MCX - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

Swing Trade Rating: 4.2

📉 Optimal Entry Price: ₹9,150–₹9,250 (near RSI support and below recent high)

📈 Exit Strategy (if holding): ₹9,600–₹9,625 (near 52-week high and resistance)

🔷 Positive

• 📈 ROCE (31.9%) and ROE (23.9%): Indicate strong capital efficiency and profitability.
• 📈 MACD at 287: Suggests strong bullish momentum.
• 📈 Trading well above DMA 50 and 200: Reflects strong technical trend and support.
• 📈 DII holding increased by 1.41%: Signals rising domestic institutional confidence.
• 📊 Quarterly PAT growth of 95.2%: From ₹102 Cr. to ₹157 Cr., showing robust earnings momentum.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 High P/E of 96.7: Well above industry average (64.0), suggesting overvaluation.
• 📉 PEG ratio of 2.14: Indicates expensive valuation relative to growth.
• 📉 RSI at 60.9: Approaching overbought zone, signaling caution for fresh entry.
• 📉 FII holding dropped by 2.69%: Reflects cautious foreign sentiment.
• 📉 Dividend yield of 0.32%: Minimal income return for investors.

📉 Company Negative News

• 📉 Analysts flagged valuation concerns due to high P/E and potential profit booking near highs.
• 📉 FII outflows suggest skepticism around sustainability of recent earnings spike.

📈 Company Positive News

• 📈 MCX posted record quarterly profit driven by higher trading volumes and platform upgrades.
• 📊 Management expects continued growth from new product launches and tech-driven efficiencies.

📊 Industry

• 🏦 Operates in the financial exchange and commodities trading sector, which benefits from rising investor participation and volatility.
• 📈 Industry P/E of 64.0 suggests MCX trades at a premium, likely due to its dominant market position and tech edge.

🧾 Conclusion

• ✅ MCX is a strong swing trade candidate with solid fundamentals and bullish technicals, though valuation remains a concern.
• 📌 Entry near ₹9,150–₹9,250 offers a favorable setup if RSI cools and momentum sustains.
• 🚪 If already holding, consider exiting near ₹9,600–₹9,625, aligning with resistance and 52-week high.

I can also track MCX’s RSI and MACD trends to help you time your entry more precisely.