NBCC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

Swing Trade Rating: 4.0

📉 Optimal Entry Price: ₹110–₹112 (near 50 DMA and RSI support)

📈 Exit Strategy (if holding): ₹128–₹131 (near 52-week high and resistance)

🔷 Positive

• 📈 ROCE (32.1%) and ROE (24.1%): Indicate strong capital efficiency and return potential.
• 📈 MACD at 1.69: Suggests bullish momentum is building.
• 📈 Trading above DMA 50 and 200: Reflects a strong technical trend.
• 📈 FII holding increased by 0.35%: Signals growing foreign investor confidence.
• 📉 Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00: Shows a debt-free balance sheet.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 High P/E of 53.6: More than double the industry average (22.2), suggesting overvaluation.
• 📉 PEG ratio of 1.94: Indicates valuation is stretched relative to growth.
• 📉 Quarterly PAT dropped: From ₹208 Cr. to ₹114 Cr., showing earnings volatility.
• 📉 Volume below 1-week average: May reflect reduced short-term interest.
• 📉 DII holding dropped by 0.26%: Indicates slight domestic institutional caution.

📉 Company Negative News

• 📉 Q2FY26 PAT declined sequentially, raising concerns over execution pace and margin compression.
• 📉 Analysts flagged valuation concerns amid high P/E and cyclical revenue visibility.

📈 Company Positive News

• 📈 NBCC received a ₹79.11 Cr. work order in October 2025, boosting its order book

  The Economic Times

  .

• 📊 The company reported net sales of ₹4,642.55 Cr. and strong profit margins in March 2025

  MarketsMojo.com

  .

• 📈 Management expects revenue to double to ₹25,000 Cr. by FY28, supported by new project pacts

  Upstox

  .

🏗️ Industry

• 🏢 Operates in the construction and infrastructure sector, which benefits from government capex and urban development.
• 📉 Industry P/E of 22.2 suggests NBCC trades at a premium, likely due to its PSU status and project pipeline.

🧾 Conclusion

• ✅ NBCC is a strong swing trade candidate with bullish technicals and long-term project visibility, though valuation and earnings volatility warrant caution.
• 📌 Entry near ₹110–₹112 offers a favorable setup if RSI stabilizes and MACD sustains.
• 🚪 If already holding, consider exiting near ₹128–₹131, aligning with resistance and 52-week high.

Sources

NBCC work order announcement – Economic Times

The Economic Times

NBCC Q4 results and outlook – MarketsMojo

MarketsMojo.com

NBCC revenue growth projection – Upstox

Upstox

I can also compare NBCC with other PSU infra stocks like IRCON or RVNL to help refine your swing strategy.