INDIACEM - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.2

📊 Technical & Fundamental Analysis

✅ Positives

MACD (8.36): Strong bullish crossover, suggesting upward momentum.

Price > DMA50 (₹375) & DMA200 (₹338): Clear short-term trend support.

Quarterly PAT Improvement: Loss narrowed significantly from ₹-73.0 Cr. to ₹-13.8 Cr.

DII Holding ↑ (2.07%): Domestic institutions showing confidence.

Debt-to-Equity (0.12): Low leverage, adds financial stability.

52w Index (92.3%): Near yearly high, strong relative strength.

⚠️ Concerns

ROCE (-5.85%) / ROE (-9.32%): Negative returns—weak operational and shareholder efficiency.

EPS (₹-24.5): Negative earnings base.

No P/E or PEG Ratio: Indicates lack of profitability and valuation clarity.

Volume < Avg Vol: Participation fading—needs confirmation.

Dividend Yield: 0.00%: No yield cushion.

FII Holding ↓ (-1.97%): Foreign outflow.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹380–₹388

A pullback near DMA50 offers better margin of safety.

Entry should be confirmed with RSI push above 60 and MACD sustainment.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target Exit: ₹412–₹420

Resistance zone near 52-week high with ~4–6% swing potential.

Stop Loss: ₹362

Below DMA50 and recent support; protects against downside risk.

This setup leans toward speculative momentum rather than fundamental strength. If you're building a basket, I can help filter similar turnaround candidates with stronger volume and confirmation overlays. Just say the word.

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