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SHYAMMETL - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 3.4

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 01:19 pm

Fundamental Rating: 3.4

Stock Code SHYAMMETL Market Cap 23,607 Cr. Current Price 848 ₹ High / Low 1,001 ₹
Stock P/E 47.1 Book Value 222 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.53 % ROCE 12.0 %
ROE 8.48 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 831 ₹ DMA 200 852 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.44 % Chg in DII Hold 0.23 % PAT Qtr 98.4 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 136 Cr.
RSI 56.3 MACD 4.72 Volume 83,620 Avg Vol 1Wk 3,71,153
Low price 662 ₹ High price 1,001 ₹ PEG Ratio -3.15 Debt to equity 0.05
52w Index 54.9 % Qtr Profit Var -17.2 % EPS 18.0 ₹ Industry PE 18.7

📊 Core Financials

  • Quarterly PAT at 98.4 Cr vs 136 Cr previously, showing earnings decline (-17.2%).
  • ROE at 8.48% and ROCE at 12.0% reflect moderate capital efficiency.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.05 indicates a very low leverage and strong balance sheet stability.
  • EPS at 18.0 ₹ provides a reasonable earnings base, though growth momentum is weak.

💹 Valuation Indicators

  • P/E ratio: 47.1, much higher than industry average of 18.7, suggesting overvaluation.
  • P/B ratio: ~3.8 (848 ₹ / 222 ₹ book value), showing premium pricing.
  • PEG ratio: -3.15, negative due to declining earnings, highlighting valuation risk.
  • Intrinsic value appears lower than current price, limited margin of safety.

🏢 Business Model & Competitive Advantage

  • Shyam Metalics operates in steel, ferro alloys, and power, with integrated operations providing cost advantages.
  • Competitive advantage lies in diversified product portfolio and efficient manufacturing base.
  • Exposure to cyclical steel demand impacts earnings stability.

📈 Entry Zone & Long-Term Guidance

  • Entry zone: 800–830 ₹ range (near 50 DMA support at 831 ₹ and 200 DMA at 852 ₹).
  • Long-term holding viable for investors seeking exposure to steel and alloys with low debt risk.
  • Accumulation should be cautious due to profit decline and stretched valuations.

Positive

  • Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.05), ensuring financial stability.
  • DII holdings increased (+0.23%), showing domestic institutional support.
  • Strong integrated operations across steel and alloys.

Limitation

  • High P/E (47.1) compared to industry average (18.7).
  • Weak ROE (8.48%) and ROCE (12.0%).
  • Negative PEG ratio (-3.15) indicates poor growth-adjusted valuation.

Company Negative News

  • Quarterly PAT declined (98.4 Cr vs 136 Cr).
  • FII holdings decreased (-0.44%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.

Company Positive News

  • DII holdings increased slightly (+0.23%).
  • Stock trading above 50 DMA (831 ₹), showing near-term technical support.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 18.7, much lower than Shyam Metalics’ 47.1, highlighting sector undervaluation relative to Shyam.
  • Steel and ferro alloys sector remains cyclical but benefits from infrastructure demand.

Conclusion

  • Shyam Metalics is financially stable with low debt but faces weak profitability metrics.
  • Valuations remain stretched, making accumulation near 800–830 ₹ more attractive.
  • Best suited for long-term investors seeking steel sector exposure, but caution advised due to earnings decline and high valuation multiples.

I can also extend this into a peer comparison with Jindal Steel and Tata Steel to highlight how Shyam Metalics stacks up in valuation and profitability. Would you like me to draft that next?

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