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SRF - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.8

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 09:58 am

Technical Rating: 3.8

Stock Code SRF Market Cap 80,829 Cr. Current Price 2,726 ₹ High / Low 3,325 ₹
Stock P/E 44.9 Book Value 406 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.33 % ROCE 13.7 %
ROE 11.5 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 2,929 ₹ DMA 200 2,913 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.50 % Chg in DII Hold 0.65 % PAT Qtr 528 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 363 Cr.
RSI 35.7 MACD -68.9 Volume 2,11,739 Avg Vol 1Wk 5,06,118
Low price 2,570 ₹ High price 3,325 ₹ PEG Ratio -8.05 Debt to equity 0.25
52w Index 20.7 % Qtr Profit Var 88.5 % EPS 58.4 ₹ Industry PE 17.5

📊 Technical Analysis

  • Chart Patterns: Stock is trading near support at 2,570 ₹, below both 50 DMA (2,929 ₹) and 200 DMA (2,913 ₹), indicating bearish sentiment.
  • Moving Averages: Current price (2,726 ₹) is below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA → bearish bias.
  • RSI: 35.7 → approaching oversold zone, suggesting limited downside but weak momentum.
  • MACD: -68.9 → strong bearish crossover, confirming downward pressure.
  • Bollinger Bands: Price near lower band, oversold condition may trigger short-term bounce.
  • Volume Trends: Current volume (2.1 lakh) significantly below 1-week average (5.0 lakh), showing weak participation.

📈 Momentum & Signals

  • Short-term Momentum: Weak, with bearish bias but oversold indicators suggest possible rebound.
  • Entry Zone: 2,570–2,650 ₹ (near support, oversold RSI).
  • Exit Zone: 2,900–2,950 ₹ (near 50 DMA resistance).
  • Trend Status: Consolidating with bearish tilt; reversal possible only if price sustains above 2,930 ₹.

✅ Positive

  • Strong quarterly PAT growth (363 Cr. → 528 Cr.).
  • DII holdings increased by 0.65%, showing domestic institutional confidence.
  • Low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.25 indicates financial stability.

⚠️ Limitation

  • High P/E of 44.9 compared to industry PE of 17.5.
  • Dividend yield of 0.33% is low, limiting income appeal.
  • PEG ratio of -8.05 suggests poor growth-adjusted valuation.

📉 Company Negative News

  • FII holdings decreased by -0.50%, showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, signaling weakness.

📈 Company Positive News

  • Quarterly profit variation shows strong growth (+88.5%).
  • EPS of 58.4 ₹ reflects strong earnings power.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry PE at 17.5, much lower than SRF’s 44.9, suggesting sector peers may be more attractively valued.
  • Chemicals and industrial sector remains cyclical but supported by demand in specialty chemicals.

🔎 Conclusion

  • SRF is currently consolidating near support levels with bearish signals from DMA and MACD.
  • Short-term traders may consider entry around 2,570–2,650 ₹ with exit near 2,900–2,950 ₹.
  • Long-term investors should be cautious due to high valuation relative to industry and weak technical momentum despite strong earnings growth.

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