MCX - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListHere’s the structured swing trade analysis for MCX based on the given parameters
📊 Swing Trade Rating: 4.3
| Stock Code | MCX | Market Cap | 71,855 Cr. | Current Price | 2,817 ₹ | High / Low | 3,480 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 69.8 | Book Value | 110 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.21 % | ROCE | 57.9 % |
| ROE | 43.4 % | Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 2,892 ₹ | DMA 200 | 2,388 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 5.43 % | Chg in DII Hold | -4.81 % | PAT Qtr | 409 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 307 Cr. |
| RSI | 41.6 | MACD | -55.2 | Volume | 28,21,723 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 30,70,612 |
| Low price | 1,461 ₹ | High price | 3,480 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.70 | Debt to equity | 0.00 |
| 52w Index | 67.2 % | Qtr Profit Var | 302 % | EPS | 40.4 ₹ | Industry PE | 54.0 |
MCX shows strong potential for swing trading. The current price of 2,817 ₹ is slightly below its 50 DMA (2,892 ₹) but well above the 200 DMA (2,388 ₹), indicating medium-term strength with short-term consolidation. RSI at 41.6 suggests the stock is nearing oversold territory, while MACD at -55.2 reflects bearish momentum. Fundamentals are excellent (ROCE 57.9%, ROE 43.4%, EPS 40.4 ₹) with zero debt. Valuation is high (P/E 69.8 vs industry 54.0), but PEG ratio of 0.70 indicates growth-adjusted value.
Optimal Entry Price: 2,780–2,850 ₹ (near support levels).
Exit Strategy if Holding: Consider profit booking around 3,200–3,300 ₹, before resistance at 3,480 ₹.
✅ Positive
- 📈 Exceptional ROCE (57.9%) and ROE (43.4%) highlight strong profitability.
- 💰 Zero debt-to-equity ratio shows financial robustness.
- 📊 PAT surged from 307 Cr. to 409 Cr., a 302% quarterly profit variation.
- 🏦 EPS of 40.4 ₹ provides solid earnings visibility.
⚠️ Limitation
- 📉 Very high P/E ratio (69.8) compared to industry average (54.0), suggesting overvaluation.
- 📊 Dividend yield of 0.21% is low, limiting income appeal.
- 📉 Current price slightly below 50 DMA, showing short-term weakness.
🚨 Company Negative News
- 📉 DII holding decreased significantly (-4.81%), reflecting reduced domestic institutional confidence.
🌟 Company Positive News
- 📈 FII holding increased sharply (+5.43%), showing strong foreign investor interest.
- 💹 Quarterly profit growth of 302% demonstrates operational strength.
🏭 Industry
- 📊 Industry P/E at 54.0 is lower than MCX’s, suggesting peers may be more attractively priced.
- 📈 Financial exchange sector benefits from rising trading volumes and market participation.
📌 Conclusion
⚖️ MCX is fundamentally strong and technically positioned for a rebound. It is a good candidate for swing trading if entered near 2,780–2,850 ₹ with a target exit around 3,200–3,300 ₹. Strong FII inflows and profit growth support bullish sentiment, though high valuation warrants cautious positioning.
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