GMDCLTD - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 4.2

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Strong Uptrend: Price is well above both 50 DMA (₹453) and 200 DMA (₹382), confirming bullish momentum.

MACD Momentum: At 36.5, MACD shows strong upward momentum—ideal for swing setups.

RSI Elevated: 68.7 suggests the stock is nearing overbought territory—momentum is strong but a pullback is likely.

Volume Surge: Current volume (49.5L) is robust, though below the 1-week average (139.2L), indicating sustained interest but not euphoric buying.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation Fair: P/E of 26.2 vs industry average of 21.4 and PEG of 1.71—slightly premium but growth-adjusted valuation is acceptable.

Solid Efficiency: ROCE 14.2%, ROE 11.0%—respectable capital deployment.

Low Leverage: Debt-to-equity of 0.02 adds financial resilience.

Profit Dip: PAT declined from ₹225 Cr to ₹164 Cr (−11.1%), but still strong in absolute terms.

Institutional Sentiment: FII and DII both marginally increased holdings—neutral to mildly bullish.

🧠 Market Sentiment & News

Recent reports highlight GMDC’s strategic push into rare earths and critical minerals, with ₹3,000–4,000 Cr earmarked for expansion

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. Despite a slight earnings dip, the stock surged over 35% in September and hit a fresh 52-week high of ₹547, driven by optimism around clean energy and mineral diversification

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🎯 Trade Strategy

🔹 Optimal Entry Price

₹510–₹525: Ideal pullback zone near 21-DMA and below RSI 60. Entry only if MACD remains positive and RSI cools below 65.

🔹 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

₹575–₹581: Near 52-week high and resistance zone. Exit if RSI crosses 75 or MACD flattens.

Trailing Stop: ₹528 to protect gains.

🧠 Summary

GMDCLTD offers a high-conviction swing setup—technicals are strong, fundamentals are solid, and sector momentum is favorable. While RSI is overheated and earnings dipped slightly, the MACD and strategic tailwinds support a short-term trade. Entry on a mild dip offers better risk-reward, while exit near ₹581 is prudent unless momentum accelerates.

Want me to prep a filtered basket with PEG < 1.5, ROCE > 15%, and MACD > 10 for tighter swing setups?

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www.businesstoday.in

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shareprice-target.com

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economictimes.indiatimes.com

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