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GODREJPROP - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 3.2

Last Updated Time : 05 Feb 26, 02:16 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.2

Stock Code GODREJPROP Market Cap 51,677 Cr. Current Price 1,715 ₹ High / Low 2,523 ₹
Stock P/E 135 Book Value 581 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 6.46 %
ROE 6.02 % Face Value 5.00 ₹ DMA 50 1,873 ₹ DMA 200 2,095 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.16 % Chg in DII Hold 0.36 % PAT Qtr 13.1 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 56.1 Cr.
RSI 45.2 MACD -104 Volume 10,75,339 Avg Vol 1Wk 17,21,416
Low price 1,475 ₹ High price 2,523 ₹ PEG Ratio 7.20 Debt to equity 0.89
52w Index 22.9 % Qtr Profit Var -93.6 % EPS 12.7 ₹ Industry PE 31.6

📊 Godrej Properties shows weak fundamentals with very high P/E, low ROE/ROCE, and sharp decline in quarterly profits. Technical indicators (RSI below 50, MACD strongly negative, price below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA) suggest bearish momentum. It is a risky candidate for swing trading, suitable only for short-term trades with strict stop-loss levels.

💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around 1,680–1,700 ₹ (near support zone).
📈 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider booking profits near 1,850–1,900 ₹ resistance, or exit if price falls below 1,650 ₹.

Positive ✅

  • Book value of 581 ₹ provides some asset backing.
  • DII holdings increased (+0.36%), showing domestic institutional support.
  • Large market cap (51,677 Cr.) ensures liquidity and stability in trading.

Limitation ⚠️

  • Extremely high P/E of 135 vs industry average of 31.6 indicates severe overvaluation.
  • ROCE (6.46%) and ROE (6.02%) are weak compared to peers.
  • Quarterly PAT dropped sharply from 56.1 Cr. to 13.1 Cr. (-93.6%).
  • MACD negative (-104) signals strong bearish undertone.
  • RSI at 45.2 indicates weak momentum.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.89 shows relatively high leverage risk.

Company Negative News 📉

  • Sharp decline in quarterly profits (-93.6%) raises concerns about earnings stability.
  • FII holdings declined (-0.16%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.

Company Positive News 📈

  • Strong brand presence in real estate sector.
  • Domestic institutional investors (DIIs) increased holdings, showing confidence.

Industry 🌐

  • Industry P/E at 31.6 highlights sector trades at a premium compared to broader markets.
  • Real estate sector benefits from long-term urbanization and housing demand, though cyclical risks remain.

Conclusion 📝

Godrej Properties is a weak candidate for swing trading due to high valuations, poor profitability metrics, and bearish technical signals. Entry near 1,680–1,700 ₹ may offer limited upside, but risk remains high. Exit around 1,850–1,900 ₹ or below 1,650 ₹ if momentum weakens. Suitable only for cautious traders with strict risk management.

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