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MOTHERSON - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 3.6

Last Updated Time : 05 Feb 26, 02:16 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.6

Stock Code MOTHERSON Market Cap 1,29,312 Cr. Current Price 123 ₹ High / Low 125 ₹
Stock P/E 69.8 Book Value 36.2 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.46 % ROCE 5.16 %
ROE 4.33 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 115 ₹ DMA 200 107 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.24 % Chg in DII Hold 0.59 % PAT Qtr 732 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 355 Cr.
RSI 64.7 MACD 0.19 Volume 1,40,81,942 Avg Vol 1Wk 1,68,46,381
Low price 71.5 ₹ High price 125 ₹ PEG Ratio 9.11 Debt to equity 0.18
52w Index 94.6 % Qtr Profit Var 14.0 % EPS 1.76 ₹ Industry PE 28.7

📊 MOTHERSON shows moderate potential for swing trading. The current price (123 ₹) is very close to its 52-week high (125 ₹), suggesting limited immediate upside. RSI at 64.7 indicates the stock is approaching overbought territory, while MACD (0.19) reflects mild bullishness. The price is comfortably above both the 50 DMA (115 ₹) and 200 DMA (107 ₹), showing strong momentum. Fundamentals are mixed: quarterly PAT nearly doubled (355 Cr. to 732 Cr.), but high P/E (69.8 vs industry PE of 28.7) and weak ROE (4.33%) raise valuation concerns.

💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around 115–118 ₹ (near 50 DMA support).

🚪 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 125–130 ₹ (resistance zone and recent high) or if RSI crosses 70 with weakening momentum.

✅ Positive

  • Quarterly PAT surged from 355 Cr. to 732 Cr. (14% variation, strong growth).
  • EPS of 1.76 ₹ shows earnings recovery.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18 indicates low leverage risk.
  • DII holdings increased (+0.59%), showing domestic institutional support.

⚠️ Limitation

  • High P/E of 69.8 compared to industry PE of 28.7 suggests overvaluation.
  • ROCE (5.16%) and ROE (4.33%) are weak, showing limited efficiency.
  • Dividend yield of 0.46% is modest.
  • FII holdings decreased (-0.24%), showing reduced foreign investor interest.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Valuation concerns due to high P/E and PEG ratio (9.11).
  • Weak return ratios compared to peers.

📈 Company Positive News

  • Strong quarterly profit growth supports fundamentals.
  • Stock trading above both 50 DMA and 200 DMA shows strong momentum.
  • Low debt-to-equity ratio enhances financial stability.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry PE at 28.7 vs MOTHERSON’s 69.8 highlights premium valuation.
  • Auto components sector remains cyclical but benefits from global demand recovery.

🔎 Conclusion

MOTHERSON is a moderately attractive swing trade candidate. Entry near 115–118 ₹ offers a safer risk-reward setup, with exit targets around 125–130 ₹. Strong profit growth and momentum support the stock, but high valuations and weak efficiency metrics suggest cautious trading. Suitable for short-term traders monitoring resistance levels closely.

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