NBCC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.9
| Stock Code | NBCC | Market Cap | 27,130 Cr. | Current Price | 100 ₹ | High / Low | 131 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 43.5 | Book Value | 9.34 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.67 % | ROCE | 32.1 % |
| ROE | 24.1 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 108 ₹ | DMA 200 | 108 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.14 % | Chg in DII Hold | 1.28 % | PAT Qtr | 173 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 114 Cr. |
| RSI | 42.8 | MACD | -4.20 | Volume | 1,14,87,536 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 1,20,57,038 |
| Low price | 70.8 ₹ | High price | 131 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 1.58 | Debt to equity | 0.00 |
| 52w Index | 49.5 % | Qtr Profit Var | 39.5 % | EPS | 2.05 ₹ | Industry PE | 17.1 |
📊 NBCC shows moderate potential for swing trading. The stock is currently at 100 ₹, trading below both its 50 DMA (108 ₹) and 200 DMA (108 ₹), reflecting short-term weakness. RSI at 42.8 suggests the stock is nearing oversold territory, while MACD at -4.20 indicates bearish momentum. Fundamentals are strong with ROCE at 32.1% and ROE at 24.1%, but valuations are stretched (P/E 43.5 vs industry 17.1). Debt-free balance sheet adds stability, and quarterly PAT growth (114 Cr. → 173 Cr.) supports earnings strength.
✅ Optimal Entry Price: 95–100 ₹ (near support zone)
🚪 Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider profit booking around 115–120 ₹ (near DMA resistance), or exit if price falls below 94 ₹ with strong volume.
Positive
- 💡 Strong ROCE (32.1%) and ROE (24.1%) highlight efficient capital use.
- 📈 Debt-free balance sheet ensures financial stability.
- 📊 Quarterly PAT growth of 39.5% shows improving profitability.
- 📦 DII holding increased by 1.28%, reflecting domestic investor confidence.
Limitation
- ⚠️ High P/E (43.5) compared to industry average (17.1).
- 📉 Trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, showing weak momentum.
- 🔻 EPS at 2.05 ₹ is modest relative to valuation.
- 📉 RSI at 42.8 indicates bearish sentiment.
Company Negative News
- 📉 FII holding decreased by -0.14%.
- 📉 MACD at -4.20 signals bearish momentum.
Company Positive News
- 📊 PAT improved significantly (114 Cr. → 173 Cr.).
- 💰 Debt-free structure enhances financial resilience.
- 📈 DII inflows show domestic confidence in the company.
Industry
- 🏭 Industry P/E at 17.1 indicates sector is moderately valued.
- 📦 Construction and infrastructure sector benefits from government-led projects and urban development initiatives.
Conclusion
⚖️ NBCC is a fundamentally strong company with debt-free stability and improving profitability, but valuations are stretched and short-term momentum is weak. Entry near 95–100 ₹ offers a cautious swing setup, with exit targets around 115–120 ₹. Risk management is essential if price breaks below 94 ₹.