HAL - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals
Back to ListIntraDay Trade Rating: 3.6
| Stock Code | HAL | Market Cap | 2,65,240 Cr. | Current Price | 3,961 ₹ | High / Low | 5,166 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 30.0 | Book Value | 553 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 1.01 % | ROCE | 33.9 % |
| ROE | 26.0 % | Face Value | 5.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 4,158 ₹ | DMA 200 | 4,385 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -1.14 % | Chg in DII Hold | 1.04 % | PAT Qtr | 1,852 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 1,663 Cr. |
| RSI | 43.3 | MACD | -70.4 | Volume | 8,90,969 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 13,20,920 |
| Low price | 3,578 ₹ | High price | 5,166 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 1.69 | Debt to equity | 0.00 |
| 52w Index | 24.1 % | Qtr Profit Var | 29.3 % | EPS | 132 ₹ | Industry PE | 54.2 |
📊 Analysis: HAL is trading at ₹3,961, below both its 50 DMA (₹4,158) and 200 DMA (₹4,385), reflecting short-term weakness. RSI at 43.3 indicates mild oversold conditions, while MACD (-70.4) remains negative, confirming bearish momentum. Current volume (8.9 Lakh) is lower than the weekly average (13.2 Lakh), showing reduced intraday participation. Valuation is moderate with a P/E of 30.0 compared to industry PE of 54.2, supported by strong fundamentals and profit growth.
💡 Optimal Buy Price: ₹3,930–₹3,950 if support holds.
🎯 Profit-Taking Levels: ₹4,020 (first resistance), ₹4,080 (second resistance).
🛡️ Stop-Loss: ₹3,900 (below intraday support).
⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit near ₹4,020 if momentum stalls or RSI fails to cross 45 intraday. If price breaks below ₹3,900 with volume, cut positions quickly to protect capital.
Positive
- Strong ROCE (33.9%) and ROE (26.0%) highlight efficient capital use.
- Zero debt-to-equity ensures financial stability.
- Quarterly PAT growth from ₹1,663 Cr. to ₹1,852 Cr. shows earnings improvement.
- DII holdings increased (+1.04%), reflecting domestic institutional confidence.
- EPS of ₹132 supports valuation strength.
Limitation
- Trading below DMA levels signals weak trend strength.
- MACD remains negative, showing bearish momentum.
- FII holding decreased (-1.14%), showing reduced foreign investor interest.
- Dividend yield of 1.01% is modest.
Company Negative News
- Weak technical momentum with RSI and MACD in bearish zones.
- Stock corrected significantly from 52-week high of ₹5,166.
Company Positive News
- Quarterly profit variation of 29.3% indicates strong earnings momentum.
- PEG ratio of 1.69 suggests reasonable valuation relative to growth.
Industry
- Aerospace and defense sector benefits from government contracts and rising defense expenditure.
- Industry PE at 54.2 indicates HAL trades at a discount compared to peers.
Conclusion
⚖️ HAL has strong fundamentals and attractive valuation relative to its industry but weak intraday momentum. It is a cautious intraday candidate with limited upside unless volume improves and RSI strengthens. Best suited for quick trades near support levels with strict stop-loss discipline.
Selva, this one looks like a fundamentally strong but technically weak intraday setup. If you’d like, I can prepare a peer benchmarking overlay (BEL, BEML, Mazagon Dock) to compare intraday strength across the defense sector basket. That way, you’ll know if HAL is lagging or leading its sector peers today. Would you like me to generate that comparison?