HDFCLIFE - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.9

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Trend Setup: Price is above both 50 DMA (₹770) and 200 DMA (₹726), confirming a short-term bullish structure.

MACD Mildly Positive: At 1.21, MACD suggests early momentum but lacks strong acceleration.

RSI Neutral-to-Strong: 56.5 indicates building strength, with room to run before overbought territory.

Volume Surge: Current volume (49.8L) is nearly double the 1-week average (26.5L), showing strong participation.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation Stretched: P/E of 90.4 vs industry average of 73.5 and PEG of 8.15—signals overvaluation relative to growth.

Moderate Efficiency: ROCE 6.53%, ROE 10.8%—acceptable but not swing-grade elite.

Earnings Growth: PAT rose from ₹477 Cr to ₹546 Cr (+14.4%)—steady improvement.

Low Leverage: Debt-to-equity of 0.17 adds financial resilience.

Institutional Sentiment: FII slightly reduced (−0.21%), DII increased (+0.47%)—net positive.

🧠 Analyst Sentiment

Trendlyne reports an average price target of ₹865, implying ~10% upside from current levels

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StockPriceArchive highlights bullish momentum with price above key moving averages and long-term trend intact

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🎯 Trade Strategy

🔹 Optimal Entry Price

₹765–₹770: Near 50 DMA and support zone. Entry only if MACD remains positive and RSI holds above 55.

🔹 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

₹815–₹821: Near 52-week high and resistance zone. Exit if RSI crosses 70 or MACD flattens.

Extended Target: ₹865–₹875 if breakout sustains with volume confirmation.

Trailing Stop: ₹755 to protect gains.

🧠 Summary

HDFCLIFE offers a momentum-backed swing setup with strong technical positioning and steady earnings growth. While valuation is stretched and ROCE is moderate, the MACD, RSI, and volume support a short-term trade. Entry near ₹770 with confirmation offers a favorable risk-reward, and exit near ₹821 or extended targets is prudent unless momentum accelerates.

Let me know if you'd like a filtered basket with PEG < 1.5, ROCE > 15%, and MACD > 10 for tighter swing setups.

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trendlyne.com

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stockpricearchive.com

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