GODREJPROP - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.1

GODREJPROP has intriguing potential but presents a mixed bag for short-term swing trading. Weak momentum and technical breakdowns urge caution, though its PEG ratio and earnings suggest eventual value could emerge.

📊 Fundamental Perspective

Valuation Metrics

P/E: 53.4 vs Industry PE: 40.2 → Valuation premium

PEG: 0.97 → Fair balance of growth and valuation

EPS: ₹46.5 vs Book Value: ₹575 → Solid earnings, strong asset base

Profitability

ROCE: 6.57%, ROE: 8.91% → Moderate efficiency

Debt-to-Equity: 0.73 → Acceptable leverage in real estate sector

Recent Financials

PAT growth: ₹158 Cr → ₹378 Cr is encouraging

But Qtr Profit Variation: -19.7% → Inconsistent performance quarter-on-quarter

📉 Technical Analysis

Current Price: ₹2,155

Below both 50-DMA (₹2,284) and 200-DMA (₹2,357) → Bearish bias

Momentum Indicators

RSI: 36.9 → Oversold zone; bounce possible but not confirmed

MACD: -27.6 → Strong negative crossover, downside pressure remains

Volume

Slightly below 1-week average → Weak participation

52W Index: 18.7% → Still far from year-high (₹3,400), scope for recovery

🎯 Swing Trade Strategy

The setup is weak but watch for a reversal near ₹2,100–₹2,130. If RSI rises above 40 and MACD turns positive, momentum could improve.

✅ Optimal Entry Price

Buy Range: ₹2,100–₹2,135 Only enter on bullish confirmation: rising volume and momentum shift

🚪 Exit Plan

Target Price: ₹2,250–₹2,275 Just below 50-DMA; potential resistance

Stop-Loss: ₹2,045 Defensive level below recent lows

🧭 If You Already Hold It

Monitor ₹2,250 as a near-term resistance

If price fails to cross above 50-DMA with momentum pickup, consider partial exit

Re-entry can be timed if MACD flattens and RSI improves above 45

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