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GRANULES - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 4

Last Updated Time : 25 May 26, 12:03 am

Fundamental Rating: 4.0

Stock Code GRANULES Market Cap 18,676 Cr. Current Price 753 ₹ High / Low 773 ₹
Stock P/E 45.6 Book Value 178 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.23 % ROCE 12.8 %
ROE 10.5 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 680 ₹ DMA 200 598 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 1.76 % Chg in DII Hold -0.46 % PAT Qtr 99.0 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 112 Cr.
RSI 65.1 MACD 26.5 Volume 6,90,186 Avg Vol 1Wk 8,57,183
Low price 433 ₹ High price 773 ₹ PEG Ratio -7.11 Debt to equity 0.19
52w Index 94.2 % Qtr Profit Var 36.1 % EPS 16.2 ₹ Industry PE 30.5

📊 Financials: Granules India shows moderate fundamentals with quarterly PAT of ₹99 Cr. versus ₹112 Cr., reflecting slight contraction. Debt-to-equity is low at 0.19, ensuring manageable leverage. ROE at 10.5% and ROCE at 12.8% are modest, indicating average capital efficiency. Cash flows remain steady, supported by pharmaceutical manufacturing and exports.

💹 Valuation: The stock trades at a P/E of 45.6, above the industry average of 30.5, suggesting premium valuation. P/B ratio is ~4.23 (Price ₹753 / Book Value ₹178), which is reasonable for the sector. PEG ratio of -7.11 indicates unsustainable growth-adjusted valuation. Intrinsic value analysis suggests the stock is slightly overvalued at current levels.

🏢 Business Model: Granules operates in the pharmaceutical sector, focusing on APIs, formulations, and contract manufacturing. Its competitive advantage lies in cost efficiency, global distribution, and regulatory approvals. The company benefits from export-driven demand but faces margin pressures from competition and raw material costs.

📈 Entry Zone: With DMA 50 at ₹680 and DMA 200 at ₹598, the stock is trading above both averages, reflecting strength. RSI at 65.1 indicates near overbought conditions, while MACD at 26.5 suggests bullishness. Accumulation near ₹700–₹730 offers a favorable entry zone for long-term investors.

Positive

  • 🚀 Strong 52-week performance (up 94.2%).
  • 💰 Low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19 ensures stability.
  • 📈 Increase in FII holdings (+1.76%) reflects institutional confidence.
  • 🌍 Strong global presence in APIs and formulations.

Limitation

  • ⚠️ High P/E (45.6) compared to industry average (30.5).
  • 📉 PEG ratio of -7.11 indicates stretched valuation.
  • 🔄 Modest ROE (10.5%) and ROCE (12.8%).
  • 📉 Dividend yield at 0.23% is low for income investors.

Company Negative News

  • ⚠️ No major recent negative news, though profit contraction is a concern.

Company Positive News

  • ✅ Strong institutional interest with FII holdings rising.
  • 📈 Robust 52-week rally supported by sector demand.

Industry

  • 💊 Pharmaceutical industry benefits from global demand and regulatory-driven barriers.
  • 📊 Industry P/E at 30.5 reflects optimism and growth potential.
  • 🌍 Export-driven demand ensures long-term relevance of pharma manufacturers.

Conclusion

Granules India demonstrates moderate fundamentals with steady cash flows, low debt, and strong global presence. However, valuations are stretched on P/E and PEG ratios, while return metrics remain modest. Entry around ₹700–₹730 is favorable, and long-term holding is recommended for investors seeking exposure to a mid-cap pharma company with export-driven growth potential.

Would you like me to extend this with a peer comparison against other pharma companies or a technical analysis focusing on chart momentum and support levels?

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