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SHYAMMETL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 3.7

Last Updated Time : 05 May 26, 04:34 pm

📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.7

Stock Code SHYAMMETL Market Cap 25,304 Cr. Current Price 905 ₹ High / Low 1,001 ₹
Stock P/E 50.5 Book Value 222 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.50 % ROCE 12.0 %
ROE 8.48 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 834 ₹ DMA 200 843 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.12 % Chg in DII Hold 0.30 % PAT Qtr 98.4 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 136 Cr.
RSI 65.4 MACD 18.7 Volume 6,92,889 Avg Vol 1Wk 6,99,262
Low price 746 ₹ High price 1,001 ₹ PEG Ratio -3.38 Debt to equity 0.05
52w Index 62.6 % Qtr Profit Var -17.2 % EPS 18.0 ₹ Industry PE 22.4

Analysis: SHYAMMETL is trading at ₹905, above both 50 DMA (₹834) and 200 DMA (₹843), showing short-term bullish strength. RSI at 65.4 indicates moderately overbought conditions, while MACD at 18.7 supports positive momentum. However, fundamentals are mixed: P/E (50.5) is much higher than industry PE (22.4), suggesting overvaluation. ROCE (12.0%) and ROE (8.48%) are modest, and quarterly PAT declined from ₹136 Cr. to ₹98.4 Cr. (-17.2%). Institutional activity shows slight FII reduction (-0.12%) but DII support (+0.30%). Overall, the stock has momentum but faces valuation and earnings challenges.

Optimal Entry Price: ₹880–₹895, closer to support levels.

Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider booking profits near ₹950–₹980 resistance, or exit if price falls below ₹870.

✅ Positive

  • Price trading above both 50 DMA and 200 DMA confirms bullish momentum.
  • Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.05) ensures financial stability.
  • DII holdings increased (+0.30%), showing domestic institutional support.

⚠️ Limitation

  • High valuation with P/E 50.5 vs Industry PE 22.4.
  • Quarterly PAT decline (-17.2%) raises concerns about earnings consistency.
  • PEG ratio (-3.38) suggests poor growth prospects relative to valuation.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Quarterly PAT fell from ₹136 Cr. to ₹98.4 Cr.
  • FII holdings decreased (-0.12%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.

📈 Company Positive News

  • DII holdings increased (+0.30%), reflecting domestic support.
  • Stock trading at 62.6% of its 52-week range, showing recovery from lows.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry PE at 22.4, much lower than SHYAMMETL’s PE (50.5), showing premium valuation.
  • Sector outlook remains stable, supporting medium-term swing opportunities.

🔎 Conclusion

SHYAMMETL is a moderate swing trade candidate with bullish technicals but weak fundamentals. Entry near ₹880–₹895 offers a safer margin, while exit should be targeted around ₹950–₹980 resistance. High valuation and declining profits warrant caution, but low debt and institutional support provide some stability for short-term trades.

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