NBCC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 2.9
| Stock Code | NBCC | Market Cap | 22,450 Cr. | Current Price | 83.1 ₹ | High / Low | 131 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 35.7 | Book Value | 9.34 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.81 % | ROCE | 32.1 % |
| ROE | 24.1 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 95.5 ₹ | DMA 200 | 104 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.14 % | Chg in DII Hold | 1.28 % | PAT Qtr | 135 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 173 Cr. |
| RSI | 36.1 | MACD | -3.93 | Volume | 2,20,11,149 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 1,51,10,343 |
| Low price | 75.0 ₹ | High price | 131 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 1.29 | Debt to equity | 0.00 |
| 52w Index | 14.6 % | Qtr Profit Var | 4.89 % | EPS | 2.30 ₹ | Industry PE | 15.5 |
Analysis: NBCC trades at 83.1 ₹, below both its 50 DMA (95.5 ₹) and 200 DMA (104 ₹), reflecting bearish momentum. RSI at 36.1 suggests the stock is approaching oversold territory, while MACD (-3.93) confirms negative sentiment. The P/E of 35.7 is much higher than the industry average (15.5), indicating overvaluation. Despite strong fundamentals like ROCE (32.1%), ROE (24.1%), and zero debt, quarterly PAT declined (135 Cr. vs 173 Cr.), weakening short-term prospects. This makes NBCC a weak candidate for swing trading at present.
Optimal Entry Price: Around 78–82 ₹, near the support zone and close to the 52-week low of 75 ₹.
Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider exiting near 95–100 ₹ (50 DMA resistance zone). Place a stop-loss below 75 ₹ to limit downside risk.
✅ Positive
- Strong ROCE (32.1%) and ROE (24.1%) show efficient capital use.
- Zero debt-to-equity ratio ensures financial stability.
- EPS of 2.30 ₹ reflects consistent earnings.
⚠️ Limitation
- High P/E (35.7 vs industry 15.5) signals overvaluation.
- Technical indicators are weak (RSI low, MACD negative).
- Quarterly PAT declined from 173 Cr. to 135 Cr.
📉 Company Negative News
- Quarterly profit variation (-4.89%) shows slowing momentum.
- FII holdings decreased (-0.14%), reflecting reduced foreign confidence.
📈 Company Positive News
- DII holdings increased (+1.28%), showing domestic institutional support.
- Strong balance sheet with zero debt supports long-term stability.
🏭 Industry
- Industry P/E is 15.5, making NBCC relatively expensive.
- Construction and infrastructure sector is cyclical, influenced by government projects and economic growth.
🔎 Conclusion
NBCC has strong fundamentals but weak technicals, making it a poor swing trade candidate currently. Entry near 78–82 ₹ is safer, with exit around 95–100 ₹ if holding. Stop-loss at 75 ₹ is recommended. While long-term prospects remain supported by government contracts, short-term trading opportunities are limited due to overvaluation and declining profits.