NBCC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 4.0

📈 Swing Trade Analysis: NBCC (India) Ltd.

NBCC presents a solid swing trade opportunity, backed by strong technical positioning and institutional interest, though valuation and earnings volatility suggest a measured approach.

✅ Strengths

Technical Momentum

MACD (0.52): Bullish crossover, indicating upward momentum.

RSI (60.4): Positive, with room before overbought territory.

Price above 50 DMA (₹107) and 200 DMA (₹104): Confirms bullish trend.

52w Index (65.1%)): Strong recovery from lows.

Fundamentals

ROCE (32.1%) and ROE (24.1%): Excellent capital efficiency.

Debt-Free (D/E: 0.00): Financially sound.

EPS (₹1.87) and Quarterly Profit Growth (31.7%): Improving earnings.

FII (+0.79%) and DII (+2.30%) Holding Increase: Strong institutional confidence.

⚠️ Risks

High P/E (51.6) vs Industry PE (20.6): Overvalued.

PEG Ratio (1.87): Fair but not cheap.

Volume below average: May limit short-term momentum.

PAT Qtr (₹114 Cr.) vs Prev Qtr (₹208 Cr.): Sequential decline.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Entry Zone: ₹106–₹108

A pullback near the 50 DMA offers a better risk-reward setup.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target Exit Price: ₹125–₹130

Near recent high and psychological resistance.

Stop Loss: ₹102

Just below 200 DMA and support zone.

Time Horizon: 1–2 weeks, depending on volume and RSI behavior.

This setup suits momentum-driven traders who are comfortable with elevated valuations and can manage short-term volatility. Let me know if you'd like help tracking this trade or scanning similar setups.

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