RBLBANK - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 4.1

📊 Swing Trade Analysis: RBL Bank Ltd (RBLBANK)

RBLBANK presents a strong short-term swing trade setup, driven by bullish technical momentum, institutional accumulation, and attractive valuation metrics. While profitability and leverage raise caution, the stock’s proximity to its 52-week high and volume surge make it a compelling candidate for tactical trading.

✅ Strengths

Technical Momentum

RSI: 56.3 → Neutral to bullish zone.

MACD: 3.21 → Positive crossover, indicating upward momentum.

Price above DMA50 (₹258) and DMA200 (₹224) → Confirmed uptrend.

Volume Surge

Current volume (1.11 Cr.) > 1-week average → Strong market interest.

Valuation & Growth

PEG Ratio: 0.25 → Very attractive relative to growth.

EPS: ₹8.62 and P/E: 31.7 → Slightly premium but justified by momentum.

Book Value: ₹257 vs Current Price: ₹271 → Trading near intrinsic value.

Institutional Confidence

FII Holding ↑ 3.13%, DII Holding ↑ 13.6% → Strong accumulation.

⚠️ Risks

Profit Volatility

PAT dropped from ₹68.7 Cr. to ₹200 Cr. → Despite growth, Qtr Profit Var shows -46.1%, indicating inconsistency.

Low Profitability

ROCE: 6.04% and ROE: 4.57% → Weak capital efficiency.

High Leverage

Debt-to-Equity: 7.99 → Elevated financial risk typical of banks.

Dividend Yield: 0.37% → Minimal passive income.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹258–₹263

Near DMA50 and recent support, offering a safer entry with limited downside.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Holding)

Target Exit: ₹278–₹285

Near 52-week high and psychological resistance.

Stop Loss: ₹250

Below DMA50 to manage downside risk.

This setup suits momentum-driven swing traders who can monitor price action and exit on strength. Let me know if you'd like help tracking MACD or RSI signals for timing your entry.

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