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INDIACEM - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.5

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 09:51 am

Technical Rating: 3.5

Stock Code INDIACEM Market Cap 13,573 Cr. Current Price 438 ₹ High / Low 490 ₹
Book Value 310 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE -5.85 % ROE -9.32 %
Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 437 ₹ DMA 200 388 ₹ Chg in FII Hold 0.30 %
Chg in DII Hold 0.55 % PAT Qtr 2.00 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr -6.86 Cr. RSI 46.0
MACD 2.73 Volume 4,73,983 Avg Vol 1Wk 4,86,623 Low price 239 ₹
High price 490 ₹ Debt to equity 0.14 52w Index 79.4 % Qtr Profit Var 101 %
EPS -3.29 ₹ Industry PE 30.0

📊 Chart Patterns & Trend: India Cements is consolidating near the 438 ₹ zone. Price is slightly above the 50 DMA (437 ₹) and well above the 200 DMA (388 ₹), indicating medium-term strength but short-term indecision. Support is visible near 430 ₹, while resistance lies around 460–470 ₹.

📈 Moving Averages: Price is holding above the 200 DMA, showing medium-term bullish bias. Sustained move above 445–450 ₹ would confirm momentum continuation.

📉 RSI: At 46.0, RSI is neutral, suggesting sideways consolidation with balanced buying and selling pressure.

📈 MACD: Positive (2.73), showing bullish crossover and short-term upward bias.

📊 Bollinger Bands: Price is near the mid-band, reflecting consolidation. Breakout above 455–460 ₹ could trigger momentum toward 480–490 ₹.

📊 Volume Trends: Current volume (4.73 lakh) is slightly below average weekly volume (4.86 lakh), showing steady participation but no strong surge in buying interest.

🎯 Entry Zone: 430–440 ₹ (support zone).

🎯 Exit Zone: 465–480 ₹ (resistance zone).

🔑 Stop Loss: 425 ₹ (below support).


Positive

  • Quarterly PAT turned positive (2 Cr.) compared to previous loss (-6.86 Cr.).
  • FII holdings increased (+0.30%) and DII holdings increased (+0.55%), showing institutional confidence.
  • Price trading above 200 DMA supports medium-term strength.
  • Strong 52-week performance with 79.4% index gain.

Limitation

  • Negative ROCE (-5.85%) and ROE (-9.32%) highlight weak efficiency.
  • EPS at -3.29 ₹ indicates continued losses.
  • No dividend yield reduces income attractiveness.

Company Negative News

  • Weak return ratios (ROE and ROCE) limit profitability outlook.
  • EPS remains negative despite recent profit turnaround.

Company Positive News

  • Quarterly profit turnaround shows operational improvement.
  • Institutional inflows (FII and DII) reflect investor confidence.
  • Strong 52-week performance highlights resilience.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 30.0 vs. India Cements’ negative EPS highlights valuation challenges.
  • Cement sector supported by infrastructure demand and government spending.

Conclusion

⚖️ India Cements is in a consolidation phase with mild bullish signals (MACD positive, RSI neutral). Medium-term outlook remains supported by institutional inflows and price strength above 200 DMA, but weak fundamentals (negative ROE/ROCE, EPS) limit upside potential. Entry near 430–440 ₹ offers margin of safety, while breakout above 460 ₹ could trigger momentum toward 480–490 ₹. Risk management is essential due to ongoing profitability concerns.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay with other cement majors (like Ultratech, Shree Cement, and ACC) to highlight relative strength and sector rotation opportunities?

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