GMDCLTD - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:02 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.6

📊 Analysis: GMDCLTD shows moderate intraday potential. RSI at 47.0 indicates neutral momentum, while MACD at -11.1 suggests mild bearish divergence. Current price (517 ₹) is below 50 DMA (533 ₹) but above 200 DMA (463 ₹), reflecting mixed technical signals. Volume (41.7L) is above average weekly volume (34.4L), showing strong participation. Fundamentals are decent (ROCE 14.2%, ROE 11.0%, low debt-to-equity 0.04), though quarterly PAT declined (-6.91%), limiting conviction for aggressive intraday trades.

💹 Optimal Buy Price: 512–517 ₹ (near intraday support).

🎯 Profit-Taking Exit Levels: 528–535 ₹ (short-term resistance zone near 50 DMA).

🛡️ Stop-Loss / Loss Protection: 505 ₹ (below intraday support).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit intraday if price fails to sustain above 528 ₹ with volume confirmation, or if RSI dips below 45 with continued negative MACD. Hold only if momentum continues above 535 ₹, targeting 545–550 ₹.

Positive

• ✅ Strong volume above weekly average indicates active participation.
• ✅ ROCE (14.2%) and ROE (11.0%) reflect decent capital efficiency.
• ✅ Low debt-to-equity (0.04) ensures financial stability.
• ✅ FII holding increased (+1.07%), showing foreign investor confidence.
• ✅ EPS at 31.7 ₹ supports valuation strength.

Limitation

• ⚠️ RSI at 47 and negative MACD (-11.1) indicate weak momentum.
• ⚠️ Price below 50 DMA shows technical weakness.
• ⚠️ Quarterly PAT decline (-6.91%) shows earnings pressure.
• ⚠️ DII holding decreased (-0.03%), showing domestic investor caution.
• ⚠️ PEG ratio (1.63) suggests valuation concerns.

Company Negative News

• ❌ No major external negative news reported, but profit decline and weak momentum indicators are concerns.

Company Positive News

• 🌟 EPS at 31.7 ₹ remains strong despite profit decline.
• 🌟 FII inflows support investor confidence.

Industry

• 🏭 Industry PE at 20.0 is slightly lower than GMDCLTD’s PE (24.9), suggesting mild premium valuation.
• 🏭 Mining sector outlook remains stable with commodity demand supporting earnings.

Conclusion

📌 GMDCLTD is a moderate candidate for intraday trading with strong volume and decent fundamentals. However, weak momentum indicators, profit decline, and price trading below 50 DMA limit conviction. Suitable only for cautious intraday traders with tight stop-loss discipline, aiming for short scalps near resistance zones rather than aggressive intraday runs.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay against other mining and resource companies (like Coal India, NMDC, Hindustan Copper) to compare intraday strength and sector rotation opportunities?