NBCC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListHere’s the structured swing trade analysis for NBCC based on the given parameters
📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.8
| Stock Code | NBCC | Market Cap | 29,735 Cr. | Current Price | 110 ₹ | High / Low | 126 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 46.4 | Book Value | 10.5 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.61 % | ROCE | 32.2 % |
| ROE | 24.8 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 98.9 ₹ | DMA 200 | 100 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.21 % | Chg in DII Hold | -1.50 % | PAT Qtr | 220 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 135 Cr. |
| RSI | 63.4 | MACD | 3.85 | Volume | 2,05,40,166 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 2,19,81,717 |
| Low price | 77.2 ₹ | High price | 126 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 2.08 | Debt to equity | 0.00 |
| 52w Index | 67.5 % | Qtr Profit Var | 5.86 % | EPS | 2.60 ₹ | Industry PE | 17.4 |
NBCC shows fair swing trade potential. The current price of 110 ₹ is above both the 50 DMA (98.9 ₹) and 200 DMA (100 ₹), reflecting short-term strength. RSI at 63.4 indicates the stock is approaching overbought territory, while MACD at 3.85 confirms bullish momentum. Fundamentals are strong with ROCE at 32.2% and ROE at 24.8%, but valuation is stretched (P/E 46.4 vs industry 17.4, PEG 2.08). Liquidity is healthy with high trading volumes, though institutional holdings have declined.
Optimal Entry Price: 105–110 ₹, near DMA support.
Exit Strategy if Holding: Consider profit booking around 120–125 ₹. If momentum sustains, monitor for breakout toward 126 ₹ resistance.
✅ Positive
- 📈 Strong ROCE (32.2%) and ROE (24.8%) highlight efficiency.
- 💰 Zero debt-to-equity ratio ensures financial stability.
- 📊 PAT growth (220 Cr. vs 135 Cr.) shows earnings momentum.
- 💹 Healthy trading volumes support liquidity for swing trades.
⚠️ Limitation
- 📉 High P/E (46.4) compared to industry average (17.4).
- 📊 PEG ratio of 2.08 suggests limited growth relative to valuation.
- 📉 EPS of 2.60 ₹ reflects modest earnings power.
🚨 Company Negative News
- 📉 Decline in institutional holdings (FII -0.21%, DII -1.50%).
- ⚠️ RSI at 63.4 signals overbought territory, raising risk of correction.
🌟 Company Positive News
- 📈 PAT increase from 135 Cr. to 220 Cr. demonstrates strong performance.
- 💹 Dividend yield of 0.61% provides shareholder returns.
🏭 Industry
- 📊 Industry P/E at 17.4 is much lower, showing NBCC trades at a premium.
- 🏗️ Construction and infrastructure sector benefits from government spending and project pipeline.
📌 Conclusion
NBCC is a fair candidate for swing trading with strong fundamentals but stretched valuations. Entry near 105–110 ₹ offers a reasonable risk-reward setup. Exit should be considered around 120–125 ₹ unless momentum sustains toward 126 ₹. Traders should monitor RSI and institutional activity closely for confirmation.
Would you like me to extend this with a sector overlay comparing NBCC against peers like L&T and IRCON to highlight relative swing trade opportunities?