stock Code | SRF | Market Cap | 80,150 Cr. | Current Price | 2,703 ₹ | High / Low | 3,325 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 44.8 | Book Value | 428 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.33 % | ROCE | 15.9 % |
| ROE | 14.8 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 2,666 ₹ | DMA 200 | 2,744 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.81 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.99 % | PAT Qtr | 515 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 528 Cr. |
| RSI | 51.6 | MACD | 19.7 | Volume | 4,40,856 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 4,88,338 |
| Low price | 2,314 ₹ | High price | 3,325 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -11.4 | Debt to equity | 0.27 |
| 52w Index | 38.5 % | Qtr Profit Var | 0.45 % | EPS | 58.2 ₹ | Industry PE | 23.1 |
📊 Analysis: SRF shows moderate swing trading potential. Current price (2,703 ₹) is above DMA 50 (2,666 ₹) but slightly below DMA 200 (2,744 ₹), indicating mixed technical signals. RSI at 51.6 reflects neutral momentum, while MACD (19.7) is positive, suggesting short-term bullishness. Fundamentals remain strong with ROCE (15.9%) and ROE (14.8%), though valuation is stretched with a high P/E (44.8 vs industry 23.1).
💰 Optimal Entry: Entry zone lies between 2,650 ₹ – 2,700 ₹, near DMA 50 support.
🔑 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting around 2,800 ₹ – 2,850 ₹, where DMA 200 and resistance levels may cap upside.
✅ Positive
- Strong ROCE (15.9%) and ROE (14.8%).
- Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.27 indicates financial stability.
- EPS of 58.2 ₹ supports earnings strength.
- MACD positive (19.7) signals short-term bullish momentum.
⚠️ Limitation
- High P/E ratio (44.8) compared to industry average (23.1).
- Quarterly PAT declined slightly (515 Cr. vs 528 Cr.).
- Trading below DMA 200 reflects medium-term weakness.
- PEG ratio (-11.4) suggests overvaluation relative to growth.
📉 Company Negative News
- Decline in FII holdings (-0.81%) shows reduced foreign investor confidence.
- Sequential decline in quarterly PAT.
📈 Company Positive News
- DII holdings increased (+0.99%), showing domestic institutional support.
- Stable profitability with EPS at 58.2 ₹.
🏭 Industry
- Industry PE at 23.1 is much lower than SRF’s 44.8, suggesting relative overvaluation.
- Chemicals and industrial materials sector remains cyclical but supported by demand in specialty chemicals.
🔎 Conclusion
⚖️ SRF is a moderately attractive swing trade candidate with rating 3.9. Entry near 2,650–2,700 ₹ offers a favorable setup, while exits around 2,800–2,850 ₹ are advisable if already holding. Strong fundamentals support the stock, but stretched valuation and slight profit decline warrant caution.
Would you like me to extend this into a peer comparison to benchmark SRF against other specialty chemical players for relative strength?