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MCX - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 4.5

Last Updated Time : 24 May 26, 10:27 pm

Technical Rating: 4.5

Stock Code MCX Market Cap 83,374 Cr. Current Price 3,270 ₹ High / Low 3,480 ₹
Stock P/E 81.0 Book Value 110 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.18 % ROCE 57.9 %
ROE 43.4 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 2,889 ₹ DMA 200 2,285 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 5.43 % Chg in DII Hold -4.81 % PAT Qtr 409 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 307 Cr.
RSI 63.1 MACD 168 Volume 29,42,519 Avg Vol 1Wk 30,22,523
Low price 1,262 ₹ High price 3,480 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.82 Debt to equity 0.00
52w Index 90.6 % Qtr Profit Var 302 % EPS 40.4 ₹ Industry PE 62.6

📈 Chart & Trend: MCX is trading at 3,270 ₹, well above its 50 DMA (2,889 ₹) and 200 DMA (2,285 ₹), confirming a strong uptrend. Price action is approaching resistance near 3,350–3,400 ₹, with support around 3,150–3,200 ₹.

🔎 Momentum Signals: RSI at 63.1 indicates healthy bullish momentum but nearing overbought territory. MACD at 168 shows a powerful bullish crossover. Entry zone: 3,150–3,200 ₹. Exit zone: 3,350–3,400 ₹.

📊 Volume Trends: Current volume (29.4 Lakh) is close to the 1-week average (30.2 Lakh), confirming steady participation and institutional activity.

📉 Bollinger Bands: Bands are wide, reflecting strong volatility expansion and trending momentum.

📌 Trend Status: The stock is in a strong trending phase with bullish signals supported by technicals and fundamentals.

Positive

  • Exceptional ROCE (57.9%) and ROE (43.4%) highlight superior capital efficiency.
  • Debt-free balance sheet (0.00 debt-to-equity) ensures financial strength.
  • Quarterly PAT surged to 409 Cr. vs 307 Cr., showing robust earnings growth.
  • PEG ratio of 0.82 indicates attractive valuation relative to growth.
  • 52-week index at 90.6% shows strong long-term performance.

Limitation

  • High P/E (81.0) compared to industry PE (62.6) reflects premium valuation.
  • Dividend yield at 0.18% is modest, limiting income appeal.
  • RSI above 60 signals risk of short-term pullback.

Company Negative News

  • DII holdings declined (-4.81%), showing reduced domestic institutional support.

Company Positive News

  • FII holdings increased (+5.43%), reflecting strong foreign investor confidence.
  • Quarterly profit variation (+302%) highlights exceptional earnings momentum.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 62.6 indicates sector is moderately valued compared to MCX’s premium.
  • Financial exchange sector benefiting from rising trading volumes and market activity.

Conclusion

MCX is in a strong trending phase with powerful bullish signals from RSI, MACD, and volume. Fundamentals remain robust with debt-free status and strong earnings growth. While valuations are stretched, momentum favors continuation. Best suited for entry near 3,150–3,200 ₹ with profit booking around 3,350–3,400 ₹.

MCX is clearly in a trending phase with strong institutional support. To enrich this, I can extend into a sector overlay comparison or a peer benchmarking analysis to highlight how MCX stacks up against other financial exchange peers.

Technical Analysis
Fundamental Analysis

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