SOBHA - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:02 am
Back to Swing Trade ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.6
| Stock Code | SOBHA | Market Cap | 15,534 Cr. | Current Price | 1,453 ₹ | High / Low | 1,732 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 68.4 | Book Value | 424 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.21 % | ROCE | 6.98 % |
| ROE | 3.31 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 1,520 ₹ | DMA 200 | 1,501 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -1.68 % | Chg in DII Hold | 1.42 % | PAT Qtr | 104 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 45.9 Cr. |
| RSI | 40.4 | MACD | -33.4 | Volume | 88,570 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 1,29,204 |
| Low price | 1,075 ₹ | High price | 1,732 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -8.66 | Debt to equity | 0.23 |
| 52w Index | 57.4 % | Qtr Profit Var | 305 % | EPS | 21.2 ₹ | Industry PE | 33.7 |
📊 Based on the given parameters, SOBHA shows moderate potential for swing trading. The stock is trading below its 50 DMA (1,520 ₹) and 200 DMA (1,501 ₹), reflecting weak technical momentum. RSI at 40.4 indicates near-oversold conditions, while MACD at -33.4 confirms bearish sentiment. The optimal entry price would be near 1,420–1,440 ₹ if stability is confirmed. If already holding, consider exiting around 1,500–1,520 ₹ on rebounds unless volume and momentum strengthen further.
✅ Positive
- 📈 Strong quarterly PAT growth (104 Cr. vs 45.9 Cr.)
- 💹 EPS of 21.2 ₹ supports fundamental strength
- 📊 Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.23) ensures financial stability
- 📈 DII holdings increased (+1.42%), showing domestic institutional confidence
- 📈 Quarterly profit variation of 305% highlights earnings momentum
⚠️ Limitation
- 📉 High P/E ratio (68.4) compared to industry average (33.7)
- 📉 Weak ROCE (6.98%) and ROE (3.31%) indicate poor efficiency
- 📉 PEG ratio of -8.66 suggests poor growth relative to valuation
- 📉 Current trading volume below weekly average, showing weaker participation
🚨 Company Negative News
- 📉 Decline in FII holdings (-1.68%) shows reduced foreign investor confidence
- 📉 Technical indicators (RSI and MACD) confirm weak momentum
🌟 Company Positive News
- 📈 PAT growth in the latest quarter shows operational improvement
- 📈 Strong EPS and low debt levels support long-term fundamentals
- 📈 Domestic institutions increasing stake (+1.42%) shows confidence
🏭 Industry
- 📊 Industry PE at 33.7, lower than SOBHA’s valuation, indicating premium pricing
- 📈 Real estate sector remains cyclical, offering trading opportunities with demand-driven momentum shifts
📌 Conclusion
SOBHA is a fair candidate for swing trading with strong quarterly profit growth and institutional support. However, stretched valuations, weak efficiency metrics, and bearish technical indicators limit immediate upside potential. Optimal entry is near 1,420–1,440 ₹, with exit around 1,500–1,520 ₹ if already holding. Traders should monitor RSI recovery and MACD trends before fresh positions.
I can also prepare a comparison of SOBHA with SHYAMMETL and SHRIRAMFIN to highlight which one offers the stronger swing trade opportunity.
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