JKCEMENT - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.6

📈 Swing Trade Analysis: JKCEMENT

JK Cement presents a mixed technical and fundamental profile for swing trading. Here's a breakdown of key indicators

🔍 Technical Indicators

Price Action: Current price ₹6,800 is above both 50-DMA (₹6,642) and 200-DMA (₹5,682), indicating bullish momentum.

RSI (51.4): Neutral zone — neither overbought nor oversold, suggesting indecision.

MACD (-38.2): Negative crossover, signaling weakening momentum.

Volume: Slightly below weekly average, indicating reduced short-term interest.

📊 Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation: P/E of 54.5 is significantly above industry average (47.3), and PEG ratio of 12.7 suggests overvaluation.

Profitability: ROCE (14.5%) and ROE (14.6%) are decent but not exceptional.

Quarterly PAT Decline: From ₹379 Cr to ₹336 Cr — a negative signal for short-term sentiment.

Debt Load: Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.97 is relatively high, adding risk.

Institutional Activity: FII holdings increased (+1.42%), but DII reduced (-1.45%) — mixed institutional sentiment.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹6,600–₹6,650

Near 50-DMA support; wait for MACD to flatten or turn positive before entry.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Holding)

Target Exit: ₹7,300–₹7,500

Near recent highs; consider exiting if RSI approaches 70 or MACD turns sharply negative.

Stop Loss: ₹6,400

Below this level, trend reversal risk increases.

⚖️ Verdict

JKCEMENT is a moderate swing trade candidate. While technicals show some strength, high valuation and weakening momentum warrant caution. Best suited for short-term traders with tight risk controls.

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