MSUMI - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:03 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.6

📊 Analysis: MSUMI is trading at ₹47.7, above DMA 50 (₹46.0) and DMA 200 (₹43.4), confirming medium-term bullish undertone. RSI at 41.1 shows neutral momentum, while MACD slightly negative (-0.46) indicates mild weakness. Volume (24.8L) is below 1-week average (38.9L), reflecting reduced intraday participation. Fundamentals are strong with ROCE 42.5% and ROE 35.9%, but valuations are stretched (P/E 51.5 vs industry 30.0, PEG 5.23). PAT improved sequentially (₹165 Cr. vs ₹143 Cr.), supporting earnings momentum. Intraday trades may be possible with cautious positioning near support.

💡 Optimal Buy Price: ₹47.5–₹48.0 (near support zone).

🎯 Profit-Taking Levels: ₹48.8 (first target), ₹49.5 (second target).

🛡️ Stop-Loss: ₹46.8 (below intraday support).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit near ₹48.8–₹49.5 if momentum slows or RSI approaches 50+. Cut position below ₹46.8 with rising volume, as weakness may extend further.

Positive

• 📈 ROCE 42.5% and ROE 35.9% show excellent efficiency
• 💹 Price above DMA 50 & DMA 200, confirming medium-term bullish trend
• 📊 DII holding increased (+0.35%), showing domestic institutional support
• 📉 PAT improved sequentially from ₹143 Cr. to ₹165 Cr.

Limitation

• 📉 P/E 51.5 much higher than industry average (30.0)
• 📊 PEG ratio 5.23 indicates overvaluation relative to growth
• 📉 Volume below average, limiting intraday momentum
• 📊 EPS ₹0.92 relatively low compared to valuation

Company Negative News

• ⚠️ FII holding decreased (-0.10%), showing reduced foreign confidence
• ⚠️ High valuation compared to industry peers

Company Positive News

• ✅ DII holding increased (+0.35%), showing domestic support
• ✅ Sequential PAT improvement (+8.72%) boosts sentiment
• ✅ Dividend yield 1.22% adds investor confidence

Industry

• 🏭 Industry PE at 30.0, MSUMI at 51.5 — relatively overvalued
• 📊 Auto ancillary sector supported by cyclical demand and OEM growth

Conclusion

🔎 MSUMI is a moderate intraday candidate with strong fundamentals but stretched valuations and weak volume. Buy zone is ₹47.5–₹48.0 with targets at ₹48.8 and ₹49.5. Maintain strict stop-loss at ₹46.8. If already holding, exit near targets or cut losses below support with volume confirmation.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay with other auto ancillary majors like Motherson, Bosch, and Endurance Tech or a sector rotation basket scan to validate intraday opportunities?