HAL - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:03 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.3

📊 Analysis: HAL is trading below its 50 DMA (4,538 ₹) and 200 DMA (4,529 ₹), showing short-term weakness. RSI at 34.0 indicates oversold territory, but MACD at -108 reflects strong bearish momentum. Current volume (5,83,980) is lower than average weekly volume (7,92,846), suggesting limited intraday participation. Despite strong fundamentals, intraday signals lean weak for aggressive trading today.

💡 Optimal Buy Price: Around 4,280–4,300 ₹ (near current support zone).

🎯 Profit-Taking Exit Levels: 4,350 ₹ (first resistance), 4,400–4,420 ₹ (intraday resistance zone).

🛡️ Stop-Loss / Loss Protection: 4,260 ₹ (below immediate support).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Consider exiting intraday if price fails to sustain above 4,305 ₹ with weak volume or if RSI drops below 32. Momentum exit can be targeted near 4,350–4,400 ₹ if volume strengthens and MACD shows recovery.

✅ Positive

• 📈 Strong ROCE (33.9%) and ROE (26.0%)
• 💰 Debt-free balance sheet (Debt-to-equity: 0.00)
• 📊 EPS of 126 ₹ supports valuation strength
• 📈 Quarterly PAT growth (1,663 Cr. vs 1,377 Cr.)
• 🏦 FII holdings increased (+0.10%)

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 RSI at 34 indicates oversold but weak momentum
• 📊 MACD strongly negative (-108), bearish trend
• 📉 Current volume below average weekly volume
• 📊 P/E of 34.1 is high compared to industry PE (57.9 but HAL trades at premium)

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 DII holdings reduced (-0.03%), showing slight domestic caution

🌟 Company Positive News

• 📈 Quarterly profit variation at 11.9% shows steady growth
• 📊 Strong fundamentals with high ROCE and ROE
• 🏭 Positioned well in defense and aerospace sector with long-term demand tailwinds

🏭 Industry

• 📊 Industry PE at 57.9, HAL trades at discount (34.1)
• ⚡ Defense sector benefiting from government spending and modernization programs
• 📈 52-week index return at 59.4% highlights sector resilience

📌 Conclusion

HAL shows strong fundamentals but weak intraday momentum due to low RSI and negative MACD. Traders can cautiously enter near 4,280–4,300 ₹ with exits around 4,350–4,400 ₹. A tight stop-loss at 4,260 ₹ is recommended. Best suited for cautious intraday trades; long-term investors may continue to hold given strong fundamentals.

Would you like me to extend this into a basket overlay with peer benchmarking against other defense sector stocks (like BEL, BEML, and Cochin Shipyard) to compare intraday strength, or keep the focus only on HAL’s standalone setup?