GODREJPROP - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.6

📈 Analysis: GODREJPROP presents a moderately favorable swing trade setup with bullish technicals but weak fundamentals. The current price of ₹2,295 is above both the 50 DMA (₹2,156) and 200 DMA (₹2,230), indicating short-term strength. RSI at 64.3 and MACD at 65.9 suggest strong momentum, though nearing overbought territory. However, the fundamentals are less compelling — high P/E (120), PEG ratio of 6.40, and a sharp drop in quarterly PAT (-88.6%) raise valuation and earnings concerns. Institutional sentiment is mixed, with FII holdings declining and DII holdings increasing.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price: ₹2,250–₹2,270 (on minor pullback near 200 DMA)

🚪 Exit Strategy (if holding): Consider exiting near ₹2,350–₹2,400 or if RSI crosses 70 with MACD flattening.

✅ Positive

• 📈 Price above 50 & 200 DMA — bullish technical setup
• 📊 ROCE (6.46%) and ROE (6.02%) — modest but positive returns
• 📈 MACD and RSI indicate strong momentum
• 📈 DII holding increased (+1.35%) — domestic investor confidence
• 📉 EPS of ₹19.7 — consistent earnings base

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 High P/E (120) vs industry — overvaluation risk
• 📉 PEG ratio of 6.40 — expensive relative to growth
• 📉 FII holding decreased (-2.23%) — foreign investor caution
• 📉 Quarterly PAT dropped from ₹279 Cr. to ₹56.1 Cr.
• 📉 Dividend yield of 0% — no income support

📰 Company Negative News

• Significant drop in quarterly profit and reduced FII interest raise concerns about near-term performance

🌟 Company Positive News

• Strong technical momentum and rising DII interest reflect short-term optimism and domestic support

🏭 Industry

• Industry P/E is 41.3 — GODREJPROP trades at a premium, reflecting high growth expectations
• Real estate sector benefits from urban expansion and housing demand but is sensitive to interest rates and policy changes

🧾 Conclusion

GODREJPROP is a technically strong but fundamentally weak swing trade candidate. Entry near support offers a tactical opportunity, but exit near resistance or on RSI/MACD reversal is advisable due to valuation and earnings risks.

I can also help you compare GODREJPROP’s setup with peers like Oberoi Realty or Prestige Estates to refine your swing strategy.