NBCC - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.5

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Current Price (₹110) is below 50 DMA (₹113) but above 200 DMA (₹103) — short-term weakness, long-term support.

RSI (36.1) — nearing oversold territory, potential for bounce.

MACD (-1.95) — bearish, signals caution.

Volume: Slightly below 1-week average — waning interest, needs confirmation.

📈 Fundamental Overview

Valuation

P/E (48.5) vs Industry P/E (23.8) — significantly overvalued.

PEG Ratio (1.60) — fair, but not compelling for swing entry.

Profitability

ROCE (33.5%) and ROE (25.9%) — excellent operational efficiency.

EPS (₹2.00) — modest earnings base.

Quarterly Performance

PAT Qtr: ₹244 Cr vs Prev Qtr: ₹138 Cr — strong growth (Qtr Profit Var: +21.4%).

Dividend Yield (0.48%) — minimal.

Debt-to-Equity (0.00) — debt-free, financially sound.

FII/DII Holding

FII up (+0.79%) and DII up (+2.30%) — growing institutional confidence.

✅ Swing Trade Strategy

Optimal Entry Price: ₹106–₹108 (near support and RSI reversal zone).

Target Exit Price: ₹120–₹125 (resistance zone below recent high).

Stop Loss: ₹102 (below 200 DMA and psychological support).

🧭 If You Already Hold the Stock

Hold with a target of ₹120–₹125.

Exit if price breaks below ₹102 or RSI dips further with MACD divergence.

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