MSUMI - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.7
| Stock Code | MSUMI | Market Cap | 29,863 Cr. | Current Price | 45.0 ₹ | High / Low | 53.6 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 48.0 | Book Value | 2.78 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 1.26 % | ROCE | 42.5 % |
| ROE | 35.9 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 45.6 ₹ | DMA 200 | 44.0 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.13 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.58 % | PAT Qtr | 149 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 165 Cr. |
| RSI | 49.8 | MACD | -1.01 | Volume | 1,01,54,982 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 72,94,581 |
| Low price | 30.7 ₹ | High price | 53.6 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 4.87 | Debt to equity | 0.14 |
| 52w Index | 62.4 % | Qtr Profit Var | 6.76 % | EPS | 0.94 ₹ | Industry PE | 29.0 |
📊 MSUMI shows moderate potential for swing trading. The stock is currently at 45.0 ₹, close to its 50 DMA (45.6 ₹) and slightly above its 200 DMA (44.0 ₹), suggesting neutral momentum. RSI at 49.8 indicates balanced conditions, while MACD at -1.01 reflects mild bearish sentiment. Strong fundamentals (ROCE 42.5%, ROE 35.9%) support the company, but high valuation metrics (P/E 48.0 vs industry 29.0, PEG 4.87) limit upside potential.
✅ Optimal Entry Price: 44.0–45.0 ₹ (near 200 DMA support)
🚪 Exit Strategy (if already holding): Target 52.0–53.0 ₹ resistance zone for profit booking, or exit if price breaks below 43.5 ₹ with strong volume.
Positive
- 💡 Strong ROCE (42.5%) and ROE (35.9%) highlight efficient capital use.
- 📈 Dividend yield of 1.26% adds investor confidence.
- 📊 Current trading volume exceeds weekly average, showing active participation.
- 💰 Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.14) ensures financial stability.
Limitation
- ⚠️ High P/E (48.0) compared to industry average (29.0).
- 📉 PEG ratio of 4.87 suggests overvaluation relative to growth.
- 🔻 EPS at 0.94 ₹ is modest given valuation.
Company Negative News
- 📉 Quarterly PAT declined (165 Cr. → 149 Cr.).
- 🚫 FII holding decreased by -0.13%.
Company Positive News
- 📊 DII holding increased by 0.58%, showing domestic confidence.
- 📦 Stable profitability with Qtr Profit Var at 6.76%.
Industry
- 🏭 Industry P/E at 29.0 indicates sector is moderately valued.
- 📦 Auto ancillary sector benefits from cyclical demand recovery.
Conclusion
⚖️ MSUMI is fundamentally strong but trading at stretched valuations. For swing trading, entry near 44.0–45.0 ₹ offers a favorable risk-reward setup, with exit targets around 52.0–53.0 ₹. Caution advised if price falls below 43.5 ₹, as momentum could turn negative.