MSUMI - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListHere’s the structured swing trade analysis for MSUMI based on the given parameters
📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.5
| Stock Code | MSUMI | Market Cap | 25,028 Cr. | Current Price | 37.8 ₹ | High / Low | 53.6 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 40.0 | Book Value | 3.26 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 1.50 % | ROCE | 38.9 % |
| ROE | 32.4 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 39.1 ₹ | DMA 200 | 41.5 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.40 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.24 % | PAT Qtr | 167 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 149 Cr. |
| RSI | 45.6 | MACD | -0.64 | Volume | 91,21,949 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 1,90,49,648 |
| Low price | 35.7 ₹ | High price | 53.6 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 4.59 | Debt to equity | 0.11 |
| 52w Index | 11.6 % | Qtr Profit Var | 1.44 % | EPS | 0.94 ₹ | Industry PE | 27.6 |
MSUMI shows moderate potential for swing trading. The stock is currently priced at 37.8 ₹, below both its 50 DMA (39.1 ₹) and 200 DMA (41.5 ₹), indicating short-term weakness. RSI at 45.6 suggests the stock is nearing oversold territory, while MACD at -0.64 reflects bearish momentum. Strong fundamentals (ROCE 38.9%, ROE 32.4%) support stability, but high valuation (P/E 40.0 vs industry 27.6, PEG 4.59) limits upside potential.
Optimal Entry Price: 36–38 ₹ (near recent low of 35.7 ₹).
Exit Strategy if Holding: Consider profit booking around 44–46 ₹. If momentum sustains, watch for breakout above 53.6 ₹ resistance.
✅ Positive
- 📈 Strong ROCE (38.9%) and ROE (32.4%) highlight efficient capital use.
- 💰 Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.11) ensures financial stability.
- 📊 PAT growth (167 Cr. vs 149 Cr.) shows resilience.
- 💹 Dividend yield of 1.50% adds shareholder value.
⚠️ Limitation
- 📉 High P/E (40.0) compared to industry average (27.6).
- 📊 PEG ratio of 4.59 suggests limited growth potential.
- 📉 EPS of 0.94 ₹ reflects modest earnings power.
🚨 Company Negative News
- 📉 FII reduction (-0.40%) signals cautious outlook.
- ⚠️ Quarterly profit variation only 1.44%, indicating slowing growth momentum.
🌟 Company Positive News
- 📈 PAT increase from 149 Cr. to 167 Cr. demonstrates steady performance.
- 💹 Strong trading volume ensures liquidity for swing trades.
🏭 Industry
- 📊 Industry P/E at 27.6 is lower, showing MSUMI trades at a premium.
- 🚗 Auto component sector benefits from cyclical demand recovery.
📌 Conclusion
MSUMI is a fair candidate for swing trading with strong fundamentals but stretched valuations. Entry near 36–38 ₹ offers a reasonable risk-reward setup. Exit should be considered around 44–46 ₹ unless momentum sustains above 53.6 ₹. Traders should monitor RSI and volume trends closely for confirmation.
Would you like me to extend this by benchmarking MSUMI against peers such as Bosch, Motherson_Sumi_Wiring, or Sundaram_Fasteners to highlight relative swing trade opportunities?