GODREJPROP - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.0

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Trend Setup: Price is hovering around the 50 DMA (₹2,081) but still below the 200 DMA (₹2,256), indicating a weak-to-neutral trend.

MACD Negative: At −6.16, MACD confirms bearish momentum—no clear reversal yet.

RSI Neutral: 58.3 suggests consolidation, not yet overbought or oversold.

Volume Soft: Current volume (4.92L) is slightly below 1-week average (5.35L), showing reduced participation.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation Extremely Stretched: P/E of 109 and PEG of 5.83 are red flags—pricing is disconnected from earnings growth.

Weak Profitability: ROCE 6.46%, ROE 6.02%—low efficiency for a ₹60,000 Cr company.

Earnings Volatility: PAT dropped sharply from ₹279 Cr to ₹56.1 Cr (−88.6%)—a major concern for swing stability.

Moderate Leverage: Debt-to-equity of 0.69 is acceptable for the sector.

Institutional Sentiment: FII unchanged, DII reduced (−0.26%)—neutral to cautious stance.

🧠 Analyst Sentiment

Despite short-term price recovery, Moneycontrol’s analysis suggests bearish sentiment. However, long-term financials show strong YoY growth in revenue and net profit, with EPS improving to ₹49.02 in FY25

1

. The average broker target is ₹2,528, implying ~21% upside from current levels

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.

🎯 Trade Strategy

🔹 Optimal Entry Price

₹2,040–₹2,060: Near recent support and below 50 DMA. Entry only if MACD flattens and RSI crosses 60 with volume confirmation.

🔹 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

₹2,500–₹2,530: First resistance zone aligned with broker targets. Exit if RSI crosses 70 or MACD turns flat.

Trailing Stop: ₹2,020 to protect downside.

🧠 Summary

GODREJPROP offers a low-conviction swing setup—technicals are weak, valuation is stretched, and earnings have contracted sharply. Suitable only for short-term tactical trades with tight risk control. Entry near support with confirmation is key; otherwise, capital may be better deployed in cleaner setups with stronger ROCE and PEG < 1.5.

Let me know if you'd like a filtered basket with MACD > 10, ROCE > 15%, and PEG < 1.5 for higher-probability swing trades.

1

www.moneycontrol.com

2

trendlyne.com

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