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JKCEMENT - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.2

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 08:56 pm

Technical Rating: 3.2

Stock Code JKCEMENT Market Cap 39,399 Cr. Current Price 5,101 ₹ High / Low 7,566 ₹
Stock P/E 35.9 Book Value 833 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.29 % ROCE 14.5 %
ROE 14.6 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 5,533 ₹ DMA 200 5,706 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.68 % Chg in DII Hold 0.75 % PAT Qtr 211 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 176 Cr.
RSI 36.7 MACD -169 Volume 50,364 Avg Vol 1Wk 57,937
Low price 4,390 ₹ High price 7,566 ₹ PEG Ratio 8.38 Debt to equity 0.99
52w Index 22.4 % Qtr Profit Var 5.47 % EPS 143 ₹ Industry PE 28.2

📉 Chart & Trend: JKCEMENT is trading below both its 50 DMA (₹5,533) and 200 DMA (₹5,706), with the current price at ₹5,101. This indicates a bearish undertone and lack of recovery momentum.

📊 RSI: At 36.7, RSI is weak and near oversold territory, suggesting limited upside potential but possible short-term bounce.

📉 MACD: Negative at -169, confirming bearish momentum and absence of reversal signals.

📈 Bollinger Bands: Price is near the lower band, reflecting weakness and potential downside risk if support breaks.

📊 Volume: Current volume (50K) is slightly below average weekly volume (58K), showing reduced participation and weak buying interest.

📍 Support & Resistance:

- Strong support: ₹4,390

- Immediate resistance: ₹5,533 (50 DMA)

- Major resistance: ₹5,706 (200 DMA)

Optimal entry zone: ₹4,950–₹5,100 (near support).

Exit zone: ₹5,500–₹5,600 (resistance cluster).

🔎 Trend Status: The stock is consolidating with bearish bias. A reversal requires sustained close above ₹5,533.


Positive

  • ROCE (14.5%) and ROE (14.6%) indicate decent capital efficiency.
  • EPS at ₹143 supports earnings visibility.
  • Quarterly PAT growth (₹211 Cr vs ₹176 Cr) shows earnings momentum.
  • DII holding increased by 0.75%, reflecting domestic institutional support.

Limitation

  • Trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA signals weakness.
  • RSI and MACD confirm bearish momentum.
  • P/E of 35.9 compared to industry PE of 28.2 indicates overvaluation.
  • PEG ratio of 8.38 suggests valuation is expensive relative to growth.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.99 indicates high leverage risk.

Company Negative News

  • FII holding decreased by -0.68%, showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • Stock has corrected sharply from its 52-week high of ₹7,566.

Company Positive News

  • Quarterly profit variation of 5.47% indicates growth momentum.
  • Strong 52-week index performance at 22.4% shows resilience despite correction.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 28.2 vs JKCEMENT’s PE of 35.9 shows relative premium valuation.
  • Cement sector outlook remains positive with infrastructure demand and government spending support.

Conclusion

⚖️ JKCEMENT is consolidating with bearish bias near support. Short-term traders may consider entry around ₹4,950–₹5,100 with exits near ₹5,500–₹5,600. Long-term investors should be cautious given high leverage and valuation, waiting for confirmation above ₹5,533 before adding positions.

Would you like me to extend this into a cement sector basket overlay (JKCEMENT vs peers like Ultratech, Shree Cement, ACC) so you can benchmark its setup against industry leaders for confirmation signals?

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