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JSWINFRA - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.2

Last Updated Time : 03 May 26, 11:24 am

Technical Rating: 3.2

Stock Code JSWINFRA Market Cap 57,116 Cr. Current Price 272 ₹ High / Low 349 ₹
Stock P/E 184 Book Value 24.7 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.29 % ROCE 9.32 %
ROE 6.93 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 264 ₹ DMA 200 276 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.21 % Chg in DII Hold 0.26 % PAT Qtr 33.7 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 119 Cr.
RSI 53.7 MACD 6.24 Volume 21,78,958 Avg Vol 1Wk 19,13,495
Low price 233 ₹ High price 349 ₹ PEG Ratio 5.25 Debt to equity 0.71
52w Index 33.4 % Qtr Profit Var -63.8 % EPS 1.47 ₹ Industry PE 24.6

📊 Chart & Indicators

- Current price (₹272) is above DMA 50 (₹264) but below DMA 200 (₹276), showing short-term strength but medium-term weakness.

- RSI at 53.7 indicates neutral momentum.

- MACD at 6.24 shows mild bullish crossover.

- Bollinger Bands: price near mid-band, suggesting consolidation.

- Volume (21.8 Lakh) above average (19.1 Lakh), showing active participation.

🎯 Entry & Exit Zones

- **Entry Zone:** ₹265 – ₹272 (near DMA 50 support).

- **Exit Zone:** ₹280 – ₹295 (resistance near DMA 200 and trendline).

- **Stop-Loss:** Below ₹260 (support breakdown risk).

📈 Trend Status

- The stock is **consolidating with mild bullish bias**.

- Sustaining above ₹276 (DMA 200) is required for trend reversal confirmation.

✅ Positive

- Price supported by DMA 50.

- EPS growth potential with sector expansion.

- DII holdings increased (+0.26%), showing domestic confidence.

- Strong 52-week index gain of 33.4%.

⚠️ Limitation

- Extremely high P/E (184) vs industry average (24.6), showing severe overvaluation.

- Weak ROE (6.93%) and ROCE (9.32%).

- PEG ratio at 5.25 indicates poor valuation relative to growth.

- Dividend yield modest at 0.29%.

- Sequential PAT decline (₹119 Cr. → ₹33.7 Cr., -63.8%).

📉 Company Negative News

- Sharp decline in quarterly profits.

- Weak fundamentals with low returns and high valuation.

- FII holdings decreased (-0.21%).

📈 Company Positive News

- Domestic institutional inflows provide support.

- Technical indicators (MACD, RSI neutral) showing mild bullish bias.

- Strong long-term price performance with 52-week gain.

🏭 Industry

- Industry PE at 24.6 vs JSWINFRA’s 184, showing extreme premium valuation.

- Infrastructure sector supported by government spending but facing margin pressures.

🔎 Conclusion

JSWINFRA is consolidating near support with mild bullish signals from MACD and RSI. Fundamentals remain weak with sharp profit decline and extreme overvaluation, though DII inflows and technical support provide some cushion. Entry near ₹265–₹272 is favorable for tactical trades, with exits around ₹280–₹295. Sustained breakout above DMA 200 is required for medium-term bullish reversal.

Would you like me to also prepare a swing trade overlay comparing JSWINFRA with peers like Adani Ports and GMR Infra for sector benchmarking?

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