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JKCEMENT - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.5

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 09:51 am

Technical Rating: 3.5

Stock Code JKCEMENT Market Cap 42,331 Cr. Current Price 5,478 ₹ High / Low 7,566 ₹
Stock P/E 38.6 Book Value 833 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.27 % ROCE 14.5 %
ROE 14.6 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 5,718 ₹ DMA 200 5,773 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.68 % Chg in DII Hold 0.75 % PAT Qtr 211 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 176 Cr.
RSI 43.6 MACD -42.5 Volume 20,657 Avg Vol 1Wk 1,41,125
Low price 4,219 ₹ High price 7,566 ₹ PEG Ratio 9.01 Debt to equity 0.99
52w Index 37.6 % Qtr Profit Var 5.47 % EPS 143 ₹ Industry PE 30.0

📉 Chart & Trend Analysis: JKCEMENT is trading at ₹5,478, below both its 50 DMA (₹5,718) and 200 DMA (₹5,773), signaling weak technical strength. RSI at 43.6 suggests the stock is in neutral-to-oversold territory. MACD at -42.5 confirms bearish momentum. Bollinger Bands show price leaning toward the lower band, indicating sustained selling pressure. Current volume (20K) is significantly below the 1-week average (141K), reflecting weak participation.

🔑 Momentum Signals: Short-term momentum is bearish with immediate support at ₹5,400 and major support at ₹5,200. Resistance lies at ₹5,700–₹5,750 (DMA zone). Optimal entry zone: ₹5,350–₹5,450 for risk-managed traders. Exit zone: ₹5,700–₹5,750 if recovery occurs. Trend status: Reversing downward.


Positive ✅

  • ROCE (14.5%) and ROE (14.6%) indicate steady capital efficiency.
  • Quarterly PAT growth (₹211 Cr vs ₹176 Cr) shows earnings improvement.
  • DII holding increased (+0.75%), reflecting domestic institutional support.
  • EPS of ₹143 highlights strong profitability base.

Limitation ⚠️

  • Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, confirming weak technical strength.
  • High P/E (38.6) compared to industry PE (30.0) suggests overvaluation.
  • PEG ratio of 9.01 highlights stretched valuation relative to growth.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.99 indicates significant leverage.
  • Volume trend weaker than average, showing lack of strong buying support.

Company Negative News 📉

  • FII holding decreased (-0.68%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • Stock has fallen from 52-week high of ₹7,566 to ₹5,478, eroding sentiment.

Company Positive News 📊

  • Quarterly profit variation of 5.47% indicates operational resilience.
  • Strong book value of ₹833 provides margin-of-safety for long-term investors.

Industry 🌐

  • Industry PE at 30.0 is lower than JKCEMENT’s PE of 38.6, suggesting sector peers may be more attractively valued.
  • Cement sector outlook remains positive with infrastructure demand driving growth.

Conclusion 📝

JKCEMENT is currently in a bearish reversal phase, trading below key moving averages with weak momentum indicators. While fundamentals show profitability and institutional support, high valuation and leverage remain concerns. Risk-tolerant traders may consider entries near ₹5,350–₹5,450 with exits around ₹5,700–₹5,750, while long-term investors should wait for confirmation of trend reversal above the 200 DMA.

Would you like me to also prepare a peer benchmarking overlay comparing JKCEMENT with cement peers like Ultratech, Shree Cement, and Ramco Cement to highlight relative strength and valuation?

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