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JKCEMENT - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.6

Last Updated Time : 03 May 26, 11:24 am

Technical Rating: 3.6

Stock Code JKCEMENT Market Cap 40,852 Cr. Current Price 5,287 ₹ High / Low 7,566 ₹
Stock P/E 37.2 Book Value 833 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.28 % ROCE 14.5 %
ROE 14.6 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 5,488 ₹ DMA 200 5,639 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -1.03 % Chg in DII Hold 1.26 % PAT Qtr 211 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 176 Cr.
RSI 43.3 MACD 43.0 Volume 3,25,207 Avg Vol 1Wk 1,28,275
Low price 4,798 ₹ High price 7,566 ₹ PEG Ratio 8.69 Debt to equity 0.99
52w Index 17.6 % Qtr Profit Var 5.47 % EPS 143 ₹ Industry PE 30.8

📊 Chart & Indicators

- Current price (₹5,287) is below DMA 50 (₹5,488) and DMA 200 (₹5,639), showing medium-term weakness.

- RSI at 43.3 indicates neutral-to-weak momentum, not oversold yet.

- MACD at 43.0 shows mild bullish crossover, suggesting possible rebound.

- Bollinger Bands: price near lower band, indicating support zone.

- Volume (3.25 Lakh) significantly above average (1.28 Lakh), showing strong participation despite weakness.

🎯 Entry & Exit Zones

- **Entry Zone:** ₹5,200 – ₹5,300 (near support).

- **Exit Zone:** ₹5,500 – ₹5,650 (resistance at DMA 50 & 200).

- **Stop-Loss:** Below ₹5,150 (support breakdown risk).

📈 Trend Status

- The stock is **consolidating with bearish bias**.

- Short-term rebound possible if price sustains above ₹5,300 with volume support.

- Long-term trend requires breakout above ₹5,650 for confirmation.

✅ Positive

- EPS at ₹143 with steady profitability.

- ROE (14.6%) and ROCE (14.5%) show consistent returns.

- PAT growth from ₹176 Cr. to ₹211 Cr. (+5.47%).

- DII holdings increased (+1.26%), showing domestic confidence.

- Strong volume activity indicates active trading interest.

⚠️ Limitation

- Price trading below both DMA 50 and DMA 200.

- RSI weak at 43.3, showing lack of momentum.

- High PEG ratio (8.69) indicates overvaluation relative to growth.

- Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.99, showing leverage risk.

- FII holdings reduced (-1.03%).

📉 Company Negative News

- Decline in foreign institutional holdings.

- Elevated valuation compared to industry peers.

- Weak technical momentum despite strong fundamentals.

📈 Company Positive News

- Quarterly PAT growth supports earnings momentum.

- Domestic institutional investors increasing stake.

- Technical indicators (MACD crossover, volume surge) hint at possible rebound.

🏭 Industry

- Industry PE at 30.8 vs JKCEMENT’s 37.2, showing premium valuation.

- Cement sector supported by infrastructure demand but facing margin pressures from input costs.

🔎 Conclusion

JKCEMENT is in a **consolidation phase with bearish undertone**. Entry near ₹5,200–₹5,300 offers tactical opportunity with exit targets around ₹5,500–₹5,650. Fundamentals remain steady, but valuation is stretched and leverage risk persists. Sustained breakout above DMA 200 with volume confirmation is required for long-term bullish reversal.

Would you like me to also prepare a swing trade overlay comparing JKCEMENT with peers like Ultratech Cement and Shree Cement for sector benchmarking?

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