NH - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:01 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.6

📊 NH shows moderate-to-strong potential for swing trading. The RSI at 42.7 indicates neutral momentum, while the MACD (-0.38) is slightly negative, suggesting caution but not deep bearishness. The stock is trading above its 200 DMA (1,759 ₹) and close to its 50 DMA (1,868 ₹), reflecting medium-term strength. Fundamentals are mixed: high P/E of 84.7 compared to industry P/E of 51.8 suggests overvaluation, but strong ROCE (19.4%), ROE (21.0%), and EPS (22.7 ₹) support earnings quality. Quarterly PAT growth (+30.6%) adds confidence, though debt-to-equity (0.69) is moderate.

💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around 1,880–1,900 ₹ (near 50 DMA support).

🚪 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 2,050–2,100 ₹ (short-term resistance) unless momentum strengthens further.

✅ Positive

• 📈 Strong ROCE of 19.4% and ROE of 21.0%
• 💵 EPS of 22.7 ₹ supports earnings stability
• 📊 Quarterly PAT improved from 87.4 Cr. to 138 Cr. (+30.6%)
• 📈 52-week index performance at 60% shows robust appreciation

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 High P/E of 84.7 vs industry P/E of 51.8 indicates overvaluation
• 📉 Dividend yield of only 0.24% offers limited income support
• 📉 Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.69 adds moderate financial risk
• 📉 Slight decline in DII holding (-0.33%)

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 Elevated valuation may limit upside potential
• 📉 MACD slightly negative (-0.38), showing weak short-term momentum

🌟 Company Positive News

• 📈 Quarterly PAT growth (+30.6%) boosts investor sentiment
• 📊 FII holding increased slightly (+0.03%)
• 📈 Strong price performance over the past year (+60%)

🏭 Industry

• 📊 Industry P/E at 51.8, lower than NH’s 84.7, showing sector strength but relative overvaluation
• ⚡ Healthcare sector benefits from rising demand and government support

📝 Conclusion

⚖️ NH offers moderate swing trade potential. Entry near 1,880–1,900 ₹ provides a favorable setup, while exit near 2,050–2,100 ₹ captures short-term resistance. Strong fundamentals and profit growth are positives, but high valuation and moderate debt limit upside. Swing traders should remain cautious, while long-term investors may find value in sectoral growth.

I can also prepare a side-by-side HTML comparison of NH vs NTPC swing trade setups so you can evaluate which sector offers better short-term opportunities.