GMDCLTD - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

Swing Trade Rating: 4.0

📈 Analysis: GMDCLTD presents a strong swing trade setup with bullish technicals and solid fundamentals. The current price of ₹587 is above both the 50 DMA (₹552) and 200 DMA (₹439), indicating a sustained uptrend. RSI at 52.7 and MACD at 8.09 suggest positive momentum with room for upside. The company has excellent financial health with low debt (0.02), strong ROCE (14.2%), and ROE (11.0%). The PEG ratio of 1.83 indicates fair valuation relative to growth. While quarterly PAT declined, institutional sentiment remains positive with increased FII holdings. Volume is slightly below average, but price action remains constructive.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price: ₹570–₹585 (on minor pullback near 50 DMA)

🚪 Exit Strategy (if holding): Consider exiting near ₹620–₹640 or if RSI crosses 65 with MACD flattening.

✅ Positive

• 📈 Price above 50 & 200 DMA — strong bullish trend
• 📊 ROCE (14.2%) and ROE (11.0%) — solid capital efficiency
• 💸 Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.02) — excellent financial health
• 📈 EPS of ₹21.0 — consistent earnings
• 📈 FII holding increased (+1.07%) — foreign investor confidence

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 PAT declined from ₹225 Cr. to ₹164 Cr. — earnings contraction
• 📉 Volume below weekly average — reduced trading interest
• 📉 DII holding decreased (-0.03%) — slight domestic caution
• 📉 PEG ratio of 1.83 — slightly expensive relative to growth

📰 Company Negative News

• No major public negative news, but quarterly earnings decline and volume dip are cautionary

🌟 Company Positive News

• Strong technical breakout and rising FII interest reflect market optimism and institutional support

🏭 Industry

• Industry P/E is 22.4 — GMDCLTD trades at a premium, reflecting growth expectations
• Mining and minerals sector benefits from infrastructure demand and commodity cycles

🧾 Conclusion

GMDCLTD is a technically strong and fundamentally sound swing trade candidate. Entry near support offers a tactical opportunity. Exit near resistance or on RSI/MACD confirmation is advisable.

I can also compare GMDCLTD’s setup with peers like NMDC or MOIL to help refine your swing strategy.