JSWINFRA - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.5

📊 Swing Trade Analysis: JSWINFRA

JSW Infrastructure shows short-term bullish momentum but is weighed down by valuation and earnings concerns, making it a moderately viable swing trade candidate.

✅ Technical Indicators

Price vs DMA: Current price ₹328 is above both 50-DMA (₹308) and 200-DMA (₹299), confirming an uptrend.

RSI (69.2): Approaching overbought territory — momentum is strong but nearing exhaustion.

MACD (5.18): Positive and rising — supports continued upward movement.

Volume: Above weekly average — confirms active participation and interest.

⚠️ Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation: P/E of 187 is extremely high vs industry average (25.6), and PEG ratio of 5.34 suggests overvaluation.

Profitability: ROCE (9.32%) and ROE (6.93%) are modest — not ideal for aggressive swing trades.

Earnings Decline: PAT dropped from ₹84.9 Cr to ₹73.0 Cr — signals short-term weakness.

Debt-to-Equity: 0.66 — manageable, but not a standout.

Institutional Sentiment: FII holdings increased (+1.89%) — a bullish signal; DII also slightly up (+0.13%).

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹310–₹315

Near 50-DMA support; wait for RSI to cool below 65 for a safer entry.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Holding)

Target Exit: ₹345–₹355

Near recent highs; consider exiting if RSI crosses 75 or MACD flattens.

Stop Loss: ₹300

Below this level, trend support breaks down.

⚖️ Verdict

JSWINFRA is a moderate swing trade candidate, best suited for short-term momentum plays. Traders should be cautious of valuation risks and monitor RSI closely before entry or exit.

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