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GODREJPROP - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 3.5

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 07:10 pm

Fundamental Rating: 3.5

Stock Code GODREJPROP Market Cap 49,462 Cr. Current Price 1,643 ₹ High / Low 2,506 ₹
Stock P/E 119 Book Value 581 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 6.46 %
ROE 6.02 % Face Value 5.00 ₹ DMA 50 1,764 ₹ DMA 200 2,004 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.16 % Chg in DII Hold 0.36 % PAT Qtr 69.3 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 13.1 Cr.
RSI 43.6 MACD -50.2 Volume 8,63,424 Avg Vol 1Wk 8,10,701
Low price 1,475 ₹ High price 2,506 ₹ PEG Ratio 6.33 Debt to equity 0.89
52w Index 16.3 % Qtr Profit Var 98.8 % EPS 13.6 ₹ Industry PE 25.5

📊 Core Financials

  • Quarterly PAT improved from ₹13.1 Cr. to ₹69.3 Cr., showing strong sequential growth.
  • ROCE at 6.46% and ROE at 6.02% → weak efficiency compared to peers.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.89 → moderately leveraged balance sheet.
  • Cash flows supported by real estate operations but cyclical in nature.

💹 Valuation Indicators

  • P/E Ratio: 119 vs Industry PE of 25.5 → extremely overvalued.
  • P/B Ratio: ~2.8x (₹1643 / ₹581) → moderate valuation relative to book value.
  • PEG Ratio: 6.33 → expensive valuation relative to growth.
  • Intrinsic Value: Current price above fair zone, reflecting speculative optimism in real estate sector.

🏢 Business Model & Competitive Advantage

  • Real estate developer with strong brand under Godrej group.
  • Focus on premium residential projects provides brand advantage.
  • High leverage and weak efficiency metrics limit competitiveness.

📈 Technical & Entry Zone

  • Current Price: ₹1643, below 50 DMA (₹1764) and 200 DMA (₹2004).
  • RSI: 43.6 → neutral zone, slightly weak momentum.
  • MACD: -50.2 → bearish trend.
  • Entry Zone: Attractive accumulation between ₹1500–₹1550.
  • Long-Term Holding: Suitable only for high-risk investors with 3–5 year horizon.

✅ Positive

  • Strong sequential PAT growth (98.8%).
  • Brand strength under Godrej group.
  • DII holdings increased by 0.36%, showing institutional support.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Extremely high P/E ratio (119).
  • Weak ROE and ROCE compared to peers.
  • Moderate debt levels increase risk.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Stock corrected sharply from 52-week high of ₹2506.
  • Decline in FII holdings (-0.16%).

📈 Company Positive News

  • Quarterly PAT growth of 98.8% shows strong momentum.
  • DII inflows indicate domestic institutional confidence.

🏭 Industry

  • Real estate sector supported by urbanization and housing demand.
  • Industry PE at 25.5 indicates moderate investor confidence.

🔎 Conclusion

GODREJPROP is a branded real estate developer with strong sequential profit growth but weak efficiency metrics and high leverage.

Valuations are stretched with an extremely high P/E ratio, making it risky for long-term investors.

Best accumulated cautiously around ₹1500–₹1550 for high-risk investors with a 3–5 year horizon.

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