KOTAKBANK - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.8

🏦 Kotak Mahindra Bank Ltd (KOTAKBANK) Swing Trade Analysis

Kotak Bank is currently in a technical downtrend with weak momentum indicators and declining quarterly profits. However, its strong fundamentals and oversold technicals suggest a potential short-term bounce, making it a moderate candidate for swing trading.

✅ Strengths

Fundamentals

ROE: 15.4% — solid profitability

EPS: ₹96.3 — strong earnings base

PEG Ratio: 0.92 — fairly valued for growth

P/E: 20.5 vs industry average of 12.6 — premium justified by quality

PAT Qtr: ₹4,472 Cr — strong earnings despite slight decline

Institutional Sentiment

DII holding ↑ 0.48% — mild domestic accumulation

Volume

51.6L vs Avg 53.0L — consistent liquidity

⚠️ Weaknesses

Technical Indicators

RSI: 27.2 — deeply oversold

MACD: -28.1 — bearish momentum

Price below both 50 DMA (₹2,134) and 200 DMA (₹2,013) — confirms downtrend

FII Sentiment: FII holding ↓ 0.31% — mild foreign selling

Dividend Yield: 0.13% — minimal income support

Debt-to-Equity: 3.76 — high leverage for a bank

Recent Price Action

CMP ₹1,973 vs high ₹2,302 — significant correction

1-month return: -10.93%

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Qtr Profit Var: -2.35% — mild contraction

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Entry Zone: ₹1,950–₹1,975

Near recent support and psychological level

Confirm entry with RSI > 30 and MACD flattening

Look for bullish candlestick pattern (e.g., hammer, morning star)

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🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Short-Term Target: ₹2,080–₹2,120

Resistance near 200 DMA and previous swing highs

Stop Loss: ₹1,910

Below recent support and psychological threshold

📌 Summary

KOTAKBANK is a fundamentally strong but technically oversold stock. Entry near ₹1,950–₹1,975 offers a potential swing setup if momentum improves. If already holding, consider exiting near ₹2,120 or trail stop loss to ₹1,910.

For live charting and candlestick confirmation, check Kotak Bank’s candlestick patterns

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or explore pivot levels on TopStockResearch

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The Economic Times

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The Economic Times

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in.investing.com

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www.topstockresearch.com

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