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MCX - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 4.2

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 09:51 am

Technical Rating: 4.2

Stock Code MCX Market Cap 57,016 Cr. Current Price 2,233 ₹ High / Low 2,706 ₹
Stock P/E 79.0 Book Value 81.8 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.27 % ROCE 31.9 %
ROE 23.9 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 2,200 ₹ DMA 200 1,782 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 1.64 % Chg in DII Hold -1.34 % PAT Qtr 307 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 156 Cr.
RSI 46.2 MACD 83.6 Volume 2,22,28,347 Avg Vol 1Wk 1,01,88,115
Low price 882 ₹ High price 2,706 ₹ PEG Ratio 1.74 Debt to equity 0.00
52w Index 74.1 % Qtr Profit Var 151 % EPS 28.3 ₹ Industry PE 58.4

📊 Chart & Trend Analysis:

MCX is trading at ₹2,233, slightly above its 50 DMA (₹2,200) and well above its 200 DMA (₹1,782), indicating strong medium-term bullish momentum. RSI at 46.2 is neutral, suggesting room for further upside without being overbought. MACD at 83.6 shows a strong positive crossover, confirming bullish momentum. Bollinger Bands indicate price is consolidating near the mid-range, with potential for breakout. Volume (2.22 Cr.) is significantly higher than the 1-week average (1.01 Cr.), reflecting strong market participation and accumulation.

📈 Momentum Signals:

- MACD strongly positive, confirming bullish momentum.

- RSI neutral, leaving scope for further upside.

- Price above both 50 & 200 DMA supports bullish trend continuation.

- High volume indicates strong investor interest and accumulation.

🎯 Optimal Entry & Exit Zones:

- Entry Zone: ₹2,200 – ₹2,240 (near 50 DMA support).

- Exit Zone: ₹2,600 – ₹2,650 (resistance near recent highs).

- Stop Loss: ₹2,150 (below short-term support).

📌 Trend Status: The stock is trending upward with strong bullish signals, supported by volume and MACD strength.


Positive

  • Strong ROCE (31.9%) and ROE (23.9%) highlight efficient capital use.
  • Debt-free balance sheet (Debt-to-equity: 0.00) ensures financial stability.
  • Quarterly PAT surged to ₹307 Cr. from ₹156 Cr., showing robust earnings growth.
  • FII holding increased (+1.64%), reflecting foreign investor confidence.

Limitation

  • High P/E (79.0) compared to industry average (58.4) suggests overvaluation.
  • Dividend yield of 0.27% is relatively low, limiting income appeal.
  • PEG ratio of 1.74 indicates growth is moderately expensive.

Company Negative News

  • DII holding decreased (-1.34%), showing reduced domestic institutional support.
  • High valuation may limit upside in the near term.

Company Positive News

  • Quarterly profit growth of 151% signals strong operational performance.
  • EPS of ₹28.3 reflects solid earnings base.
  • Strong trading volumes indicate rising investor interest.

Industry

  • Industry P/E at 58.4 is lower, making MCX relatively expensive compared to peers.
  • Exchange and financial services sector benefits from rising trading activity and market participation.

Conclusion

⚖️ MCX is trending upward with strong bullish signals from MACD, volume, and price action above key moving averages. While fundamentals are robust with debt-free status and strong profit growth, valuations remain stretched compared to industry peers. Short-term traders may consider entry near ₹2,200–₹2,240 with exits around ₹2,600–₹2,650, while long-term investors should monitor valuation risks but can benefit from strong growth momentum and institutional support.

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