NH - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.5

📊 Swing Trade Analysis: NH (Narayana Hrudayalaya Ltd.)

NH presents a mixed swing trade setup. While the fundamentals are solid and the stock is trading near key support levels, technical indicators and valuation suggest caution. It may suit traders looking for a rebound play with tight risk management.

✅ Strengths

Fundamentals

ROCE (19.4%) and ROE (21.0%): Strong capital efficiency.

EPS (₹21.1) and Industry PE (57.3) vs Stock PE (84.6): Premium valuation, but supported by earnings.

FII Holding Increase (+0.80%): Positive foreign sentiment.

Debt-to-Equity (0.73): Manageable leverage.

Technical Positioning

Price near 200 DMA (₹1,688): Potential support zone.

RSI (47.7): Neutral, with room for upside.

52w Index (50.9%): Mid-range, suggesting potential for a bounce.

⚠️ Weaknesses

MACD (-18.0): Bearish crossover — signals weak momentum.

Price below 50 DMA (₹1,827): Indicates short-term weakness.

Volume (1.47L) below 1-week average (2.29L): Low trader interest.

High P/E (84.6) and PEG Ratio (1.83): Overvalued relative to growth.

Quarterly PAT Decline (₹87.4 Cr. vs ₹160 Cr.): Earnings contraction.

DII Holding Decline (-0.43%): Slight domestic pullback.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Entry Zone: ₹1,720–₹1,740

A dip near the 200 DMA offers a better risk-reward setup. Wait for MACD reversal or volume spike before entering.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target Exit Price: ₹1,850–₹1,880

Near 50 DMA and intermediate resistance.

Stop Loss: ₹1,680

Just below 200 DMA and recent support.

Time Horizon: 1–2 weeks, depending on technical recovery and volume behavior.

This setup suits swing traders who are comfortable with short-term volatility and can monitor technical signals closely. Let me know if you'd like help tracking this trade or exploring stronger momentum setups.

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