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MCX - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 4.3

Last Updated Time : 03 May 26, 11:24 am

Technical Rating: 4.3

Stock Code MCX Market Cap 75,771 Cr. Current Price 2,972 ₹ High / Low 2,986 ₹
Stock P/E 105 Book Value 81.8 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.20 % ROCE 31.9 %
ROE 23.9 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 2,611 ₹ DMA 200 2,136 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 5.43 % Chg in DII Hold -4.81 % PAT Qtr 307 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 156 Cr.
RSI 71.2 MACD 107 Volume 25,65,729 Avg Vol 1Wk 22,60,764
Low price 1,120 ₹ High price 2,986 ₹ PEG Ratio 2.32 Debt to equity 0.00
52w Index 99.2 % Qtr Profit Var 151 % EPS 28.3 ₹ Industry PE 68.0

📈 Chart & Trend: MCX is trading well above its 50 DMA (2,611 ₹) and 200 DMA (2,136 ₹), showing strong bullish momentum. RSI at 71.2 indicates overbought conditions, while MACD at 107 confirms strong upward momentum. Bollinger Bands are stretched, suggesting high volatility and potential short-term pullback.

🔎 Momentum Signals: Short-term momentum remains bullish, but caution is advised due to overbought RSI. Key support lies at 2,850–2,880 ₹, while resistance is near 3,000–3,050 ₹. Entry zone: 2,850–2,880 ₹. Exit zone: 3,000–3,050 ₹.

📊 Volume Trends: Current volume (25.6 lakh) is above the 1-week average (22.6 lakh), confirming strong participation and sustained momentum.

Positive

  • Strong ROCE (31.9%) and ROE (23.9%) highlight operational efficiency.
  • Debt-free balance sheet (0.00 debt-to-equity) ensures financial stability.
  • Quarterly PAT growth (307 Cr. vs 156 Cr.) shows robust earnings momentum.
  • 52-week index at 99.2% indicates stock is near all-time highs.

Limitation

  • Extremely high P/E (105) compared to industry average (68.0) suggests steep overvaluation.
  • PEG ratio of 2.32 indicates valuation premium relative to growth.
  • Overbought RSI (71.2) signals risk of short-term correction.

Company Negative News

  • DII holdings declined (-4.81%), showing reduced domestic institutional confidence.

Company Positive News

  • FII holdings surged (+5.43%), reflecting strong foreign investor interest.
  • Quarterly profit variation (+151%) highlights exceptional earnings growth.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 68.0 indicates sector is moderately valued compared to MCX’s premium pricing.
  • Financial services/exchange sector benefiting from increased trading activity and volatility.

Conclusion

MCX is in a strong uptrend with bullish technical signals supported by robust earnings and foreign investor inflows. However, overvaluation and overbought RSI suggest caution for fresh entries. Best suited for accumulation near 2,850–2,880 ₹ with profit booking around 3,000–3,050 ₹.

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