HAL - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.5

📉 HAL shows mixed signals for intraday trading today, with strong fundamentals but weak momentum indicators.

📈 Optimal Trade Setup

• Buy Price: Only above 4,685 ₹ if price sustains with volume above 9.5 lakh
• Profit Target: 4,725 ₹ – 4,750 ₹
• Stop Loss: 4,655 ₹

📊 If Already Holding

• Exit on Weak Momentum: If price dips below 4,655 ₹ or RSI drops below 40
• Volume Watch: Exit if volume remains below 9 lakh and price fails to break above 50 DMA (4,727 ₹)
• Momentum Trigger: Hold only if MACD starts converging and RSI crosses 45

✅ Positive

• Strong ROCE (33.9%) and ROE (26.0%) reflect excellent operational efficiency
• Zero debt-to-equity ratio ensures financial robustness
• Price above 200 DMA (4,537 ₹) — long-term trend remains intact

⚠️ Limitation

• MACD (-14.8) and RSI (42.8) indicate weak short-term momentum
• Volume (8.7 lakh) is below weekly average (9.6 lakh) — lack of strong participation
• Price below 50 DMA (4,727 ₹) — bearish short-term bias

🚫 Company Negative News

• Quarterly PAT dropped sharply from ₹3,958 Cr. to ₹1,377 Cr.
• Minor decline in DII holding (-0.03%) suggests cautious domestic sentiment

📢 Company Positive News

• FII holding increased slightly by 0.10%, showing foreign interest
• EPS of ₹123 and 52-week index gain of 76.7% reflect strong long-term performance

🏭 Industry

• Industry PE is 66.4, while HAL trades at 37.9 — relatively undervalued
• Defense and aerospace sector remains strategically important with long-term growth potential

🧾 Conclusion

• HAL is a cautious intraday candidate today due to weak momentum and volume
• Entry above 4,685 ₹ is viable only with volume confirmation and RSI improvement
• Monitor MACD and price action near 50 DMA for exit or continuation signals

I can also compare HAL with BEL or BDL for stronger intraday setups in the defense sector.