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MMTC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 2.9

Last Updated Time : 04 Feb 26, 02:09 am

Swing Trade Rating: 2.9

Stock Code MMTC Market Cap 9,630 Cr. Current Price 64.1 ₹ High / Low 88.2 ₹
Stock P/E 233 Book Value 10.9 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 8.33 %
ROE 5.69 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 64.1 ₹ DMA 200 65.2 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.07 % Chg in DII Hold -0.07 % PAT Qtr 4.88 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 36.7 Cr.
RSI 48.5 MACD 0.33 Volume 29,27,405 Avg Vol 1Wk 86,69,681
Low price 42.6 ₹ High price 88.2 ₹ PEG Ratio 8.05 Debt to equity 0.02
52w Index 47.2 % Qtr Profit Var -56.7 % EPS 1.13 ₹ Industry PE 32.3

📊 MMTC shows weak fundamentals and limited technical strength for swing trading. The stock trades at ₹64.1, almost aligned with its 50 DMA (₹64.1) and slightly below its 200 DMA (₹65.2), indicating lack of momentum. RSI at 48.5 suggests neutral positioning, while MACD at 0.33 shows flat momentum. Valuation is extremely stretched with a P/E of 233 compared to industry average of 32.3, and ROE/ROCE remain weak. Quarterly PAT has declined sharply, reducing investor confidence. Low debt-to-equity (0.02) is a positive, but overall risk-reward is unfavorable.

✅ Optimal Entry Price: Around ₹58–60 (near support zone, better margin of safety).

🚪 Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider exit near ₹70–72 (resistance zone close to 200 DMA). If price falls below ₹58, apply stop-loss to protect capital.

Positive

  • 💰 Very low debt-to-equity ratio (0.02).
  • 📊 RSI at 48.5 indicates neutral positioning, not overbought.
  • 📈 EPS of ₹1.13 provides minimal earnings support.

Limitation

  • ⚠️ Extremely high P/E (233 vs industry 32.3).
  • 📉 Weak ROE (5.69%) and ROCE (8.33%).
  • 📉 Trading flat around DMA levels, showing no momentum.
  • 📉 PEG ratio (8.05) indicates expensive growth.

Company Negative News

  • 📉 Sharp decline in quarterly PAT (₹4.88 Cr. vs ₹36.7 Cr.).
  • 📉 Institutional selling (FII -0.07%, DII -0.07%).

Company Positive News

  • ⚡ Low debt-to-equity ratio supports financial stability.

Industry

  • 🏭 Trading sector average PE is 32.3, MMTC trades at a steep premium (233).
  • 📊 Sector remains cyclical with limited valuation support.

Conclusion

⚖️ MMTC is a weak candidate for swing trading due to stretched valuation, poor profitability ratios, and declining quarterly performance. Entry near ₹58–60 offers limited risk-reward, while exits should be targeted near ₹70–72. Traders should remain cautious and apply strict stop-loss discipline below ₹58.

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